Bill Longley
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After the death of Baitullah Mahsud, the disputes have become visible in Taliban ranks. Baitullah Mahsud was center of Gravity of that movement and after him there is no big name who can keep the movement united.Mahsuds death was result of coordination between Pakistani and American intel agencies. Reports immediately started coming out Waziristan about internal fighting’s between Taliban fractions. Al though Bhitani group claimed that Baitullahs deputies Hakeem ullah and Wali ur Rehman died in a shoot out our who will replace Baitullah Mahsud but after the fog vanished both commanders phoned media agencies and gave the proof that they are alive. The issue between different fractions within Mahsud tribe is over who will control million dollar worth Arms and ammunition and money. According to sources some how elders have controlled the blood shed between the fractions but its matter of time that fighting within Mahsuds start. To divert the attention over succession. TTP is concentrating in fighting against Bhitanies who are pro government and enemy of TTP. Turkistan Bhitani the main commander of Bhitani tribe is part of Abdullah Mahsud Group who rebelled against Baitullah’s Takfiri policies a year back. The leader of Abdullah Mahsud Group, Zainuddin Mahsud was killed by His body guard in DI khan few months ago.To divert the attension and internal fighting every second day Mahsud group attacks Bhitani and Abdullah Mahsud group . Attack on Bhitani positions on 8th august was the biggest ground attack by TTP on Bhitani positions in Sararoga in which 2000 Takfiri terrorists participated. This attack was repulsed by Bhitanies with the help of Army and nearly 100 men mainly Terrorists died. On 15th Bhitani positions were attacked in Gomal area. In this attack nearly 350 TTP terrorists attacked Bhitani. This attack was also repulsed. Terrorists suffered 5 dead and 4 injured where as 1 Bhitani man was killed and 1 injured. After Mehsud’s death,. Molvi Nazir came out the dominant commander of Taliban. He was the person who benefited the most after Baitullahs death. Nazir is a Wazir and belongs to Waziri alliance. In 2007 he started operation against Uzbeks and pushed them out of Waziri area. These Uzbeks were given refuge by Baitullahs TTP. Wazir’s are at odd with Mahsuds both blocked the routes for each other. Nazir is Part of Waziri Alliance, which is an alliance of Ahmed Zai and Uthman Zai Wazir tribes of North and South Waziristan.Baitullah Mahsud succeeded in making alliance with Wazir’s in march 2009. This new alliance was made for defense of NWA and SWA from army operation. Gul Bahader was chosen to lead this alliance.Both Gul Bahader of NWA and Molvi Nazir of SWA announced that their settlement with Government ended after Government launched Operation Rah e Nijat. But after few days Nazir announced that he will not attack forces.Interestingly TTP allied Uzbeks and Mahsuds on Sunday 16th 2009 laid down an ambush near WANA in SWA in which 17 Waziri militants were killed. According toReuters The Mehsud clansmen ambushed vehicles carrying men from Maulvi Nazir Wazir's group in South Waziristan, a tribal region on the border withAfghanistan, late on Saturday night. "They were hiding behind the rocks and, as soon as our people reached there, they opened fire. It was so sudden and quick that none of our men fired back," Shaheen Wazir, Maulvi Nazir's spokesman, told Reuters by telephone.Although TTP Mahsud has denied its involvement but the presence of Uzbeks who in past were beaten out of area by Nazir and his men . Nazir and his group blame it on Uzbeks and Mehsud’s.According to Reuters
The attack on Maulvi Nazir's fighters is more significant than earlier clashes between Baitullah Mehsud's fighters and men led by two other militant commanders, Turkistan Bitani and Misbahuddin Mehsud This attack proves that after the death of Baitullah the coordination of Taliban has ended and different fractions of TTP are operating independently to settle their scores with each other. Interestingly there is also a shift in military strategy of Forces. Instead of concentrating in SWA forces are engaging Gul Bahader and His men. Army has successfully blocked the Pak Afghan Border with help of Allied forces in Afghanistan. This has cut the Line of supply from Afghanistan. On other hand, now they are targeting the other line of supply of arms and ammunition coming from Dara Adam Khel. Army is hitting TTP positions in Aurak zai and Kurram which is the main route of arms transfer and successfully destroying the supply network.In NWA troops are engaged in Battle with Baitullahs replacement Hafiz Gul Bahader. This to engage the NWA Taliban’s in order to help allies (US and ISAF) inAfghanistan who are worried about Presidential elections of 20th. In SWA , The anti TTP tribal are doing the fighting for Government who in return is giving them air and Artillery support. I personally believe the main ground offensive against TTP in SWA will not start before Afghan elections. Because the strategy as I understand is to engage the TTP in SWA with its anti Fractions so that they don’t focus on Afghanistan and also engage Taliban in NWA with troops on ground and busy them fighting in Agency.US special envoy yesterday praised Pakistani Strategy. Mullen also complimented Pakistani strategy. I think terrorist and extremist networks should be defeated inPakistan because its matter of Survival and future of our coming generationsBut in Afghanistan things are different. Taliban movement in Afghanistan has changed into Pashtun National Struggle. US and NATO should realize that They cannot defeat Afghan Taliban by force because Pashtun Race is at war with them. Their (US AND NATO) enemy is Al Qaeda. By engaging in Talks with Afghan Taliban is only way which will lead Taliban away from Al Qaeda. The war on Terror is war on Takfir and should be fought accordingly. Takfir should be defeated from Arabia toIndonesia.
http://mbik14.blogspot.com/2009/08/pakistans-taliban-strategy.html
The attack on Maulvi Nazir's fighters is more significant than earlier clashes between Baitullah Mehsud's fighters and men led by two other militant commanders, Turkistan Bitani and Misbahuddin Mehsud This attack proves that after the death of Baitullah the coordination of Taliban has ended and different fractions of TTP are operating independently to settle their scores with each other. Interestingly there is also a shift in military strategy of Forces. Instead of concentrating in SWA forces are engaging Gul Bahader and His men. Army has successfully blocked the Pak Afghan Border with help of Allied forces in Afghanistan. This has cut the Line of supply from Afghanistan. On other hand, now they are targeting the other line of supply of arms and ammunition coming from Dara Adam Khel. Army is hitting TTP positions in Aurak zai and Kurram which is the main route of arms transfer and successfully destroying the supply network.In NWA troops are engaged in Battle with Baitullahs replacement Hafiz Gul Bahader. This to engage the NWA Taliban’s in order to help allies (US and ISAF) inAfghanistan who are worried about Presidential elections of 20th. In SWA , The anti TTP tribal are doing the fighting for Government who in return is giving them air and Artillery support. I personally believe the main ground offensive against TTP in SWA will not start before Afghan elections. Because the strategy as I understand is to engage the TTP in SWA with its anti Fractions so that they don’t focus on Afghanistan and also engage Taliban in NWA with troops on ground and busy them fighting in Agency.US special envoy yesterday praised Pakistani Strategy. Mullen also complimented Pakistani strategy. I think terrorist and extremist networks should be defeated inPakistan because its matter of Survival and future of our coming generationsBut in Afghanistan things are different. Taliban movement in Afghanistan has changed into Pashtun National Struggle. US and NATO should realize that They cannot defeat Afghan Taliban by force because Pashtun Race is at war with them. Their (US AND NATO) enemy is Al Qaeda. By engaging in Talks with Afghan Taliban is only way which will lead Taliban away from Al Qaeda. The war on Terror is war on Takfir and should be fought accordingly. Takfir should be defeated from Arabia toIndonesia.
http://mbik14.blogspot.com/2009/08/pakistans-taliban-strategy.html