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Pakistan plans to get $3 bn from China, launch $2.5 bn Eurobond

Ryuzaki

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ISLAMABAD: In order to shore up the depleting foreign currency reserves, Pakistan plans to secure $2 to $3 billion from China as safe deposits and launching of sovereign Eurobond worth $2.5 billion for avoiding plunging into another balance of payment crisis in the next fiscal year 2018-19, The News has learnt.

Sources said that Pakistan has made formal requests to China and Saudi Arabia for bailing it out and there were strong expectations that China would respond positively by granting $2 to $3 billion. When balance of payment crisis erupts in any country, the door of the IMF is knocked as a last resort.

“We are expecting something even earlier and I cannot disclose beyond this,” a top official told The News. According to the budget 2018-19 documents, Pakistan plans to obtain over $10 billion equivalent to Rs1.118 trillion in shape of external loans and grants from all multilateral and bilateral creditors against revised estimates of Rs1.81 trillion.

Pakistan’s reliance on short term commercial borrowings from banks would continue to persist in the coming fiscal year as the government would secure over $3 billion from these commercial banks in the next fiscal year against revised estimates close to $4 billion in the outgoing financial year. In the budget in brief for 2018-19, the government envisaged to generate $2.5 billion through the Sukuk bond but in details of foreign resources estimates for 2018-19 showed that the government would generate this amount through sovereign bond. There is zero amount showed through the Sukuk bond. Pakistan has projected to get around $1.6 billion from the Asian Development Bank (ADB), China $900 million, commercial banks $3.5 billion, sovereign bond $2.5 billion, IBRD $200 million, IDA $700 million, Islamic Development Bank $1.1 billion and multimillion dollars from other avenues.

The sources said that the government has projected the current account deficit to the tune of $13 billion in the next budget and amortisation of loans would require $5 billion so the government would have to arrange financing of $18 billion in the next fiscal year. Now the disbursement of loans and grants has been projected at $10 billion and with the help of sovereign bond and Chinese deposits would fetch $4 billion in the next fiscal year. The remaining $4 billion will be generated through foreign direct investment (FDI).

The government has projected that remittances would fetch $21 billion in the next fiscal year 2018-19. All these projections need to be materialised otherwise the external sector vulnerabilities would force the incoming government to go back to the IMF, the sources said.

https://www.thenews.com.pk/print/310738-pakistan-plans-to-get-3-bn-from-china-launch-2-5-bn-eurobond
 
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Of course ,As expected ,
Economy is literally on verge of collapse ,
Debt to GDP is waay too much .

RAW Agents Nawaz Sharif & Sharif Mafia
CIA World Bank Slave Isaq Dollar must be Hanged Publicly ,
after confiscating their Entire Wealth & properties .
 
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Enndians going ape shit about Pakistan's economy again.
 
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ISLAMABAD: In order to shore up the depleting foreign currency reserves, Pakistan plans to secure $2 to $3 billion from China as safe deposits and launching of sovereign Eurobond worth $2.5 billion for avoiding plunging into another balance of payment crisis in the next fiscal year 2018-19, The News has learnt.

Sources said that Pakistan has made formal requests to China and Saudi Arabia for bailing it out and there were strong expectations that China would respond positively by granting $2 to $3 billion. When balance of payment crisis erupts in any country, the door of the IMF is knocked as a last resort.

“We are expecting something even earlier and I cannot disclose beyond this,” a top official told The News. According to the budget 2018-19 documents, Pakistan plans to obtain over $10 billion equivalent to Rs1.118 trillion in shape of external loans and grants from all multilateral and bilateral creditors against revised estimates of Rs1.81 trillion.

Pakistan’s reliance on short term commercial borrowings from banks would continue to persist in the coming fiscal year as the government would secure over $3 billion from these commercial banks in the next fiscal year against revised estimates close to $4 billion in the outgoing financial year. In the budget in brief for 2018-19, the government envisaged to generate $2.5 billion through the Sukuk bond but in details of foreign resources estimates for 2018-19 showed that the government would generate this amount through sovereign bond. There is zero amount showed through the Sukuk bond. Pakistan has projected to get around $1.6 billion from the Asian Development Bank (ADB), China $900 million, commercial banks $3.5 billion, sovereign bond $2.5 billion, IBRD $200 million, IDA $700 million, Islamic Development Bank $1.1 billion and multimillion dollars from other avenues.

The sources said that the government has projected the current account deficit to the tune of $13 billion in the next budget and amortisation of loans would require $5 billion so the government would have to arrange financing of $18 billion in the next fiscal year. Now the disbursement of loans and grants has been projected at $10 billion and with the help of sovereign bond and Chinese deposits would fetch $4 billion in the next fiscal year. The remaining $4 billion will be generated through foreign direct investment (FDI).

The government has projected that remittances would fetch $21 billion in the next fiscal year 2018-19. All these projections need to be materialised otherwise the external sector vulnerabilities would force the incoming government to go back to the IMF, the sources said.

https://www.thenews.com.pk/print/310738-pakistan-plans-to-get-3-bn-from-china-launch-2-5-bn-eurobond


Good development. Hope more money would be raised.
 
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Of course ,As expected ,
Economy is literally on verge of collapse ,
Debt to GDP is waay too much .

RAW Agents Nawaz Sharif & Sharif Mafia
CIA World Bank Slave Isaq Dollar must be Hanged Publicly ,
after confiscating their Entire Wealth & properties .

What could compel a prominent Pakistani and a multi-term Prime minister over decades,privy to all kinds of national secrets to become a "RAW agent"?
 
. .
Of course ,As expected ,
Economy is literally on verge of collapse ,
Debt to GDP is waay too much .

RAW Agents Nawaz Sharif & Sharif Mafia
CIA World Bank Slave Isaq Dollar must be Hanged Publicly ,
after confiscating their Entire Wealth & properties .
What nonsense?? These are all elected people you talking about. Economy is reviving! I have seen you using those words previously, I wonder what makes you think RAW is so powerful?

I am amazed at your immaturity. May be thats how indians think.
 
. .
Of course ,As expected ,
Economy is literally on verge of collapse ,
Debt to GDP is waay too much .

RAW Agents Nawaz Sharif & Sharif Mafia
CIA World Bank Slave Isaq Dollar must be Hanged Publicly ,
after confiscating their Entire Wealth & properties .
As uncle jed might have said: Ay suspec y'all are upto naw darn good
wtf to much loans
"If you owe the bank $100 that's your problem. If you owe the bank $100 million, that's the bank's problem." - J. Paul Getty
 
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Any economist here who can enlighten a laymen guy like me about economy of Pakistan its current condition briefly are going steady, down or up ?
 
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Any economist here who can enlighten a laymen guy like me about economy of Pakistan its current condition briefly are going steady, down or up ?
Best in last decade ..healthy growth(though still slowest in south asia) but lack of reforms (tax education health) in last 5 years threaten long term growth

Debt has been stable, only short term issue is current account deficit , which was artificially created via over protecting rupee...

Current team is doing things right but probably will be kicked out(like always ) once crisis resolves.
 
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Loans improves cash flow. Good move by Pakistan. Need to raise at least $10 Billion dollars.
 
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"If you owe the bank $100 that's your problem. If you owe the bank $100 million, that's the bank's problem." - J. Paul Getty

what if you owe 100 banks $1000 million (each) ? still banks problem ?
 
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Any economist here who can enlighten a laymen guy like me about economy of Pakistan its current condition briefly are going steady, down or up ?
No need to worry about.Economy is generally on rise.Problem is trade deficit created by Pakistani imports which has become more than double as compared to exports due to CPEC and increase in local consumption.
Pakistan imports---------------------------- --- $58 billions
Pakistan external debt servicing--------- --- $05 billions
So Pakistan,s demands for
foreign currency is----$63 billions in Total
On the other hand
Pakistani exports-------------------------------------$22 billions
Pakistani remittances--------------------------------$18 billion
Total FDI ---------------------------------------------$04 billions
So
Pakistan supply of foreign currency is ----------$44 billions in Total

So there is supply and demand gap of
$24 billions. Foreign currency reserves are used to meet this gap.If you donot have enough foreign currency reserves then you have to borrow from IMF, WB or some countries or other commercial banks.Pakistan does not have enough forien reserves that,s why its reserves are depleting very fast.Fortunately a lot of liquidity is available in the market. Specially China and Chinese banks has lot of surplus funds.So in short term there will be no issue.But for the long term Pakistan has to come out of this vicious circle.
To meet the demand and supply gap Pakistan has to take the following steps necessarily.
Cut down imports drastically
Take strict measures to stop money laundering
Cut down borrowing so you have to pay less on debt servicing
Double the exports-----------------------------------------------------------Already devalued the rupee
Increase remittances by giving incentives to
Pakistani diaspora----------Already devalued the rupee

Increase
foreign direct investment by creating conducive environment for doing business.

As per Chinese financial experts as soon as Pakistan is progressing with GDP growth more than 4.5 %
Pakistan will not be facing any debt payment issues.

In my humble opinion solution of the problem lies in manufacturing/manufacturing and lots of manufacturing

Recently State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) reported a 51% increase in total imports in July FY18 over the value reported in July FY17.
The transport group increased by more than 94%
Machinery group increased by more than 63%.
There was an increase of more than 600% in the imports of aircraft, ships and boats,.
An increase of more than 260% in the imports of completely built up units of buses, trucks and other heavy vehicles.
 
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