PTI dependents on two segments of Voters.@Gazi Bhai need to ask your perspective on the future of MQM in Karachi. Do you foresee Karachi as a weakening bastion of MQM given the current circumstances and the situation at hand? Do you see a new leadership emerging within the ranks of MQM? and lastly do you see the vote bank of MQM shifting towards PTI? as there is no other apparent alternative which is NOT tried before is available to the voters of MQM?
1. Ex MQM/JI Votebank.
2. Pashtun Votebank.
Pashtun Vote bank would remain Intact Only if their KPK Vote Bank Remain intact because they have been found being Traditionally follow the Voting Trends of KPK in Karachi as well. As for ex MQM/JI Vote Bank they would have Hard time on them because they are mostly NEUTRAL Voters and vote Parties on the basis of Merit of their Stance and Promises. They were attached to MQM in the Past because there was no Real Alternative Offered to them and especially the ones who are interested in Representing Karachi rather then asking for Votes of Karachi. They also Consider overall Voting trend of Constituency as well so that their Votes doesnt go Wasted and in this area things would be difficult for PTI because in every Constituency there are POCKETS of Thickly Populated Lower Middle Class Areas where MQM remain almost UNCHALLENGED to this day.
Today MQM may have been getting Isolated but they are completely VANISHED from people's Head so if there is a SLIGHTEST Opportunity they got to resume their Activities they would get everything back on Track on the other hand PTI is Losing their Grounds Quite Fast because of Offering nothing but Anti MQM Stance that is only APPEAL to JI Vote bank which are getting Insignificant as they are getting Older.
If PTI really wants to make their Voice Heard then now is the Best time to Start Operating on UC level as this will convince Middle and Upper Middle Class Voters to support them and Gradually this trend would come down to MQM Strongholds as well. There are no Quick Solutions here but things can be Tried as they cant win Karachi by applying Candidate Based Politics so they have to try Organize and Platform based Politics in Karachi like MQM and JI otherwise they would become Temporary Phenomenon like PML A-Z previously and they cant Rely on Pashtun Vote Bank completely because Their Supports are Unpredictable and would be Dependent on KPK Political Trend.