Neo said:
Jay,
Kashmir is a disbupted territory regocnosed by the UN. Whatever happens there affects India and Pakistan and ofcourse the Kashmiris.
First of all Balochistan is an integral part of Pakistan officially acceeded after the partition and its not a disputed territory.
Secondly, India has tried to meddle in Balochistan.
Balochistan acceded and indeed is a part of Pakistan.
However, if India has tried to meddle with Balochistan, it would be nice to have some supporting links to the issue.
In so far as Kashmir is concerned, the Instrument of Accession is as valid a document as the accession by the Khan of Kalat. Technically, thus Kashmir is not a disputed area.
However, with the connivance of Colonel Brown who organised the mutiny with the Gilgit Scouts and imprisoned the Governor Ghansara Singh and then sending the hordes down the Muzzafarabad - Srinagar road caused the issue to become "disputed". The British played a sterling role in this issue starting with Colonel Brown.
By the time this issue became a UN matter, India had thwarted the effort of the then US Secretary of State John Foster Dulles to bring India into his ambit. This was in the 1950s. Pakistan came into the US ambit however. Thus, the issue of dispute stuck since support to the dispute ensured US to bring Pakistan into its warm hug. The entry of Pakistan thereafter into the US Camp including joining Pacts like CENTO and SEATO is history.
In so far as Balochistan is concerned, the way the Pakistan Govt is approaching the issue, it cannot be solved. Use of air and artillery causes massive destruction unlike the use of Small Arms. The scars become indelible. Iraq is an excellent example. While there would be many in Iraq who would have been delighted by the fall of Saddam, they would not be equally enthusiastic with the scars of war pitted all over to remind them of the huge price in life and property they had to suffer for the charm of getting a whiff of "Freedom and Democracy" (sic!).
As per the Pakistani media there has been a hint that Balochistan is not the handiwork of India. It has hinted at 'greater powers' which could be involved.
Who benefits maximum from Balochistan? I leave it to you.
Let us merely see why Balochistan is important in the geostrategic paradigm.
If Balochistan is within one's sphere of influence, then Iran gets "boxed in". Who requires Iran to get boxed in?
If Balochistan is friendly, then the Chinese plan to have Gwadar initially as a listening post for activities in the Middle East and then as a naval base as per the Chinese "string of pearls" strategy to offset her lack of a blue water navy can be thwarted. It would also allow a dominance of the sealanes of the Arabian Sea. Who benefits because of this?
The Central Asian Republic oil is an key input. The oil is to be shipped through a pipeline through Afghanistan - Balochistan and then to the port of Gwadar. Until Afghanistan and Balochistan is within the sphere of influence is this feasible? The oil is required for the boosting the flagging economy of the US since it will be selling the same to the oil guzzler of the 2020s i.e. India and China! Oil today and for the future is a strategic weapon. I don't think that requires explanation. In this context, two issues are very interesting. Dick Cheney criticised Russia for backsliding on democracy and praised Kazakhstan.
A day after scolding Russia for retreating on democracy, Vice President Cheney flew to oil-rich Kazakhstan yesterday and
lavished praise on the autocratic leader of a former Soviet republic where opposition parties have been banned, newspapers shut down and advocacy groups intimidated.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/05/05/AR2006050501490.html
Interesting, what?
The second issue is why is the US so keen on bombing South Waziristan? Other parts of NWFP are Taleban free?
Therefore, the Balochistan issue is an interesting issue and to believe that it will be solved in a jiffy is a moot point.
Bu then, who knows?