I doubt that. All think tanks that I follow say the nuclear deal won't change the relationship between the west and Iran. That is if the deal goes through but I don't think Iran will keep to the conditions of the deal. It is just a way for the US and Israel to win time to seek the right time to take the dog to the backyard and shoot it. Within 10 years (the span of the deal) is just enough for Europe to diversify its energy. Turkey will become main energy hub for Europe with Azeri, Arab, Turkmen, Kazakh, Russian, Iraqi energy with perhaps Iranian energy too. Do you want to stay warm in the winter? You will have to buy it from us
I think you are giving too much credit to Iran in terms of energy importance.
The nuclear deal was was not driven by any change of relationships. The relationship between Iran and US is leveraged in Tel Aviv. That as
@500 will confirm has not changed. The only possibility of US and Iran coming to any change in relationship would be if first Iran/Isreal came to peace. Since that does not look likely do not expect any substantive change in the underlying relationship dynamics of Isreal-USA, EU and Iran.
Further the possibility of US attacking Iran or for that matter Isreal is now reduced to minimal to nought unless Tehran does something approaching "Hara Kiri" which it will not. The greatest danger of attack was during Ahmedinjad's period all the way upto the recent agreement. That is when the window for any attack was open. It is now decidely shut.
So you might ask what brought the agreement? Well simple. The elephant in the room, the alarmingly growing elephant in the room - China. Maybe Panda analogy might have been better. The Chinese were getting impatient with the sanctions regime. Chinese need oil and soon enough they will need gas as they are already recieving huge supplies from Turkmenistan.
America came under pressure and knew that the sanctions regime it had with difficulty clubbed togather would start falling apart soon and it was case of getting the best deal in town. The nuclear deal was that. What folk overlook is Chinese have huge investments in Iran and more in the pipeline. Also Chinese demand for oil will go up China sees Iran as the supplier of choice. If you look at Iran/China trade you already can see where we are heading for. The Chinese have huge footprint and growing in Iran.
Within half a decade there is no way attack on Iran could take place unless Iran did something suicidal. This is because from this year on the magnitude of Chinese trade and investment in Iran will increase in multiplier effect. We are fast heading toward a unipolar world and within this changed dynamic Iran will flourish as she has the oil, the internal cohesion, a highly educated workforce increasingly being secularized by the Mullah regime.
This my two cents on this.
@Daneshmand Don't bother with this sectarian bullshat with appropriatly named
@ziaulhaq1986 The more you feed these people they more they grow and bigger this sectarian rubbish grows. Ignore and dump 'em.
And to clarify I am from Pakistan and have no real axe to grind on this subject.
