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Potential in Pakistan-Ukraine Defence Ties?

Ukraine and Pakistan defence ties unrealistic.

ISLAMABAD — Ukraine's efforts to increase its defense relationship with Pakistan are unlikely to succeed due to the turmoil in that country and Pakistan's growing relationship with Ukraine's nemesis Russia, according to analysts.

The push by Ukraine was reported by The Associated Press of Pakistan (APP), which claimed Ukrainian Ambassador Volodymyr Lakomov had said Ukraine was "ready to cooperate with Pakistan in the defense sector with supply and joint production" of cargo aircraft, and "Pakistan could be a regional partner for ... renovation/modification process to production."

The report also specifically mentioned the Antonov An-225 Dream/Cossack, but analysts have dismissed any Pakistani involvement with this huge six-engine transport as simply unfeasible.

There was a time when Ukraine's defense industry was of critical importance to Pakistan supplying T-80UD main battle tanks (MBT), as well as engines and subsystems for the locally built Al-Khalid and Al-Zarrar MBTs (in addition to the design for the latter, which is an upgrade of the Chinese Type-59).

This later involved the supply of four Ilyushin Il-78 Midas multirole tanker-transport aircraft.

Ukrainian defense companies are also regular exhibitors at Pakistan's biennial IDEAS series of defense exhibitions, where they constantly hope to build on previous success.

However, analysts, such as analyst, author and former Australian defense attache to Islamabad Brian Cloughley, say Ukraine's defense industry star is quickly fading in Pakistan due to domestic turmoil and Pakistan's warming relationship with Russia.

"Ukraine is grasping at straws all round the world. It is in a state of almost terminal decline, with rampant corruption and ineffective leadership. Internal administration is catastrophically inept and the economy is in tatters," Cloughley said. "It does make good military equipment and aircraft, but one wonders how long it can keep doing so.

"The Kiev government is trying to discourage other countries from buying Russian — and, indeed, having anything to do with Russia, with the strong support of the US and some NATO nations — and the Lakomov approach is probably symptomatic of this campaign."

Russia is of increasing importance to Pakistan. It supplies the Klimov RD-93 that powers the JF-17 Thunder fighter. A number of Mi-35M Hind helicopter gunships are on order and negotiations were reported for the Su-35 Flanker.

Analyst, author and former Pakistani Air Force pilot Kaiser Tufail said anything that could upset this is to be avoided.

"I think at this stage, when relations with Russia are on the mend, we must not take any hasty steps and upset the cart, so to speak," he said.

He is dismissive of any further cooperation with Ukraine, at least in respect to the aviation industry.

"Ukraine's aviation industry is in doldrums in a cash-strapped country. I do not think they have much to offer," he said. "As for transport aircraft, we have no need, as the fleet of C-130s and CASA CN-235 are doing a fine job. The existing Il-78 aerial tankers purchased from Ukraine have only found some use in hauling oversized cargo, and have been a disappointment as far as its noisy and gas-guzzling engines go. With that legacy, the PAF would be wary to look at their aircraft, even the newer models."


Tufail believes Russia is therefore a much safer bet, but he offered a note of caution: "Russia has much more to offer, though in the prevailing situation in Syria, taking sides would not be prudent for Pakistan, if it is choosing between Russia or Ukraine."
 
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As per An188 ............ I don't think so it offer any major leverage to Pakistan. We have IL78 as Tankers. In near Future when Jf17 will be installed IFR probe , these IL78 will be enough to full fill our needs as Tankers. Since none of other PAF aircraft is IFR capable, so IL78 are purely here for Jf17 .............
Instead of An188, I believe that Pakistan must wait for Y20 from China. Which is equivalent of American C17 Globe master in capacity, payload, speed and altitude...............

Sometimes lean and efficiency equipment in small payload is more successfully than big bulky mass.
 
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Highly unlikely.

Pakistan will just kiss the Russian-Pakistan relations good bye.

However, this deal if it does happen, reorients Pakistan towards the West. And into the potential sanctions. Lets face it, Russia has a much greater ability and nationalist pride to fight for their business partners than the Ukrainians (no offense). Pakistan can wait another 30 years before the Russian sell 4 new helicopters.

And all this talk hinges on the ability of Pakistan to fund projects. Its all talk but as of current no offers. Antonov is a good company, mature powerhouse in the aviation industry (almost unmatched in planes built to handle rough runways), and Pakistan is a rising economy that will need regional aviation jets. And can market towards the developing world.

But all of this can be offered by China also. The Chinese C919.

@Quwa Ukrainian Antonov factories are dry, no orders, IF, big IF, Pakistan can buy the complete assembly line it might be worth something.
 
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Sometimes lean and efficiency equipment in small payload is more successfully than big bulky mass.
The only Thing I see Ukraine can offer is Engine for Tanks ..........................
Pakistan can get better options from China for Strategic Transport aircraft...............

Like Y30 (C130 replacement in Future)

Y-30 Transport Aircraft__.jpg



And Y20 (Heavy Aerial Transport)

Chinese-Y-20-Strategic-Military-Transport.jpg
 
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The only Thing I see Ukraine can offer is Engine for Tanks ..........................
Pakistan can get better options from China for Strategic Transport aircraft...............

Like Y30 (C130 replacement in Future)

View attachment 292915


And Y20 (Heavy Aerial Transport)

View attachment 292916
China shouldn't be the go to for everything Pakistan does. The last thing Pakistan needs is to become overly reliant on China, like it did with the US.

Diversifying it's suppliers is the best thing Pakistan can do.
 
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China shouldn't be the go to for everything Pakistan does.
We don't have many options, since we don't have much money to offer.
If you have more resources then you can diversify your Arsenal.............
But in our case its not gonna happen.
Ukraine itself is in desperate need of Money, that's why they are offering us such offers.
China was, China is, China will be our Major Strategic partner................ We cannot Trust Russia or United States, France and Europe are out of questions.
 
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We don't have many options, since we don't have much money to offer.
If you have more resources then you can diversify your Arsenal.............
But in our case its not gonna happen.
Ukraine itself is in desperate need of Money, that's why they are offering us such offers.
China was, China is, China will be our Major Strategic partner................ We cannot Trust Russia or United States, France and Europe are out of questions.
No offense, but that's according to you.

Pakistan's current situation is not great, but it isn't terrible. When it comes to transport aircraft, Pakistan still has other options, look at KC-390 from Brazil, which is in development. Brazil has already shown itself to be a reliable source of military equipment.

Europe isn't out of the question, and it isn't about trust. This is a big issue that Pakistanis fail to understand. Do you want to know why India is so successful? Why China is so successful? It isn't because they have large populations, and large GDPs; it's because they treat defense purchases as business and business alone. You want the US, Russia, France and all of Europe to treat you with respect? Stop complaining about trust issues, and treat them as business partners first, not as allies first.

Many European nations, in particular Germany and Italy, have shown that they're eager to do defense business with Pakistan. Sure a lack of funds hinders that, but it doesn't stop this completely. If Pakistan can buy drones from Italy (during it's so called financial drought period), and come close to signing a deal with Germany for 2 subs (which stopped due to Pakistan's internal political issues), then Pakistan has little excuses.

Pakistan's economy is set to grow to 300 billion by the end of 2017, and then exponentially grow thereafter, as most major development projects will be finished by then. IF there is any acquisition from now until 2018, Pakistan won't even have to pay for them at least until 2018 to 2020.

There is also this myth that Pakistan would be buying everything in one go. IF you're well off, you can buy two honda civics, but if you're in financial trouble, though you need two cars, you buy them one by one. Pakistan would be buying any large acquisition in small batches, not all at the same time. You buy what you can afford, until you can buy some more.
 
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No offense, but that's according to you.

Pakistan's current situation is not great, but it isn't terrible. When it comes to transport aircraft, Pakistan still has other options, look at KC-390 from Brazil, which is in development. Brazil has already shown itself to be a reliable source of military equipment.

Europe isn't out of the question, and it isn't about trust. This is a big issue that Pakistanis fail to understand. Do you want to know why India is so successful? Why China is so successful? It isn't because they have large populations, and large GDPs; it's because they treat defense purchases as business and business alone. You want the US, Russia, France and all of Europe to treat you with respect? Stop complaining about trust issues, and treat them as business partners first, not as allies first.

Many European nations, in particular Germany and Italy, have shown that they're eager to do defense business with Pakistan. Sure a lack of funds hinders that, but it doesn't stop this completely. If Pakistan can buy drones from Italy (during it's so called financial drought period), and come close to signing a deal with Germany for 2 subs (which stopped due to Pakistan's internal political issues), then Pakistan has little excuses.

Pakistan's economy is set to grow to 300 billion by the end of 2017, and then exponentially grow thereafter, as most major development projects will be finished by then. IF there is any acquisition from now until 2018, Pakistan won't even have to pay for them at least until 2018 to 2020.

There is also this myth that Pakistan would be buying everything in one go. IF you're well off, you can buy two honda civics, but if you're in financial trouble, though you need two cars, you buy them one by one. Pakistan would be buying any large acquisition in small batches, not all at the same time. You buy what you can afford, until you can buy some more.
I am not offended...................... but there is well known term for Pakistanis in terms of ''trust'' ............. its called
SANCTIONS. And it is always followed by our ''allies'' which wee very Trust worthy, and we did every thing possible to win their ''trust'' .......... but look how it all ended up. Weapons from China don't pose such threat. Money problem can be solved, but Sanction problem can't..........

And geo political situation of Pakistan and India are different. They cannot be compared. They have different criteria and Parameters in economy and international relations...............
 
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I am not offended...................... but there is well known term for Pakistanis in terms of ''trust'' ............. its called
SANCTIONS. And it is always followed by our ''allies'' which wee very Trust worthy, and we did every thing possible to win their ''trust'' .......... but look how it all ended up. Weapons from China don't pose such threat. Money problem can be solved, but Sanction problem can't..........

And geo political situation of Pakistan and India are different. They cannot be compared. They have different criteria and Parameters in economy and international relations...............
IF you do business that is worthwhile for both parties, then the risk of sanctions decreases. Trust is something, at least from my view, that shouldn't even factor into this. You get what you pay for, and expecting more is not something one should actively seek, as it usually leads to disappointment. Do you want to know why Pakistan considers Brazil a reliable source of military supplies? Because Pakistan treated the deals with Brazil as business first, which is why Brazil completely ignored Indian objections. Pakistan paid for it's equipment, and expected nothing more; For that matter, Brazil considers Pakistan as a good customer for it's equipment, outside of it's usual South American market.

The risk of sanctions are something one should look at, but it shouldn't be the first issue. PA understands this, which is why Pakistan STILL prefers buys American first. The risk of sanctions decrease, when you make it clear that it is worth doing business for both parties, and imposing them will harm businesses on both sides negatively.

Besides, in this day and age, sanctions are pretty much a thing of the past. With Pakistan's economy set to reach a trillion sometime within the next 30-35 years, sanctions may end up being ineffectual.

@Tipu7 To clarify, when I say:

"You get what you pay for, and expecting more is not something one should actively seek, as it usually leads to disappointment."

I don't mean economic and cultural relations, I mean in terms of strategic relations. It's important to try and improve relations, but when it comes to business deals, politicizing the issue just makes things more difficult, and decreases your standing with the supplier.
 
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Yes, Pakistan should sign this deal & be part of Ukraine developmental programs as this move will help our engineers to develop new techniques & methods, which only help us in the long run & solo research programs on new fighters, if we plan any in the future.
 
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