Emmie
RETIRED MOD
- Joined
- Apr 23, 2011
- Messages
- 5,756
- Reaction score
- 8
- Country
- Location
Alot of the geo journos giving PTI 30 seats as average, and predicting that MQM and PPP will get more than them, the person leading the chorus is Irfan Siddiqi...this analysis seems tooo biased to me.
ARY journos such as Mubashir Luqman and Kashif Abbasi on the other hand giving anywhere from 50 to 90 seats, this seems much more reasonable.
Now my final prediction of 2013 elections, PTI will get around 60 to 70 seata, JI will fetch around 10 to 15 and MQM will get around 35. If this indeed is the case, then PTI should join hands with MQM and form government, the independents will float everywhere so 10 to 15 seats from there.
The other scenario is that PTI gets around 40 seats, then opposition.
My brain tella me it will be PML that comes out on top.
In the end, I would support PTI and MQM alliance if indeed PTI gets60 odd seats and MQM around 35 and JI 15. Bakay Allah jaisay chahay.
@Emmie, @Oscar, @Leader, @Armstrong and others, what do you think?
Geo is speaking malice openly, some of their journos are even cunningly discouraging PTI voters, same is the case with Dunya.
It's very difficult to predict the results because of some unique trends, trends which never have reported before. What we all are neglecting is exclusion of fake voters of 2008, overlooking expulsion of few crores voters & inclusion of few crore genuine and young voters this time round is not wise I believe. Mr. Siddiqi seems to be ignorant at the fact that PTI has attracted voters of both PMLN and PPP, hence situation for both the parties is more or less same as it would be pre IK, given there's a decline in vote bank of both the parties. Having said that I don't think PPP will have any leverage, yes, PMLN lead of thousands is definitely going to shrink.
Number of PTI seats depends upon the turnout, more is the turnout more are the seats and vice versa. Turnout of 60% in Punjab means PMLN is out, but that frankly speaking seems quite less likely, I know my country fellows. I won't predict anything for PTI, just keeping my fingers crossed.
MQM will not reach to the figure of 30 or 35. 35 means out of 75 (total), other parties will share 40 seats!. In Sindh - PMLF is going to get at least five seats, PMLN 1 or 2, Shirazis and others 5-6. Same is the case with JI, increase of their one seat means decrease of one PTI seat.
Last edited by a moderator: