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Core assets cause a dent of $3b
July 20, 2010


ISLAMABAD: Federal Minister of Privatisation Waqar Ahmed Khan has said core organisations are a great burden on the national exchequer, causing a dent of about $3 to $3.5 billion a year.

“This is not a small amount,” he said, adding Pakistan Railways has been working without a balance sheet that has led to inefficiency and losses of billions of rupees to the state.”

He was speaking at a joint meeting of the UK-Pakistan Chamber of Commerce and Industry (UKPCCI) and Pakistan Press Club in London, said a handout issued by the Privatisation Commission on Monday.

However, Khan said core assets such as Pakistan Railways, Pakistan International Airlines, Pakistan Steel Mills, Utility Stores Corporation and Pakistan Electric Power Company will not be sold. At the same time, he added, the government is taking steps to reorganise these assets and turn them into profitable entities.

“We have embarked on a policy to re-shape these organisations by bringing in people with sound background and knowledge for running them in a profitable manner,” he said.

Khan said the government is taking steps to launch convertible bonds to generate liquidity and rely on its own resources, adding the government is aware of the huge fiscal deficit facing the country and has taken steps to reduce it in a gradual manner.

He said the government is considering innovative ways which can create liquidity and become self-sustained.

He was of the view that the government should be in the business of making policies, instead of running businesses.

“The government’s job is to make policies which are conducive and supportive of the private sector business development process,” he stated.

Earlier, UKPCCI President Naheed Randhawa said privatisation is the only way forward to put all sick industries back on track. He urged the government to make transparent recruitment policies and bring in qualified people for running state-owned enterprises.

Published in The Express Tribune, July 20th, 2010.


Core assets cause a dent of $3b – The Express Tribune
 
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BP selling Pakistan assets to pay for oil spill
Updated at: 2100 PST, Tuesday, July 20, 2010

KARACHI: BP Plc plans to divest its exploration and production operations in Pakistan, as part of a plan to sell global assets to help pay for the worst oil spill in US history, a BP official said on Tuesday.

"This process should be completed by December 2010," said Sabeen Jatoi, the BP spokesperson.

"Pricing will be a matter for bidders. ... We will not be selling at a price that does not represent a good deal for BP shareholders."

However, there are no bidders right now and BP is setting up its dataroom in Pakistan after which bidders will come forward as with any acquisition, Jatoi added.

BP unveiled plans last month for about $10 billion in asset sales following the oil spill which has caused an economic and environmental disaster in five US states along the Gulf Coast.

BP said in a statement that it had spent $3.95 billion on efforts to cap the well and clean up the spill.

BP selling Pakistan assets to pay for oil spill
 
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Afghanistan to withdraw 10% service charge on goods: FBR

KARACHI: Afghanistan is ready to withdraw the 10 percent service charges on the goods exports to Central Asian countries by Pakistani exporters, said Chairman Federal Board of Revenue (FBR), Sohail Ahmed

Talking to members of Karachi Chamber of Commerce and Industry on Thursday he said the accord of Pakistan Afghan Transit Trade has not been signed yet, however minutes of the accord were signed, the treaty for 50 years would be approved by Prime Minister, Cabinet and later will be discussed by National Assembly. He said that six rounds of meeting have been completed with Afghan government and it has been conveyed for opening of LCs in Afghanistan.

It has also been decided to collect customs duty at Pakistani ports and to refund it at Afghan borders, he said adding, in order to make this system effective and hassle-free, a container tracking system would also be introduced.

He was of the view that non-harassment and self-assessment schemes would not be amended and would continue for the facilitation of taxpayers. He also sought businessmen suggestions for the implementation of desk audit and scrutiny system.

About budget anomalies, he said two committees would be made - one under the supervision of Munir Qureshi, member customs while the other would be led by Israr Rauf member direct taxes.

Sohail said there is zero tolerance towards corruption in FBR and strict actions are being taken against officials involved in corruption, “whereas several officials have been suspended so far”, he informed. Regarding implementation of Value Added Tax (VAT), he said that imposition of VAT is not inevitable, talks are underway with the finance ministry over GST reform, however the ministry has been asked to complete negotiations with provinces to finalise the issue. “No secret document is being made by FBR regarding VAT and no ordinance will be presented.”

Chairman FBR said that Rs 1330 billion have been collected in the tax collection target against Rs 1380 billion set for FY 2009-10, adding that provision of subsidy on sugar and the reduction of WHT due to cut in PSDP were the main reasons for not completing of tax target. “Despite being a large sector of the economy, the retail sector is not paying any taxes and according to a survey only 40 retailers are paying taxes in Peshawar region”, he said.

He also clarified that 0.3 percent charges are for the customers who are dealing only in cash who make pay order, demand drafts and also use other bank instruments, however the account holders are exempted from this charge.

He said that some unscrupulous elements are running campaign against the Pakistan Computerised Clearance System (PaCCS), however negotiations are being done from the company of software for the continuation of this system. According to the system audit report, there are some problems in this system and “we are trying to get its access as we don’t have the system control.

Earlier, Abdul Majid Haji Muhammad president KCCI, Zubair Motiwala, former president KCCI and others spoke at the occasion and apprised Chairman FBR regarding the problems of business community. They said that with the recent budget 2010-11, there is a growing concern in business community that FBR has changed its role as a friendly tax facilitator, which is reflected from the number of notices issued during the last four years. staff report


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US announces special projects for Balochistan

QUETTA: US Consul General to Karachi William J Martin on Monday announced the launch of special projects in Balochistan besides the opening of a US consulate in the provincial metropolis. He was addressing a ceremony held in connection with the 234th Independence Day of America at a local hotel in Quetta. The ceremony was attended by Balochistan Assembly Speaker Muhammad Aslam Bhootani, provincial ministers, MPAs and several journalists. Martin said the US was committed to working alongside Pakistan to help improve the country’s health, education and energy sectors. “The US is mulling opening a consulate in Quetta,” he added. He announced several new assistance programmes worth millions of dollars for Balochistan. Many of these projects will directly benefit the people of Balochistan, he added. He said, “During the meetings, the government and people have told us the most important need in the province is water. In addition to a national high-efficiency irrigation project that will include Balochistan, we are working with the provincial government to provide the people with potable water.” He said, “The programme will enhance irrigation and distribution capacity, energy is also a concern in Balochistan. We already have a programme with the Quetta Electricity Supply Company to help them improve services to the public and reduce losses and increase efficiency.” “The US geological survey will provide assistance in identifying natural gas resources in Balochistan and to further their development. We will also provide assistance to help the country improve its regulatory and fiscal regimes in order to attract more investment,” he said. app

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Power prices still subsidised despite 56% rise in tariffs


LAHORE: The cost of producing electricity is still higher than the amount that customers are paying, said Pakistan Electric Power Company (Pepco) managing director Tahir Basharat Cheema. He said this on Thursday while talking about how electricity is still subsidised by the government despite an increase of 56 per cent in power tariffs last year.

Cheema said that the electricity tariff had been irrationally frozen from 2003 to 2008 and the government had no other option but to increase the tariff by such a large amount during the last two years. However, “we are still facing a deficit in the pricing mechanism,” he added.

He was speaking at a conference on “SAP-enabled Business Transformation in Pakistan’s Utilities Sector”, organised by SAP & Abacus Consulting. The conference was aimed at demonstrating how utility companies in Pakistan could be run better.

He said electricity supplying companies needed to invest in acquiring new IT technologies and processes, along with increasing generation capacity, improving management and curtailing operational cost.

Cheema said recourse to new technologies has become urgent for power suppliers, particularly when the country is faced with such a severe power crisis. “This power crisis is considered to be the worst of the four such crises the nation has faced since 1974-75,” he said.

Hassan Latif Jamal, Country Head of SAP Pakistan, said “SAP is a leading provider of software to electricity generation and distribution companies globally. SAP empowers over 1,600 utility companies including 275-plus power generation units globally with best practices to achieve operational efficiency in every aspect of their businesses.

Published in The Express Tribune, July 30th, 2010.




Power prices still subsidised despite 56% rise in tariffs – The Express Tribune
 
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Switzerland has invested $1.2b in Pakistan

KARACHI: Swiss multinational companies over the past seven years have invested $1.2 billion in food processing, pharmaceutical, chemical, engineering, banking and other services sectors, said Swiss Consul General in Karachi, Martin Bienz.

“Switzerland is currently ranked fifth in terms of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in Pakistan,” he said while talking to media on the occasion of Swiss National Day here on Thursday.

He said that these multinationals are generally satisfied with the course of business in Pakistan, and based on the market potential, maintain an optimistic outlook despite certain concerns in connection with ongoing energy shortages and law and order situation.

Bienz said bilateral trade has shown consistent growth and is now picking up further. Trade volume is expected to exceed 400 million Swiss francs this year, he said.

Swiss exports to Pakistan are driven by high demand of pharmaceutical products and raw material whereas textiles and garments continue to be the principal Pakistani export items to Switzerland.

The important criteria for today’s business practices are related to corporate social responsibility, he stated. UN Global Compact has defined 10 globally-accepted principles on issues like human rights, labour, environment and anti-corruption.

The Swiss Government fully supports this and will fund a two-year programme in Pakistan to strengthen significant principles through a Global Compact network.

“I would like to encourage Pakistani and multinational companies to join this meaningful campaign,” he added. He said Pakistan is still facing many challenges and hoped that peace and normality will prevail soon throughout the country.

Published in The Express Tribune, July 30th, 2010.


Switzerland has invested $1.2b in Pakistan – The Express Tribune
 
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Pakistan in surprise rate rise, cites inflation risk

Published on Sat, Jul 31, 2010 at 17:44 | Updated at Sat, Jul 31, 2010 at 21:20 | Source : Reuters




Pakistan's central bank unexpectedly increased its key policy rate by 50 basis points to 13% on Friday as inflation and fiscal weakness is overshadowing improvement in the current account deficit and economic growth.

The central bank's acting governor Yaseen Anwar said a change in monetary policy was needed to mitigate risks to economic stability.


"Therefore, SBP is increasing the policy rate by 50 basis points to 13 percent with effect from Aug. 2," Anwar said.

In a Reuters poll, 12 of 15 analysts expected the central bank to keep its policy rate unchanged for August and September.

The rate decision came after Pakistan markets had closed but analysts said the move could trigger a drop in shares early on Monday, reversing a 0.9% gain on Friday.

The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), which meets to discuss monetary policy every two months, kept the rate unchanged at 12.5% on May 24.

Inflation averaged 11.7% in the 2009/10 fiscal year ending in June, 2.7 percentage points higher than the central bank's target and Anwar said current trends and expected developments indicated that inflation risk would continue through the 2010/11 fiscal year.

This is due to a rise in electricity prices, an increase in the general sales tax and a revision in government employees' wages.

Anwar said Pakistan missed its fiscal deficit target of 5.1% for 2009/10 and it could be higher than 6.0%.

Under an IMF programme agreed in November 2008 for a two-year emergency package totalling $10.66 billion, Pakistan's government also agreed to zero net borrowing from the state bank.

According to official data, the government overshot that target by 41.93 billion rupees (USD 490 million) in 2009/10, a cause for concern among economists and analysts.

"Clearly, such developments are inconsistent with the objectives of macroeconomic stability," Anwar said, adding that a deficit target of 4 percent of GDP for the 2010/11 fiscal year already seems challenging. The deficit could exceed 5.0% of GDP, he said.

The central bank also stressed the need to "urgently" increase the tax-to GDP ratio and boost revenue for sustainable economic growth.

Increased government borrowing from the central bank increases money supply, which in turn can fuel inflation.

The IMF said in its country report on Pakistan last month that it had held discussions with the government focusing on the fiscal programme and also "a possible tightening of monetary policy to address the rebound in inflation".

Pakistan in surprise rate rise, cites inflation risk - Reuters -
 
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Most fiscal targets may be missed, says State Bank

By Shahid Iqbal
Saturday, 31 Jul, 2010


KARACHI: The State Bank increased its policy interest rate by 50 basis points to 13 per cent on Friday on the assumption that most of the government’s fiscal targets would not be achieved and its dependence on borrowing would continue during the current financial year and cause inflation and monetary expansion.

Announcing the monetary policy at a press conference, SBP’s Acting Governor Yaseen Anwar said the decision had been taken to mitigate risks to macro-economic stability. Effective from August 2, the policy rate will apply for two months -- August and September.

The monetary policy says that a number of fiscal targets set by the government for the current financial year cannot be achieved because of various reasons. It said that average CPI inflation was projected to remain between 11 and 12 per cent in FY11 against the target of 9.5 per cent announced in the budget. The FY10 CPI inflation at 11.7 per cent was 2.7 percentage points higher than the target.

“Containing the fiscal deficit within the announced target of four per cent of GDP for FY11 appears to be a challenging task,” the State Bank said. It is estimated that the federal deficit will be five per cent and a combined surplus of one per cent of the provinces.

The policy paper said that consolidated provincial figures reflected almost a balanced budget. “This suggests that the FY11 fiscal deficit may exceed five per cent of GDP,” the SBP said, adding that provisional figures indicated that the revised FY10 fiscal deficit target of 5.1 per cent had been missed and it could be higher than six per cent.

It said the Federal Board of Revenue might not be able to meet the high tax collection target. “Meeting the FBR tax collection target of Rs1,667 billion will require a 25.6 per cent growth or a 0.8 percentage point improvement in the tax-to-GDP ratio which seems unlikely without broadening the tax base.”

The SBP said that low tax revenues of the government had become a serious concern because it was increasingly relying on foreign borrowings to meet rising expenditures, and delays or shortfalls in such inflows could put pressure on external accounts sustainability.

“The sustainability of external accounts improvement and build-up of NFA (net foreign assets), however, faces headwinds in FY11,” it said. Consistent with recovery in the domestic economy and forecasts of higher international commodity prices, import growth is projected to increase to 12 per cent in FY11 as against a decline of 2.3 per cent in FY10.

Similarly, the SBP said, the export growth for FY11 was projected to be around seven per cent, compared to 2.7 per cent in FY10. “After assuming a benign outlook for workers’ remittances and further CSF (Coalition Support Fund) inflows, this trade outlook is expected to widen the external current account to 3.7 per cent of projected GDP,” the SBP said.

Incorporating projections of the external sector and consolidated fiscal position along with targets set for inflation and real GDP growth, the broad money is projected to grow by 13 per cent in FY11.

The broad money expanded at a rate of 12.46 per cent in FY10 against 9.56 per cent in FY09.

The SBP said the total investment as a percentage of GDP had declined for three consecutive years, falling to 16.6 per cent in FY10. However, it said that national saving had improved because of an increase in workers’ remittances by a 0.5 percentage point to 13.8 per cent of GDP in FY10.

DAWN.COM | Front Page | Most fiscal targets may be missed, says State Bank
 
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Circular debt holding economy hostage


KARACHI: The economy is being held hostage by the circular debt crisis. This was asserted by Managing Director Pakistan State Oil Irfan Qureshi while addressing journalists at the company’s head office here on Friday.

“PSO is the country’s biggest company in terms of revenue and its bottom line has been hurt by high financing costs attributable to non-receipt of receivables on a timely basis,” he highlighted.

Earnings

Pakistan State Oil achieved after tax earnings of Rs9.05 billion in fiscal 2009-10 as compared to a loss after tax of Rs6.7 billion in the preceding financial year. The company’s sales revenue has also touched Rs877 billion, compared to sales of Rs719 billion seen last year.

Qureshi explained that turnover tax from last year was adjusted in the company’s books this year, causing a significant dent in earnings. He said that the increase in turnover tax from 0.5 per cent to 1 per cent caused a big jump in the taxes paid by the company. Total taxes payable by the company had almost doubled to Rs9.05 billion against Rs4.66 billion due last year.

PSO has also declared a cash dividend of Rs5 per share in its financial results. An interim dividend of Rs3 had been announced earlier this year, taking the total annual dividend for fiscal 2009-10 to Rs8.

Growth

PSO sold 14.2 million tons of Petroleum, Oil and Lubricant (POL) products during the year, as compared to 13.2 million tons during the preceding year. In black oil, the company enhanced its market share from 85.8 per cent to 88.2 per cent.

Sales volumes for furnace oil also grew by 17.8 per cent over the same period compared to an industry-wide increase of 14.6 per cent. This surge has been attributed to increase in demand from the power generation sector.

The company also posted a volumetric increase of 20.9 per cent in sales of motor gasoline. However, the company experienced a fall of 9.7 per cent in sales of high speed diesel in the outgoing year.

Debt

The MD stressed that the circular debt crisis has continued to remain a serious problem as power sector customers repeatedly defaulted on payments. On June 30, the company’s receivables stood at a staggering Rs117.5 billion.

Consequently, the company had to rely heavily on bank borrowings, incurring financial charges of Rs9.9 billion in the outgoing year, compared to Rs6.2 billion in fiscal 2008-09.

Qureshi revealed that the company had collected Rs5.7 billion from two independent power producers, Hubco and Kapco, in the outgoing fiscal and that another Rs14 billion was expected within a week by the power providers.

He pointed out that the company had outstanding receivables of Rs130 billion at present.
Criticising the increase in turnover tax, Qureshi hinted that the company may post after tax losses in the current financial year if the tax rate is not reduced. At present, the 1 per cent turnover tax is levied regardless of whether the company incurs a loss or makes a profit.

Future

As part of a three-step agenda to improve profitability, PSO plans to re-launch its lubricants after Ramazan. “Other companies are earning significant profits with their lubricant products,” explained Qureshi.

“We need to work on backward integration. Due diligence on Pakistan Refinery is being conducted and once it is completed we will decide whether it is profitable for us to buy that refinery,” he disclosed.

The managing director stressed on the need of building storage facilities for POL products, particularly in southern Punjab. He explained that more storage would help the country cope with supply concerns during emergencies such as the current flooding of Punjab and Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa.

“Storage capacity for POL products is only about one million tons right now,” added Qureshi.

Responding to a question, Qureshi said that the federal government is working on a plan to resolve the circular debt problem and a solution may be reached within the next 15 days.
However, he warned: “Once this issue is resolved, all institutions involved will have to ensure on an individual basis that this crisis does not emerge again.”

Published in The Express Tribune, August 7th, 2010.


Circular debt holding economy hostage – The Express Tribune
 
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WB to provide $3.7 bn to Pakistan in four years


Sunday, August 08, 2010

By Mehtab Haider

ISLAMABAD: The World Bank (WB) is committed to provide loans amounting to $3.7 billion to Pakistan for priority areas in next four years including $924 million for Poverty Reduction Support Credit (PRSC)/public financial management, $850 million for energy sector, $275 million for water/ports and $1.115 billion for education sector.
According to WB’s Country Partnership Strategy (CPS) which was officially released on Saturday, reads out that the priority lending programme amounts to an estimated $3.7 billion (IBRD/IDA), equivalent to about 60 percent of a total potential financing envelope of up to $6.2 billion (including MDTF financing) during the CPS period.

For social safety nets the Bank will lend $300 million to Pakistanis well as it will also provide $100 million for rehabilitation efforts in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Fata and Balochistan under the initiative of Multi Donor Trust Fund (MDTF).

Dwelling upon Pakistan’s economy and its medium term outlook, the CPS states that total government debt (including obligations to the IMF) as a share of GDP is projected to rise from 59.3 percent in 2008/09 to 62.4 percent in 2009/10. About half of the debt is external and half domestic. Total debt is projected to remain over 60 percent of GDP in the medium term, but thereafter decline.
The external debt-to-exports ratio rose to 220 percent in 2008/09, is projected to peak at 273 percent in 2011/12 and start thereafter gradually declining.

However, debt sustainability analysis suggests that external debt service remains manageable although there are potential risks to this assessment from sources such as lower than projected growth and foreign direct investment (FDI), and higher than projected current account deficit, interest rates and exchange rate depreciation.

Credit to the private sector, the CPS states, fell dramatically after the onset of the crisis as economic activity slowed, but is showing signs of recovery.

Thanks to large government borrowing to finance budgetary needs, and a surge in credit demand by public sector enterprises, banks have been able to avoid lending to the relatively risky private sector as non-performing loans (NPL) increased.

During the first nine months of 2009/10, the credit demand for government budgetary operations and public sector enterprises stood at Rs404 billion, more than three times the size of credit demand in the private sector. While the economy is stabilizing, continued improvement in the macroeconomic situation will remain a challenge, the WB forecasts say.

Global economic recovery has started, but remains fragile and slow. Global trade is projected to remain depressed and unemployment high for years in a large part of the world.

Pakistan can expect little in the way of a substantial growth impetus from global markets. Pakistan’s future economic prospects will hinge on good economic policies and management, it added.

According to the government’s medium-term macroeconomic framework, which is supported by the IMF’s Stand-By Arrangement, Pakistan’s real GDP growth is projected to start recovering slowly at 3 percent in 2009/10, and increase gradually to 5 percent by 2012/13.

However, longer-term projections are particularly uncertain in view of the volatile global and domestic economic environment.

The external current account deficit is projected to widen again to 4 percent of GDP in 2010/11 as imports pick up slowly. Remittances were projected to grow by 7 percent in 2009/10, and continue to grow at 6.5 percent thereafter with the help of government’s remittance drive.

WB to provide $3.7 bn to Pakistan in four years
 
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Floods cause ‘major harm’ to Pakistan’s economy: IMF

Wednesday, August 11, 2010
ISLAMABAD: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) said on Tuesday that the floods will cause “major harm to the economy” of Pakistan as donors and investors’ concerns are growing over the disaster’s impact on an already fragile economy.

According to a report by a private TV channel, an IMF spokesman said that the floods “are very likely to cause major harm to the economy in terms of loss of output and budgetary consequences...” The spokesman said IMF officials were in touch with the authorities to assess the situation, APP reported.

Separately, Reuters reported a Finance Ministry official as saying that economic growth target of 4.5 percent for fiscal year 2010-2011 would have to be revised downwards once the extent of the damage caused by floods is known. agencies


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KSE fails to sustain itself at 10,000 points

The stock market fell for the third consecutive day this week to close at 9,875.68 points as investors remained cautious and booked profits amid concerns over the economic cost of the devastating floods.

However, Wednesday was a better trading day than the previous two at the Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) as the benchmark 100-share index only fell by 16.64 points or 0.17 per cent.

Traders tested the psychological level of 10,000 but failed to sustain gains amid selling. “Profit taking was witnessed after the bid pattern of today’s T-bill auction was released, which gave rise to expectations of the cut-off yields for various maturities to increase by 25-40 basis points,” according to Muzzamil Mussani at JS Global Capital Limited.

Meanwhile, volumes continued to be on the lower side reflecting lack of interest in the absence of major earnings announcement, according to Sibtain Mustafa at the Elixir Securities’ equity sales desk.

Investors opted to remain on the sidelines as volumes fell by almost 35 per cent to 61.5 million shares compared with the 94.2 million shares traded on Tuesday.

Additionally, leading investors were reluctant to commit fresh money owing to recent flood related destruction and its possible inflationary pressures on the economy, according to Mustafa.

Shares of 374 companies were traded on Wednesday. At the end of the day, 162 stocks closed higher, 180 declined and 32 remained unchanged. The value of the shares traded during the day was Rs2.6 trillion.

Hub Power Company (HUBCO) emerged the market leader with a volume of 8.7 million shares traded during the day. The scrip gained Rs0.91 to close at Rs36.42 per share – an increase of 2.6 per cent.

Arif Habib Securities (AHSL) followed with 5.61 million shares traded. The share closed three per cent higher at Rs30.05. Investors are expecting that a decent dividend will be declared by the company. Even though the board of the company met yesterday to finalise the outgoing year’s financials, the results will be announced today. Jahangir Siddiqui and Company witnessed a trade of 4.71 million shares.

KSE fails to sustain itself at 10,000 points – The Express Tribune
 
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WB’s pledge to provide $900m to Pak takes KSE 31 points higher

KARACHI: The Karachi stock market managed to close in the positive territory on the last trading day of the week Friday as World Bank’s (WB) commitment for providing $900 million assistance for rehabilitation of people and infrastructure damaged by the flooding invited accumulation in the front line cement stocks.

The Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) 100-share index gained 30.56 points or 0.31 percent to close at 9,823.37 points as compared to the previous session’s 9,792.81 points. The KSE 30-share index closed at 9,752.10 points with a rise of 59.39 points. The KMI 30 closed at 15,051.30 points with a surge of 70.79 points. The KSE 100 all-share index closed at 6,877.66 points with an increase of 18.30 points.

Analysts said the market opened in the green zone and this trend remained throughout the session. The market turnover went up by 25.13 percent and traded 31.96 million shares as compared with the previous session’s 25.54 million shares. The overall market capitalisation increased by 0.29 percent and traded Rs 2.759 trillion as against Rs 2.751 trillion. Decliners outnumbered the gainers 158 to 138, while 14 were unchanged.

“After four consecutive days of decline, equity values inched up,” said Topline Sec analyst Samar Iqbal. “Foreign interest was seen in Hubco while locals preferred to book profits in AHSL whose payout was not up to the expectations.”

The week saw heavy battering as the market fell 4.8 percent amid concerns that the flood will severely affect the economic growth and corporate earnings.

“WB’s commitment for providing $900 million assistance for rehabilitation of people and infrastructure damaged by the flooding is indeed a sign of relief for the economic team and stakeholders of the economy,” said Aziz Fida Husein and Co analyst Hasnain Asghar Ali.

“There were rumours in the market regarding the total elimination of the proposed and approved product.” Verification of such development will force the market to reduce to 9,200 points level, he added.

The KSE 100-share index opened in green zone with a gain of 23.61 points and at the end of the day closed at 9,823.37 with a rise of 30.56 points.

Hubco was the volume leader with 5.46 million shares as it closed at Rs 37.01 after opening at Rs 36.06, gaining 95 paisas. staff report



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Pakistan ‘deserves’ $53 billion foreign debt write-off
By Raja Riaz

LAHORE: At a time when Pakistan faces challenges such as terrorism and devastating floods, international financial institutions and donor countries should step forward and write off the country’s massive $53 billion debt to guarantee the Pakistani people the ‘right to life’.

International laws, the UN charter, ethics and morality all support Pakistan’s case for getting a write-off.

Pakistan can refuse to pay its all external debts on the basis of international laws: ‘the state of necessity’ and ‘the law of illegitimate borrowings’, besides emphasising ‘the right of providing basic necessities’ to its population.

Various countries have invoked these laws at different times to get relief for their people from the international financial institutions and states.

The first principle that can be invoked for the purpose is the law of ‘the state of necessity.’

The state of necessity defence is enshrined in Article 25 of the International Law Commission’s Articles on State Responsibility. Under international law, this term is used to describe: “A situation in the presence of which a state is excused for not performing an international obligation. Such a situation is generally believed to be an actual threat or a prospective peril to a state’s essential interests. From an operational point of view, a ‘state of necessity’ has the ability to change into a legitimate action a conduct that would otherwise be considered wrongful.”

The focal person of the Committee for Abolition of Third World Debt (CADTM), Pakistan chapter, Khaliq Shah, has supported this argument. “Pakistan must refuse debt servicing on external loans. In view of the devastation caused by floods, Pakistan has a legal right to repudiate debt as there are several arguments in internal laws that can be invoked as legal justification to refuse external debt servicing. One of these justifications is called ‘state of necessity’. By this we mean a situation that jeopardises the existence of a state or its economic/political survival,” he said.

The provision of health, education, food, water and housing is the basic function of a state. The recent calamity in Pakistan has rendered hundreds of thousands of people homeless. International donor agencies waived off the loans of Haiti in January this year due to the same reason.

The IMF waived a debt of $268 million given to Haiti. Following the decision of the IMF, the World Bank also eased the life of Haitians by deferring repayment of its debt for five years. The World Bank announced that “it, too, supports debt relief, and will waive payments on the $38 million lent to Haiti for at least five years.”

The IMF also sanctioned a fresh loan worth $60 million to Haiti stating, “The new loan will not have any interest throughout 2011.” The IMF and the World Bank had cancelled Haiti’s $1.2 billion debt in 2009 as well.

The international community pledged $5.3 billion to fund the initial phase of Haiti’s reconstruction over the next 18 months, including a contribution of $479 million by the World Bank. This includes $151 million in grants, $39 million write-offs through cancelling Haiti’s remaining debt to the World Bank and $60 million in investments from the bank’s private sector arm, the International Finance Corporation (IFC).

All these steps were taken citing the fact that the earthquake had ruined the infrastructure of the country, making the state unable to provide the basic necessities to its people.

The Haitian government reported to the international community that an estimated 230,000 people had died, 300,000 had been injured and one million made homeless. They also estimated that 250,000 and 30,000 had collapsed or were severely damaged. Amongst the widespread devastation and damage, vital necessary to respond to the disaster was severely damaged or destroyed. This included all hospitals in the capital; air, sea, and land transport facilities; and communication systems. Roads were blocked with or were broken.

The world community fully supported the government of Haiti in rescue operations: 20 countries sent military personnel to the country, with Canada, the United States and the Dominican Republic providing the largest contingents. The arrived with 600,000 emergency food rations, 100,000 ten-litre water containers, and an enhanced wing of 19 helicopters; 130,000 litres of were transferred to shore on the first day. The helicopter carrier sailed with three large and two survey/salvage vessels, to create a ‘sea base’ for the rescue effort. They were joined by the French vessel . The Canadians joined Colombian rescue workers, Chilean doctors, a French mobile clinic, and Sri Lankan relief workers who had already responded to calls for aid. The US Navy listed its in the area as “17 ships, 48 helicopters and 12 fixed-wing aircraft” in addition to 10,000 sailors and Marines. The navy conducted 336 air deliveries, delivered 32,400 gallons of water, 532,440 bottles of water, 111,082 meals and 4,100 kilogrammes of medical supplies.

Foreign countries raised funds for Haitians and the European Union promised $474 million for emergency and long-term aid. Brazil announced $210 million for long-term recovery aid, $15 million of which were in immediate funds. The UK committed $32.7 million in aid, while France promised $14.4 million. The US government announced it would give $100 million to the aid effort.

Now compare all this with the situation in Pakistan: the total number of people affected by the floods (20 million) exceeds the combined total in three recent mega disasters —the Haiti earthquake, the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami and the 2005 Kashmir earthquake.

The unprecedented rains have triggered a massive humanitarian crisis that has threatened the lives of millions of people including women and children. These people do not belong to a specific age group, but include infants to 80-year-olds. The old women and very young children are most vulnerable. The death toll from the floods is close to 1,100 right now.

According to the flood data from the last 62 years, the country has suffered cumulative financial losses of more than Rs 385 billion ($6 billion) on account of 15 major floods. However, the damage done by the 2010 floods is far more than that figure.

The communication infrastructure has been totally ruined, roads, bridges and railway tracks have been destroyed, while government buildings have collapsed.

Apart from the human toll, 111 bridges have been destroyed, and more than 3,700 houses have been swept away.

It is very difficult for the government to meet the basic requirements of its millions of displaced people as the international response to Pakistan is far less than the Tsunami and Haiti disasters — the world community has only provided $229 million to Pakistan so far. This translates into $16.16 for each affected Pakistani person as compared to $1,087 every affected person in Haiti and $1,249 per affected person in the Indian Ocean tsunami.

The UN Human Rights Commission has adopted a number of resolutions on the issue of debt and structural adjustment. One such resolution, adopted in 1999, asserts that “The exercise of the basic rights of the people of the debtor countries to food, housing, clothing, employment, education, health services and a healthy environment cannot be subordinated to the implementation of the structural adjustment policies, growth programs and economic reforms”.

At the moment, the government of Pakistan is unable to fulfill these requirements, as it has to spend $3 billion per year on debt servicing alone.

All these circumstances prove that Pakistan is passing through its worst times and the state has the just right to deny repaying its debts, owed to international financial institutions and donor countries under the ‘the state of necessity’ clause.

Odious Debt and Illegitimate Debt: The second defence for Pakistan for not paying back its debt is the ‘Odious Debt’ doctrine.

The doctrine was formalised in a 1927 treatise by legal theorist , based upon the 19th Century precedents such as ’s repudiation of debts incurred by the regime, and the denial by the of liability for debts incurred by the .

According to Sack, “Odious debt is an established legal principle. Legally, odious debt is debt that resulted from loans to an illegitimate or dictatorial government that used the money to oppress the people or for personal purposes. Moreover, in cases where borrowed money was used in ways contrary to the people’s interest, with the knowledge of the creditors, the creditors may be said to have committed a hostile act against the people. They cannot legitimately expect repayment of such debts.”

He further states, “When a despotic regime contracts a debt, not for the needs or in the interests of the state, but rather to strengthen itself, to suppress a popular insurrection, etc, this debt is odious for the people of the entire state. This debt does not bind the nation; it is a debt of the regime, a personal debt contracted by the ruler, and consequently it falls with the demise of the regime. The reason why these odious debts cannot attach to the territory of the state is that they do not fulfill one of the conditions determining the lawfulness of state debts, namely that state debts must be incurred, and the proceeds used, for the needs and in the interests of the state. Odious debts, contracted and utilised for purposes, which, to the lenders’ knowledge, are contrary to the needs and the interests of the nation, are not binding on the nation – when it succeeds in overthrowing the government that contracted them – unless the debt is within the limits of real advantages that these debts might have afforded. The lenders have committed a hostile act against the people, they cannot expect a nation which has freed itself of a despotic regime to assume these odious debts, which are the personal debts of the ruler.”

The history of Pakistani debts reveals that the maximum loans were obtained during the dictatorial regimes—the martial law regimes of General Ayub Khan, General Yahya Khan and General Ziaul Haq.

The people of Pakistan did not benefit from the foreign loans provided to General Ziaul Haq and which were provided by Western countries only after the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan.

The loans were spent on building the ‘infrastructure’ for running the Afghan Jehad.

In Pakistan, the debt was spent against the wishes of the people and benefited only a specific segment of society. The study reveals that some corrupt generals were the biggest beneficiaries of the aid, whose sons are now billionaires.

This debt is not binding on the nation and government should refuse to pay back these loans.

‘Illegitimate debt’ is another valid reason that can strengthen Pakistan’s case for refusing to pay back the loans. Such loans are got for development projects that are not beneficial for the masses at large.

The Norwegian government canceled “illegitimate debt” of five countries in 2006.

The Norwegian government proposed to cancel $80 million in debt owed by five developing countries in acknowledgement that the debt was “extended irresponsibly and without due regard for the developmental needs of the recipient countries”. The countries include Egypt, Ecuador, Peru, Jamaica and Sierra Leone.

Pakistan’s arguments for getting its loans written off is more moral than legal: Pakistan has been in a constant state of war since 1979. It fought for more than ten years against the USSR directly or indirectly. Pakistan was the closest ally to America in all those years. This war directly affected the country not only within its boundaries but also at international forums.

Since of 9/11, Pakistan is once again in turmoil and has now become the frontline state in the war against terrorism. We are now fighting a battle not only on our borders, but also within our territory. The Pakistan Army is fighting a deadly war not only in the Tribal Areas but also out on the streets and the forces have to keep the collateral damage to the minimum level.

The economy has faced major set backs as the exports and foreign investment both have decreased to the minimum level in the last five years.

The government is spending a lot of money on the war and faced internal migration of thousands of people.

Keeping this situation in mind, it is justified for the calamity-hit Pakistan to get all its loans written off not only by the international financial institutions, but also from the comity of nations.

Daily Times - Leading News Resource of Pakistan
 
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Industry Grows Leaps and Bounds in FY10!
�� FY10 witnessed a dramatic improvement of 43% YoY in sales of
automobiles in the country followed by 2 years of negative growth.
�� Sales in Jun10 touched 16,416 units which is 25% higher on MoM basis
and 84% YoY. The key reason behind this significant growth has been
front-loading of purchases; announcement of increase in GST from 16%
to 17% from FY11 led the buyers to make their purchase decisions
during the month to avert higher prices.
�� The growth has primarily been led by a number of factors: 1)
Remittances grew by 14% to USD8.9bn compared to USD7.8bn in FY09,
2) A low base set last year of 98,161 units (-47% YoY compared to FY08)
and 3) increasing rural incomes due to high support prices and
subsidized farm inputs.
�� Tractor sales also witnessed an increase of 18% YoY to 71,512 units
sold in FY10 compared to 60,351 units sold last year.
�� Government support for fresh investment in the auto sector bodes well
for the economy and consumers at large in the shape of greater variety
in the long run.
 
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