Follow along with the video below to see how to install our site as a web app on your home screen.
Note: This feature may not be available in some browsers.
Yes in reality No one cares, only ego and politics.neither pak nor the"big powers" really care about kashmiris. kashmir is just a slogan used by politicians for their political point scoring.
India will be happy with Scenario 1 and 3.
Scenario 2 and 7 will be outrightly rejected as they give overwhelming victory to Pakistan
Scenario 4 not possible as Jammu and Ladakh dont want independence
Scenario 6 will be rejected as only Indian Controlled Kashmir Valley is given independence and Pakistani Controlled so called Azad Kashmir is under Pakistani control
Scenario 5 will be considered only if the situation changes drastically for the worst and there is no other possibility
Yes u r right ..... i can show a similiar statement from Pakistan side (Happy Scenarios for Pakistan) & may be we will have a different from kashmiri Side ....
however being a Realistic Pakistani ... i m not seeking Scenario 2 & 7 (Politically 2,3,7 are never Gonna happen even acheiving them militarilly is a Tough ask for either side)
Scenario 1 IS a problem thts why we r here discussing it even after 60 Years ... !
Scenario 4 i have already out-credited earlier not gonna happen due to myriad of ground realities !
Scenario 5 & 6 are the ones which are on the table ... i know IF ever India would agree it would agree on 5 over 6 ... assuming tht Both are gonna loose territory (& hence a comparatively Easier Sell domestically) ... but bear in Mind It will be easier for india to IF Possible court a Post scenario 6 valley rather thn a Scenario 5 Valley which will have much more tilted towards Pakistan due to AJK than only IOK !
Also .... again ... none of this would even be of any substance unless Pakistan rise to the occasion .... I m not saying it would or it won't ... i m saying it CAN if (yups I know BIG IF) they follow a consistent Long term Policy in coming 30 years .... thr is a possibility we can actually have a dynamics where we can come to a scenario 6 (or 5) type solution, Politically !
Again U have right to disagree !
I think both of us agree that 2,4,and 7 out of question
You are saying 1 is a problem but the problem in that statement is that India does not consider 1 as a problem.
You know Newton's 1st law. A object at rest will remain at rest and an object in motion will remain in motion till an external force acts on it. The same can be said about status quo. A situation in Status Quo will remain at Status Quo till an external force acts on it. Scenario 1 is status quo and will remain status quo till external force tries to change it
India is bigger force and happy with Status Quo.
I think both of us agree that 2,4,and 7 out of question
Even if Pakistan's stature increases they are not capable of pushing beyond 5 and 6
If 6 is looking like happening India will push for 5
A scenario 5/6 valley is non self sustainable it is landlocked, surrounded by two big hostile powers and has very little economic potential.
the threat of jihadist wahabi elements which are likely to make that region another terror hotbed like Syria. Such a hostile environment is likely to collapse in a few years.
Yes they may be more inclined towards Pakistan but India will not sit back and let them go to Pakistan so we will intervene again and it may lead us back to scenario 1 which if you think objectively has the potential to be the most stable state among all the scenarios