What's new

Pakistan projected to be among largest economies in the world by 2075: Goldman Sachs

I remember hearing such things back in 2005-10

These are just numbers, we need to grow the economy ourself and introduce policies of self-reliance to achieve anything
The reason why keep hearing such things is because of our massive population. Having a big population can be a massive advantage. Numbers mean power.

Look at how Indonesia a fellow poor muslim country has grown in the past 2 decades and look at where we are.

Indonesia GDP per capita in 2000: 780 USD

Pakistan GDP per capita in 2000: 576 USD

Now you can compare the GDP for both countries in 2022.
 
.
Makes perfect sense, in a certain perverse way, actually. Hypocrisy baked into religion is a 100% guarantee of failure, whether in the West or East. Only a few lucky ones are able to rise above such a trap. Now let me stop here before I am kicked out from Islam for the umpteenth time on PDF. Time for brayers, brother. Bease be ubon you!
Yep, I get a fatwa on my being a kufar all the time since I advocate to not be a hypocrite.

Hypocrisy and Orthodoxy are the two sides of religious coin. But it is not unique to Islam. You probably know about Catholic clergy scandal.
I have always said, you can't be a conservative of any religion or ideology without being a hypocrite.
 
.
Yep, I get a fatwa on my being a kufar all the time since I advocate to not be a hypocrite.


I have always said, you can't be a conservative of any religion or ideology without being a hypocrite.
For those of you outside of U.S., we just had an election yesterday in Georgia for a Senator. One of the candidates, Herschel Walker, Republican, tried to campaign as a conservative, family value Christan man. He was just a footballer with no notable achievement other than being an African American who was nominated to run against an African American incumbent. After his nomination, his son came out with all sorts of interesting information that portrayed his father as a rank hypocrite. There were similarities to how the protectors of the nation Bajwa and his friends transferred IMF funds to their offshore banks and now poor Pakistanis can't pay for imported chicken feed, medicines or even vegetables.
 
.
For those of you outside of U.S., we just had an election yesterday in Georgia for a Senator. One of the candidates, Herschel Walker, Republican, tried to campaign as a conservative, family value Christan man. He was just a footballer with no notable achievement other than being an African American who was nominated to run against an African American incumbent. After his nomination, his son came out with all sorts of interesting information that portrayed his father as a rank hypocrite. There were similarities to how the protectors of the nation Bajwa and his friends transferred IMF funds to their offshore banks and now poor Pakistanis can't pay for imported chicken feed, medicines or even vegetables.
Ya bro, there is not a conservative on Earth who is not also a hypocrite.
The funny thing is that they prove how hypocritical they are by getting aggressive with you for pointing out this fact.
 
. . .
A research paper published by Goldman Sachs on Tuesday projected Pakistan to be the sixth largest economy in the world by 2075 given “appropriate policies and institutions” are in place.


Authored by economists Kevin Daly and Tadas Gedminas and titled ‘The Path to 2075’, the paper projected that the five largest economies by 2075 will be China, India, the US, Indonesia and Nigeria.


Goldman Sachs has been projecting long-term growth of countries for almost two decades now, initially starting out with BRICs economies, but for the past 10 years they have expanded those projections to cover 70 emerging and developed economies.


Their latest paper covers 104 countries with projections going as far as 2075.








Pakistan’s star future status is predicted on the back of its population growth, which along with Egypt and Nigeria, could place it among the largest economies in the world in the next 50 years, according to Goldman Sachs.


By that time, the research projects Pakistan’s Real GDP to have grown to $12.7 trillion and its GDP per capita to $27,100.


These numbers, however, are projected to be less than a third of the size of China, India and the US. India’s Real GDP in 2075 is projected at $52.5 trillion and per capita GDP at $31,300.








Among key risks to their projections, the economists particularly highlight “environmental catastrophe” and “populist nationalism”.


Unless a path to sustainable growth is ensured through a globally coordinated response, climate change could heavily skew these projections, particularly for countries like Pakistan, with geographies that are especially vulnerable.


With populist nationalists coming to power in many countries, the report says it might lead to increased protectionism that could potentially result in the reversal of globalisation, thereby increasing income inequality across countries.


Other key projections​


Global growth on a declining path​


The paper notes that global growth has slowed from an average of 3.6 per cent per year in the past 10 years to 3.2pc, and the slowdown has been relatively broad-based.


They project global growth will average 2.8pc between 2024 and 2029 and will be on a gradually declining path.


The rise of emerging markets​


While global growth is dipping, emerging economies are growing faster than developed markets and will continue to converge with them.


“The weight of global GDP will shift (even) more towards Asia over the next 30 years nations as China, the US, India, Indonesia and Germany top the league table of largest economies when measured in dollars. Nigeria, Pakistan and Egypt could also be among the biggest.”


Declining global population​


The decline in global growth will be driven by the decline in population growth, which UN projections imply will fall to close to zero by 2075. The paper says this is a “good problem to have” as it mitigates damages to the environment but could pose economic problems arising from high healthcare costs and an ageing population.


US won’t repeat exceptional growth​


The US won’t be able to repeat its strong performance from the last decade, with potential growth remaining “significantly lower” than that of large developing economies.


The US dollar is also projected to lose strength in the next 10 years.


Less global inequality, more local inequality​


Emerging markets’ convergence has led to falling income inequality between economies but income inequality within most economies has risen. This poses a major challenge to the future of globalisation.


----------------------

Ok, goldman sachs, nice joke. how much are they paying you? :lol:
Yeah all under the honest leadership of Mir hafiz, sharif brothers and ishaq daar.
First pull yourself out of the kneep deep shit you are in then dream big.

These days Pakistani's are loling together with indians. We are on the same page. Thanks to Mir Bajwa and lumber 1.
 
.
Pakistan can only consume not create. Maybe a large consumer based economy... But with a heck of a import bill..
That line may sound satirical but is the root of many problems in 21st century world. There are many nations like Syria, Yemen, Lebanon, Ethiopia, Sudan, Somalia and Haiti (besides Afghanistan and Pakistan), where it is difficult to imagine people subsisting without outside help. Things can get ugly if the rest of the world gets fatigued by all the request for help or feels a little less well off.
 
.
Like the iminent recession the U.S economy is about to hit ? LOL Pakistan is fucked. Our major exports are to the U.S. and none of those items are critical machinery or such... Pakistani exports may take a dip because of the contraction of U.S household purchasing power.
That line may sound satirical but is the root of many problems in 21st century world. There are many nations like Syria, Yemen, Lebanon, Ethiopia, Sudan, Somalia and Haiti (besides Afghanistan and Pakistan), where it is difficult to imagine people subsisting without outside help. Things can get ugly if the rest of the world gets fatigued by all the request for help or feels a little less well off.
 
. .
A research paper published by Goldman Sachs on Tuesday projected Pakistan to be the sixth largest economy in the world by 2075 given “appropriate policies and institutions” are in place.

For those of us who have been around for a while, may be dealing with this stuff know that we were to be in top ten economies by 2050. So essentially we lost 25 years (or we went back 25 years in the past few years). So what was expected by 2050, is now expected by 2075! That's terrible.

We as a nation need to work hard. Laziness has become a part of our DNA where we either work "just enough" or find short cuts, or work without ethics (our middle income and rich families wake up around 10-11 AM, while in developed and developing countries (like Bangladesh / India / Turkey / China) the work day starts at 7 AM. This laziness has buried deep all the way up into our leadership also.
 
.
Those making projections to 2075, 53 years into the future, might as well use chicken bones and tarot cards.
The future that far ahead for any country is impossible to predict.
 
. .
A research paper published by Goldman Sachs on Tuesday projected Pakistan to be the sixth largest economy in the world by 2075 given “appropriate policies and institutions” are in place.


Authored by economists Kevin Daly and Tadas Gedminas and titled ‘The Path to 2075’, the paper projected that the five largest economies by 2075 will be China, India, the US, Indonesia and Nigeria.


Goldman Sachs has been projecting long-term growth of countries for almost two decades now, initially starting out with BRICs economies, but for the past 10 years they have expanded those projections to cover 70 emerging and developed economies.


Their latest paper covers 104 countries with projections going as far as 2075.








Pakistan’s star future status is predicted on the back of its population growth, which along with Egypt and Nigeria, could place it among the largest economies in the world in the next 50 years, according to Goldman Sachs.


By that time, the research projects Pakistan’s Real GDP to have grown to $12.7 trillion and its GDP per capita to $27,100.


These numbers, however, are projected to be less than a third of the size of China, India and the US. India’s Real GDP in 2075 is projected at $52.5 trillion and per capita GDP at $31,300.








Among key risks to their projections, the economists particularly highlight “environmental catastrophe” and “populist nationalism”.


Unless a path to sustainable growth is ensured through a globally coordinated response, climate change could heavily skew these projections, particularly for countries like Pakistan, with geographies that are especially vulnerable.


With populist nationalists coming to power in many countries, the report says it might lead to increased protectionism that could potentially result in the reversal of globalisation, thereby increasing income inequality across countries.


Other key projections​


Global growth on a declining path​


The paper notes that global growth has slowed from an average of 3.6 per cent per year in the past 10 years to 3.2pc, and the slowdown has been relatively broad-based.


They project global growth will average 2.8pc between 2024 and 2029 and will be on a gradually declining path.


The rise of emerging markets​


While global growth is dipping, emerging economies are growing faster than developed markets and will continue to converge with them.


“The weight of global GDP will shift (even) more towards Asia over the next 30 years nations as China, the US, India, Indonesia and Germany top the league table of largest economies when measured in dollars. Nigeria, Pakistan and Egypt could also be among the biggest.”


Declining global population​


The decline in global growth will be driven by the decline in population growth, which UN projections imply will fall to close to zero by 2075. The paper says this is a “good problem to have” as it mitigates damages to the environment but could pose economic problems arising from high healthcare costs and an ageing population.


US won’t repeat exceptional growth​


The US won’t be able to repeat its strong performance from the last decade, with potential growth remaining “significantly lower” than that of large developing economies.


The US dollar is also projected to lose strength in the next 10 years.


Less global inequality, more local inequality​


Emerging markets’ convergence has led to falling income inequality between economies but income inequality within most economies has risen. This poses a major challenge to the future of globalisation.


----------------------

Ok, goldman sachs, nice joke. how much are they paying you? :lol:

these are projections based on assumptions
 
.
they must be talking about Lumber 1 inc and its Partners Zardari and Shareef and not Pakistan real....

ISPR new geet "Fauji inc say Hai Pakistan"
 
.

Latest posts

Pakistan Affairs Latest Posts

Back
Top Bottom