Yes that might be right,but it is out of question from the military view that the Iranians have done the best of their situation under the sanctions. Their bases and coastal defence I am not talking about their Naval air and sea arm, are a dangerous threat for any Fleet which trys to attack Iran from sea. With their current tactic, development and mass production of Anti-ship missiles and the combination of long and short SAM arsenal they can hold their declared enemy at the Bay.
The Tactic which the Iranian coastal defence use is very simple:
- firing Anti-Ship missiles in salves
- using older and new typse of missiles, makes it more difficult and complex for the enemy to expect the technical threat and choose the meassures
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I am not fan of Irans politics neither I am interest in politics, I am just a military reader and writer,who want see Pakistan in peace through military and economic strengthened by a peaceful foreign politic of Pakistan.
Coming back to the "strategic deep"
"Whosoever talks about the strategic depth policy is either outdated on the issue or is seriously mistaken," remarked one Pakistani security official, so @fatman what was the goal to post such a article here without any minde and comment from you ?
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I dont think that this is possible through a agressive foreigne politic or through intervention in afghanistan politics via ISI or other elements. More realistic is to bring the Afghan economy so close to the Pakistani, that the Afghans depends on Pakistani exports and imports, the next step is than to train their junior Officers in Pakistan and ours in Afghanistan, to hold military exercises, Border patrols etc. the goal is to staion a full heavy equipped mechanized Brigade of Pakistani Soldiers in Afghanistan, to get a military base in Afghanistan, the task is to protect Kabul from the Talibs and to get trust and brotherly cooperation......and so on. Is that possible ? I say yes, for that our tasked men of the Pakistani government and Military most workeput a new Afghanistan-strategic-deep doctrin, for this new line Pakistan musst build a longterm, serious, foreigne political agenda for Afghanistan. A message that Gen. Raheel Sharif carried on his recent trip to Afghanistan. The new policy is one of no interference, no favorites in Afghanistan, which is supported by the ruling Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz. According to ISPR Raheel Sharif was even ready to offer the Afghan military in building and and equipping a full Afghan infantry Brigade near Kabul !
Mechanized Pakistani Forces
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I don't want declare essay works from ministers of my: For that here is very good and actual article to this "strategic deep" issue.
Hussain Nadim is currently serving as the Special Assistant to Pakistan's Federal Minister of Planning, Development & Reform :
It's very rare that one comes across optimism towards Afghanistan among the security establishment in Pakistan, but when I interviewed a senior member of the country's intelligence community recently, he said of the recent elections in Afghanistan: "[It] doesn't matter if the president is Abdullah Abdullah or Ashraf Ghani, the democratic process in Afghanistan in itself is a sign of stability and progress." Several senior members of the Pakistani security establishment expressed similar views when asked about the Afghan elections, indicating a dramatic shift in Pakistan's policy toward its neighbor that is a refreshing break from the past -- a message that Gen. Raheel Sharif carried on his recent trip to Afghanistan.
The new policy is one of no interference, no favorites in Afghanistan, which is supported by the ruling Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz.
But what about the ‘strategic depth' policy -- a vivid idea that Pakistan must control Afghanistan so not to have an enemy on its Western border? "Whosoever talks about the strategic depth policy is either outdated on the issue or is seriously mistaken," remarked one Pakistani security official. While the strategic depth policy was once an integral part of Pakistan's Afghan policy before 9/11, it is now redundant and obsolete. He added that: "The policy was a byproduct of [the] Soviet invasion of Afghanistan under a certain context. It is not sustainable and doesn't make any sense today given how the context and regional dynamics have changed."
With the ‘strategic depth' policy out of the window, India'sgrowing involvement in Afghanistan is becoming more acceptable to Pakistan's security establishment. That is not to say that Pakistan is completely comfortable with it, but more that it is slowly coming to terms with the idea as part of its new ‘no interference, no favorites' policy. "Afghanistan is a sovereign state, and it can choose to have any relations with any country. That should not be a concern for Pakistan, unless third powers are using Afghan soil to target Pakistan," explained a senior military official. On the question of a recent India-Russia deal to provide arms to the Afghan Army, the same official replied with a question: "Has the deal been signed yet?"
The newly found comfort over Indian advancements in Afghanistan can be attributed to three causes: First, Pakistan's security establishment realizes that Afghanistan requires regional partnerships for development. Second, Pakistan feels that, since India does not share a direct border with Afghanistan, it can only have limited influence on ground. Third, Pakistan's security apparatus has developed a relationship of good will and understanding with the Afghan leadership.
There is also a realization within the establishment that there is much to be learned from India in terms of its development strategy of winning hearts and minds in Afghanistan. While Pakistan may provide hardware and infrastructure development to Afghanistan, Indians are going out in rural Pashtun areas to provide books, medicines, and hospital facilities -- items that affect the people most and create goodwill. If Pakistan wants cordial relations with the people of Afghanistan it must follow the same route.
Most of the Pakistani security officials I interviewed are confident and optimistic about Afghanistan's future -- something that wasn't the case a couple of years back -- because of ongoing trends in the country, such as the elections, the quality of the candidates, and how everyone, young or old, turned out to cast a vote. One of the intelligence officers I talked to was of the view that Afghanistan has even gone beyond its ethnic divide, especially if one looks at voting behavior, and how Tajiks and Pashtuns voted for candidatesregardless of their ethnic affiliation. Moreover, the candidates have worked to mobilize the vote across ethnic divides, something that has been met with success. For example, Abdullah was supported by Pashtuns in Kabul and Jalalabad, and Ghani received support from Tajik strongholds in the north. As a result, Pakistan's security establishment does not predict an ethnic civil war breaking out between different ethnic factions, nor with Taliban................
read the full article here:
Pakistan's New, Optimistic Afghan Strategy
