Pakistan: Power generation declines in five years

[alok mishra]

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Pakistan 75.1 81.6 84.5 88.7 87.1 96.2 98.8 92.5 95.0 88.8 89.1

I think musharraf era was best time for pakistan, democracy not always works in every country.

 

[Solomon2]

Do these numbers include the considerable power generation by individual sources such as generators and solar panels? Also, what about increased efficiencies by using CFLs and power inverters etc?

I don't know. Does someone collect data on CFL use in Pakistan? Since they cost so much more than regular bulbs I doubt it amounts to much.

When you factor in population growth what the numbers translate to is a roughly 18% drop in electricity production per capita over five years. I doubt that has anything to do with increased efficiencies. That's why you have the brownouts. I presume residential consumption is cut to favor industry but I guess that can't last much longer. So Pakistan's GDP per capita, which has been flat for seven years, will soon start to decline - that is, the nation as a whole is going to get poorer.

 

[PakPrinciples]

This is due to the increase of population.
No control of population, No campaign these days to stop population.
Hence more problems

The decline in power generation has nothing to do with increase in population.

What you're thinking of is a decrease in the share of overall production. However, the figures cited actually show an overall decrease in production.

The reason why power production has decreased is because there isn't enough gas/oil to produce electricity.

Pakistan's installed capacity is something like 24000 MW of which 69% comes from thermal energy (not Hydro or nuclear) and if it maintained properly with a constant supply of fuel resulting in something like a 90% capacity factor it would produce about 130 TWh of electricity every year and along with hydro/nuclear would be around twice the electricity consumption today.

I feel that the problem is the result of the government failing to raise tax revenue to invest in the production of cheap/modestly priced domestic unconventional natural gas and shale oil and bad deals negotiated with IPP's.

I've posted the raw numbers from the report. Any Pakistani care to compute their meaning in Kwh per capita?

1 TWh = 1 billion KWh

So going by your figures if 89 TWh were produced in 2011 with a population of 176 million (2011 - World Bank) it would be about 505 KWh/Capita.