OK Launch a full fledged military operation but first answer few questions
very humbling and realistic questions.
What would be the consequences of direct military operation .... ??
it can swing both ways. total eradication of terrorists like the LTTE or a bigger version of Syria where our brotherly Muslims countries will become overt in their support of Taliban and LeJ.
Are we socially and financially capable to tackle the IDP issue ... ??
no we are not, but its a devil and the deep blue sea situation, what await us due to inaction will be far more drastic and the IDP issue of Wazirisitan will pale in comparison.
Are we able to hold that 'Liberated Area' with or without military ...??
yes we will with the help of military. and without too IF.. the terrorists are crushed from their roots. then paramilitary forces & police will be enough when I say police I mean the police trained and equipped in this new Pakistanis situation
If yes than how long .... ??
it will depend on how successful we have been in the initial push and the follow up and mop up operations in rest of Pakistan. it can be permanent once we bring back the age old maliks back in power in the tribal areas.
Are our civilian apparatus is ready to face the situation in settled areas .... ??
same as answer to question 2. were we ready for millions of refugee influx during partition? instead of blasting the curropt and inept civil apparatus (which is almost non-existent) I would say that army and NGOs will step in and so will the general public .. like last time.
Do we have the capability to neutralized the TTP supportive infrastructure within our country ..... ??
believe me we do. we just lack the will and elements within political parties and establishment see them as an asset and also these terrorists will be replaced by other willing terrorists because they are constantly and handsomely fed by our Middle eastern "brothers"
Do we have a capability to stop TTP leadership going to the other side of the Durandline .... ??
maybe we do maybe we dont. all depends upon our relationship with the Kabul regime (no luck there, they are hosting TTP leadership) and also depends on how quick and fast we are, I mean how quickly we can surprise the terrorists and kill/ capture them before the snakes within our rank and file tip them off
Do we have arrangements at that side of the border to ensure border security... ??
same response as above, at present our relationship with Kabul back stabbers doesnt exist. thanks to Americans we have proof that Afghan intelligence is using TTP as its assets and its the Americans who have confiscated the TTP leaders 2 times from Afghan regime. if the Americans are still in Afghanistan then we can expect some help otherwise the Northern alliance ill do its level best to cause difficulties or complete failure to our operations
Do we have the capability to disturb the security & supportive apparatus of TTP exist at that side .... ??
short answer NO..
we can plead Hikmatyar, Molla Omar or Haqqanis to expel these terrorists but honestly speaking we are being too much optimistic, Afghan taliban and TTP follow the same faith and extreme version of Islam, both excel at beheading and public executions.. both would not settle anything less than murder of anyone who is of a minority sect or religion.. both hate education or any form of social progress ... so things are not that bright,
having said that.. there were unconfirmed reports where Afghan taliban took on the TTP directly OR "asked them " politely to "go easy" on Pakistan army. but after what we have done to them (by siding with the Yanks) I dont fancy any generosity from Mullah Omar etc.
Who should we trust at that side of Durandline ..... ??
No One. us and us only.
Anyone remember Its '2014' .... ??
yup .. and it will be 2020 too one day with even worse situation if our policy and our actions are as half arsed and half baked.
What are the guarantees about our eastern neighbor .... ??
None
on the contrary
guarantee border skirmishes along the LoC.. deployment of forces along the borders after "alleged" terrorist attacks and a lot of warmongers a...and.. support of terrorists in Sindh and killings in Karachi.
What do we want to achieve by this military operation .... ??
to decide if we want to keep the state of Pakistan as a sovereign entity or not and if we do want to save Pakistani state then its biggest mortal enemy has to be rooted out and completely destroyed
How would we achieve those objectives by military operation .... ??
Military operation will break the smug off the faces of TTP and its cheering crowd in our society. it will convince the surviving terrorists to accept the terms of the state of Pakistan. remember you can only achieve your objective from position of strength.
Is there any other alternative available to achieve those objectives .... ??
yes ... request Saudis to stop funding TTP and LeJ. this will grind the TTP war machinery and it will be more inclined towards peace. Saudis would never stop funding TTP its their FSA of Pakistan.
so unfortunately you are only left with Molana samih Ul haq who is acting like Hussain Haqqani of TTP (just like our former Ambassador was advocating USA)
