@Kaptaan very well put, my young brother.
If you dig deeper then you will see that Peter the Great tried so hard to make Russia european. St. Petersberg was designed and built by the Italians...Dutch were there for ship building and canal works just like Amsterdam.
This sense of desparate acceptance by Europe has never gone away from the deep Rus psyche. Hence, my contention that Rus will dump the East at the first call from the West. Europe has always seen the Rus as Cosack and not european...
But then it is their affair. What is relevant to Sino-Pak equation is how they work together and break through containment strategies of the opposing forces.
Example: By buying weapons from everyone..india has tried and to some degree succeeded in isolating Pak from the international market. india has been over the decades also been containing Pak economically. As you once wrote even your famous rice is sold as indian...same goes for your rivers..
By accepting ground realities and then moving from there is the best start. What we see emerging is an open cold war between China & US and the US proxies such as JP, india, EU, Australia and so on...
But throughout history no rising power has been given a free pass...and there is always rites of passage.
China has so far navigated rather skillfully.
The fundamental issue is Dollar's future and recycling of petrodollars...should they become petro-remnbi then the world changes overnight. China has already laid the groudwork for this. Oct 1st is RMBs entery into IMF SDR basket. China has already issued SDR bonds last week or so...Shanghai has opened oil futures to be traded/priced in RMB. Also for Gold and Silver. These are fundamental steps.
So, yes, we shall see enormous pressure on China and also for your great country as well.
CPEC is far more than an infrastructure.... Just like the US, China has become a two ocean power. This is path breaking fact.
You will see much more troubles in your Baloch province, in your Karachi and your Sindh. Also, tragically, more terrorism will be unleashed upon Pak peoples. But somehow, your public seems to sense this and there is emerging awareness of this.
indian modi just delivered his opening shot about SCS in Vietnaam..just as Obama delivered his on CNN. Rather chorigraphed script. But this is Grand Geopolitics opening up in Asia. All ambuguity has gone now. Which is rather good thing in the long run.
The key is to watch whether the Feds and ECB will raise interest rates or not.
My sense is that the troublemakers will try to muddy the waters in G20.
So, put it all together.
1- Russia is just using EEU, SCO as bargaining chips for its entery into the West
2- Sino-Pak equation is all on its own. Sorry to say your socalled brothers form ME are rather useless as they are beholden to the opposing forces. When they start selling their oil in RMB then your country will be their security provider with full Chinese backing.
3- Whether the economic order can peacefully shit east or whether there be troubles is not yet clear. I fear troubles sadly.
4- There will be more troubles coming Pak's way from the south asian hegemon...which essentially is an expansionist empire rooted in rSS idealogoy.
5- CPEC will be finished and Kashmir will burn and burry her youngs for some years...but it will be FREE!
6- When China has sorted out the mess in the Chinese Seas...China will librate South Tibet from indian occupation along with other occupied north eastern territories. And no, idian nuclear weapons will not intimidate China in this.
Over to you for anti-thesis, young brother!
