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Watch 9:00 minutes onwards.
Extract:
Economic Corridor
Attacking Pakistan was a soft wish until China and Pakistan went under strategic Economic Corridor which will enable china to encircle India. With Pakistan becoming Chinese economic hi-way, Chinese stake in Pakistan will be too high to let India do any misadventure in future. So more India delays, the most expensive it would become to attack Pakistan.
The passage for trade and expansion
It is in India's best interest to initiate a war and cut off Pakistan from the China and also create a road link towards Europe and Central Asia by extending its border to Afghanistan. India has asked for a road-link times and again and denied by Pakistan every time. Cutting Pakistan from China and Kashmir will also put a full-stop to Kashmir libation movement and enable India to expand in region and economy.
Strength gaining Pakistan
Pakistan's own economy is back on track. National reserves are going up, stock markets are performing and international investors are willing to pump money in. A prospering Pakistan will first eat a share of potential Indian growth but it will also make Pakistan militarily more stable, stronger and challenging. So more you delay, the more challenging Pakistan would be.
Countering Pakistan's Counter Attack
Pakistan is seen supporting Kashmiris, Sikhs and other libation moments in India on an unprecedented scale to avenge what it went through. "Punishing" Pakistan before it punishes India is the right way to go.
Pakistan - too big of a country in Indian neighbourhood
Pakistan is a "too big of a country" as compared to other Indian neighbours (except China) and India has managed other small countries well because they cannot stand as challenge. Pakistan keeps popping up in India's way and challenges its hegemony, a smaller Pakistan will be more acceptable neighbour.
Absence of covert force
India has lost its covert war against Pakistan; in Pakistan and Afghanistan. Pakistan's terrorism problem is down the drain. In the absence of covert controllable arm, India cannot gain any ground indirectly, leaving option for more direction operations when required.
Kashmir a hindrance to UN Security Council seat
India can also not get a UN permanent seat unless Kashmir dispute is resolved - and India would want to resolve it so it would benefit it instead of costing it. What if it makes Pakistan negotiate a part of its lost territory to India for giving up claim on Kashmir?
Fighting one war at a time to escape two-front war scenario
A haunting war scenario is in which India would have to fight a two-front war with two nuclear armed neighbours. Would it not be great to incapacitate one (Pakistan) so there is no two-front scenario any more...? Specially at a time when the other neighbour (China) is more at peace?
Most of the reasons existed before but their intensity has increased in the last 12-18 months. The tipping point is Economic Corridor and Chinese rain of investment which is going to change landscape of this area - all worse for India. Strategically, it is in India's best interest to undergo a war and gain grounds before it is too late. Repercussion of delaying are not "lost opportunity of attack" but equally an "increased threat" from its opponents - both China and Pakistan.
This is my analysis but Allah knows the best.
Extract:
- Pakistani military knows that India is preparing for a war
- India had attempted this several times before, including in 1987, 1989 and 2001 and they are itching for it again.
Economic Corridor
Attacking Pakistan was a soft wish until China and Pakistan went under strategic Economic Corridor which will enable china to encircle India. With Pakistan becoming Chinese economic hi-way, Chinese stake in Pakistan will be too high to let India do any misadventure in future. So more India delays, the most expensive it would become to attack Pakistan.
The passage for trade and expansion
It is in India's best interest to initiate a war and cut off Pakistan from the China and also create a road link towards Europe and Central Asia by extending its border to Afghanistan. India has asked for a road-link times and again and denied by Pakistan every time. Cutting Pakistan from China and Kashmir will also put a full-stop to Kashmir libation movement and enable India to expand in region and economy.
Strength gaining Pakistan
Pakistan's own economy is back on track. National reserves are going up, stock markets are performing and international investors are willing to pump money in. A prospering Pakistan will first eat a share of potential Indian growth but it will also make Pakistan militarily more stable, stronger and challenging. So more you delay, the more challenging Pakistan would be.
Countering Pakistan's Counter Attack
Pakistan is seen supporting Kashmiris, Sikhs and other libation moments in India on an unprecedented scale to avenge what it went through. "Punishing" Pakistan before it punishes India is the right way to go.
Pakistan - too big of a country in Indian neighbourhood
Pakistan is a "too big of a country" as compared to other Indian neighbours (except China) and India has managed other small countries well because they cannot stand as challenge. Pakistan keeps popping up in India's way and challenges its hegemony, a smaller Pakistan will be more acceptable neighbour.
Absence of covert force
India has lost its covert war against Pakistan; in Pakistan and Afghanistan. Pakistan's terrorism problem is down the drain. In the absence of covert controllable arm, India cannot gain any ground indirectly, leaving option for more direction operations when required.
Kashmir a hindrance to UN Security Council seat
India can also not get a UN permanent seat unless Kashmir dispute is resolved - and India would want to resolve it so it would benefit it instead of costing it. What if it makes Pakistan negotiate a part of its lost territory to India for giving up claim on Kashmir?
Fighting one war at a time to escape two-front war scenario
A haunting war scenario is in which India would have to fight a two-front war with two nuclear armed neighbours. Would it not be great to incapacitate one (Pakistan) so there is no two-front scenario any more...? Specially at a time when the other neighbour (China) is more at peace?
Most of the reasons existed before but their intensity has increased in the last 12-18 months. The tipping point is Economic Corridor and Chinese rain of investment which is going to change landscape of this area - all worse for India. Strategically, it is in India's best interest to undergo a war and gain grounds before it is too late. Repercussion of delaying are not "lost opportunity of attack" but equally an "increased threat" from its opponents - both China and Pakistan.
This is my analysis but Allah knows the best.
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