PTI Electoral Position in Next Elections

[Affan-khan]

Tough, but not impossible... Currently PTI has 14 seats (out of 61) from Sindh Province, among them 13 from Karachi and 1 from Interior Sindh (Jacobabad Mian Muhammad Somroo)........So If Imran Khan agrees to have electoral alliance with GDA, the alliance of PTI + GDA can manage to win 8 to 10 seats from Interior Sindh.... Which will strengthen their position in Sindh as well as in the Centre.... 8 to 10 seats means a lot...

Hyderabad two seats going to mqm will shift to PTI in next election. Mirpurkhas and sukkur city seats can go to PTI. Tando Allah yar na224 gda PTI member got 70 k plus votes another seat to look. Plus tharparkar seat Shah mehmood lost by few thousand votes. Mqm is total gone add those 7 seats into pti

 

[prop558]

Yet a conspiracy and rumors in capital and neighbor city…….. PMNL PPP and allies joined forces for next elections whenever it’s happened, next elections isn’t favoring PTI in any type of form. Lucky if grabbed 50 seats over all Pakistan. The way they treated their ex Allies no one even think to re joined them again.
Am also seeing another PTI emerged before next elections PTI abcd, that’s how Pak politics controlled and benefit “ some “
Well, good luck! hope and wish for best.

Where is PPP-SB which "they" planned to use against parent PPP ?? .... Where is PML-J ?? which "they" created to use wherever and whenever they want to....

See, as I said earlier, there is a huge resentment within the major institutions, the way they threw out Imran Khan.... It's not benefitting Anti-PTI forces by any means, but benefitting PTI instead.... See where Imran Khan's popularity was 3-4 months back and see where it is .... He is at peak of his political career....

Still not over for PTI at all, having Government in KPK , GB and AJK... There is all about Punjab, from where the Elect-ables got defected as per their culture of Punjab's Elect-ables, of praising the every rising sun...

 

[maverick1977]

In 2018, PTI performance region wise...

28 out of 39 - KPK
07 out of 12 - Ex FATA
14 out of 20 - Karachi
03 out of 03 - FCA Islamabad
13 out of 15 - North Punjab / Pothohar
23 out of 75 - Central Punjab
04 out of 15 - South Punjab (Non Seraiki Districts)
22 out of 36 - South Punjab (Seraiki Belt Districts)
01 out of 41 - Interior Sindh (other than Karachi)
02 out of 16 - Balochistan
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117 out of 272 - TOTAL GENERAL SEATS WON
05 Independents Joined
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
122 out of 272 - TOTAL GENERAL SEATS (After Independents)

028 out of 060 - Women Reserved
005 out of 010 - Minority Reserved
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155 out of 342 - GRAND TOTAL
-------------------------------------------------------------------

Punjab central will be 45-50, south non seraili will be 8-10 and south seraili will be 22-25, interior sind will be 10-15. and balochistan will be 5-8

 

[prop558]

Hyderabad two seats going to mqm will shift to PTI in next election. Mirpurkhas and sukkur city seats can go to PTI. Tando Allah yar na224 gda PTI member got 70 k plus votes another seat to look. Plus tharparkar seat Shah mehmood lost by few thousand votes. Mqm is total gone add those 7 seats into pti

PTI Can Win :

NA 207 - Sukkur II - PTI Mubeen Jatoi lost with 60,089 against PPP 69,379.
NA 220 - Umerkot - PTI Shah Mehmood lost with 104,267 against PPP 162,979.
NA 221 - Tharparkar I - PTI Shah Mehmood lost with 72,127 against PPP 79,098
NA 234 - Dadu - PTI Liaqat Jatoi (Ex CM Sindh) lost with 82,730 against PPP 98,038

PTI + GDA Can Win :

NA 208 Ghotki - GDA Ghaus Ali Shah lost with 57,477 against PPP 107,847
NA 210 Kahirpur III - GDA Kazim Ali Shah lost with 78,525 against PPP 90,718.
NA 212 Noshero Feroze - GDA Murtaza Jatoi lost with 84,361 against PPP 90,266
NA 215 Sanghar I - GDA Khuda Bux Rajar lost with 77,227 against PPP 77,812
NA 216 Sanghar II - GDA Kishan Chand lost with 70,436 against PPP 80,752
NA 229 Badin I - GDA Hassam Mirza lost with 81,225 against PPP 96,977

PTI should give tickets to following 3 strong elect-able Independets :

NA 198 Shikarpur - IND Ibrahim Ali Jatoi lost with 49,961 against PPP 64,187
NA 204 Ghotki I - IND Abdul Haq Mitha lost with 91,739 against PPP 99,878
NA 218 Mirpurkhas - IND Ali Nawaz Shah won with 75,795 against PPP 67,552

Punjab central will be 45-50, south non seraili will be 8-10 and south seraili will be 22-25, interior sind will be 10-15. and balochistan will be 5-8

I think PTI loose some seats from South Punjab's Seraiki belt.... As many of the Elect-ables has defected and are promised by PPP to give tickets in Next Elections.

While they will gain few 5 to 10 seats from Central Punjab and at least 2 seats each from Karachi, KPK and Balochistan...

 

[Zhukov]

I doubt Bajwa will resign. He will continue till November and not seek an extension. It was Nawaz Sharif who chose Mushraff and look what happened to him. Army looks after its own interests, they bought Shabaz Sharif in power because he has good relations with army than Nawaz Sharif. Both Shabaz and Ch Nisar opposed Nawaz attacks on army but Nawaz did not listen. Dont forget Pti gave extension to Bajwa and look how that ended up. Pti needs to come to an agreement with the establishment and then go for free and fair elections, let the army deal with Usa, India, Saudi and UAE, they should tell the public we have no choice and ask the generals, Pti then should continue to build relations with China, Turkey, Azerbaijan, ASEAN, Central Asia.

Whats the point then if a government cannot formulate foreign policy? PTI should give up the country and let the smartass establishment run themselves. Either govern with authority or step back. no need to to het Gaalian from public meanwhile establishment pull the strings

 

[prop558]

Whats the point then if a government cannot formulate foreign policy? PTI should give up the country and let the smartass establishment run themselves. Either govern with authority or step back. no need to to het Gaalian from public meanwhile establishment pull the strings

It should not be... But again it's a reality, not only in Pakistan, but in many other countries, Military do gives input on Foreign Policy

 

[Zhukov]

It should not be... But again it's a reality, not only in Pakistan, but in many other countries, Military do gives input on Foreign Policy

Inputs, Not control and dictate

 

[jupiter2007]

No alliance before elections. No seat adjustment with any party before elections. PTI need to secure 172 of its own seats (including women and minorities) and only then go for alliance to make a strong government which can not be blackmailed by allies or opposition. If allies know PTI already have required number and wont need allies if allies turns against them, they won't. Because it gives them no liverage but staying with ruling party gives them liverage



Key is Balochistan. As it's MNA's are worth more in PM, Speaker, Senate Chairman, president elections.

Both Balochistan and interior Sindh is important. With EVM and overseas Pakistani voting, PTI has a chance to sweep elections or at least 185+ seats.

PTI will retain their seats from Karachi and they may win few more. MQM and PSP has no chance against PTI. People are tired of MQM and their cousins PSP.

 

[Oruc]

What if pti manages to make govt in federal but loses punjab Govt? Can it happen?

 

[ghazi52]

Liar ..

 

[notorious_eagle]

I think PTI loose some seats from South Punjab's Seraiki belt.... As many of the Elect-ables has defected and are promised by PPP to give tickets in Next Elections.

While they will gain few 5 to 10 seats from Central Punjab and at least 2 seats each from Karachi, KPK and Balochistan...

I have my sincere doubts about that. PML-N and PPP are extremely unpopular in South Punjab. PTI is at its peak popularity in South Punjab right now. Say what you want about Buzdar and i agree he is a duffer, but he did quite a bit of work for development in South Punjab which has resulted in PTI popularity. I expect PTI to win more seats compared to 2018 elections. Social media, proliferation of smartphones and the youth bulge has resulted in massive support for PTI in South Punjab. Also, these electables are not the only game in town since every constituency tends to have 3-4 strong political families.

Looking at the current balance of power, its very hard to see PTI not winning a single majority unless something drastic happens.

With EVM and overseas Pakistani voting, PTI has a chance to sweep elections or at least 185+ seats.

Even without EVM and Overseas Pakistani votes, its very hard to see PTI not winning a simple majority.

 

[Norwegian]

Looking at the current balance of power, its very hard to see PTI not winning a single majority unless something drastic happens.

PTI can easily win 2/3 majority after the revolution in May

 

[ziaulislam]

In 2018, PTI performance region wise...

28 out of 39 - KPK
07 out of 12 - Ex FATA
14 out of 20 - Karachi
03 out of 03 - FCA Islamabad
13 out of 15 - North Punjab / Pothohar
23 out of 75 - Central Punjab
04 out of 15 - South Punjab (Non Seraiki Districts)
22 out of 36 - South Punjab (Seraiki Belt Districts)
01 out of 41 - Interior Sindh (other than Karachi)
02 out of 16 - Balochistan
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
117 out of 272 - TOTAL GENERAL SEATS WON
05 Independents Joined
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
122 out of 272 - TOTAL GENERAL SEATS (After Independents)

028 out of 060 - Women Reserved
005 out of 010 - Minority Reserved
-------------------------------------------------------------------
155 out of 342 - GRAND TOTAL
-------------------------------------------------------------------

40 seats to give next rubber stampl legitmacy

Mostly from KPK
Sindh doubt it..
zardari told establishment clearly he wanta karachi back
Some seats from quetta will be there and a few from punjab for legitmacy

PTI can easily win 2/3 majority after the revolution in May

Who will bring revolution
You?
Just like china is ruled by a communist party pakistan is ruled by corrupt elite..mostly from central ounjab


The only way resolution will happen if pakistan bankrupts

If that happens you loose Gilgat baltistan and rest of kashmir along with your nuclear weapons

 

[Norwegian]

Who will bring revolution

People of Pakistan. Civilians who made Pakistan and who liberated Pakistan from boot and hammer mafia in East Pakistan

 

[prop558]

I have my sincere doubts about that. PML-N and PPP are extremely unpopular in South Punjab. PTI is at its peak popularity in South Punjab right now. Say what you want about Buzdar and i agree he is a duffer, but he did quite a bit of work for development in South Punjab which has resulted in PTI popularity. I expect PTI to win more seats compared to 2018 elections. Social media, proliferation of smartphones and the youth bulge has resulted in massive support for PTI in South Punjab. Also, these electables are not the only game in town since every constituency tends to have 3-4 strong political families.

Looking at the current balance of power, its very hard to see PTI not winning a single majority unless something drastic happens.


Even without EVM and Overseas Pakistani votes, its very hard to see PTI not winning a simple majority.

Long British Rule and Two Party System after Independence till today, has created strong elect-ables in almost 70% of the Constituencies in Pakistan, mostly in Rural Areas...........

PTI seems not in good position in South Punjab's Seraiki Belt... As the defectors will get tickets from PPP or PML-N and their rival elect-able will get ticket from the second party... Khosas are in PPP while Legharis are in PTI as well in PML-N, so in either case, the family remains in power.... In DG Khan Khosas got PTI ticket while in Rajanpur Khosas got PPP ticket.... Hillarios but true in Pakistani politics.