As some military historians once concluded, neither country needs dozen of war heads, attacks on Mumbai, New Delhi, Kolkota, and a few other maim cities will be enough to bring India on it's knees, similarly attacks on Karachi, Lahore, Rawalpindi etc will have the same consequences for Pakistan. If such a tragic scenario is ever played out, the weapon delivery system will be the prime factor.
The words of wisdom by a great visionary from our part of the world also come to mind...... for,
"If all the Muslims in Pakistan are killed, there will still be plenty of Muslims left all over the Globe but if all the Hindus in India are eliminated, that will be virtually the end of the Hindus race, let us not finish off all the Muslims in Pakistan and all the Hindus in the world." !!!
So who wins in case of nuclear war..let us do an analysis
one kiloton explosion : -
effected explosion area is 1/3rd of mile + Fallout effect extended to 1 square mile
For 10 kiloton explosion
explosion area 2/3rd of a mile + Fallout effect about 10 square miles
an assumption that both neigbours uses their entire nuclear arsenal against each other
Let us assume india and pakistan has 200 kiloton ready material
Target cities in Pakistan
Karachi , Sargodha , Lahore, Bahawalpur , Faisalabad , Sialkot , Rawalpindi , Sukkur , Multan, Larkana , Hyderabad , Shekhupura , Gujranwala , Jhang , Peshawar , Mardan , Quetta, Rahim Yar Khan Islamabad, Gujrat..........constitutes 36366181 people comes to .....................................
36 million people
it comes to roughly about
1622 persons per square miles take both the explosion and fallout effect...95% people will succumb......1540 people will be evaporated......in pakistan.....
thats deadly
now compare the indian cities...
it comes to about
42 major indian cities.......
so roughly the population comes to 105373521 with a square mile area of 274468.....so roughly it comes out to be
383 person per square mile.
take both the explosion and fallout effect...95% people will succumb ....363 people are evaporated .....thats rougly
1/5th of pakistani casualities.......
so vis s vis comparing both pakistan and india with a 200 kiloton warhead........
for every 5 pakistani 1 indian will evaporate.....
it means...taking on pro-rata basis if india has a population currently to be 1,147,995,904 it means if we divide it by 5...the population of pakistan mathematically should be currently 229599181........but presently as per July 2008 census it is 172,800,048 which is a
shortfall of 56799133 people.....
so in the worst case scenario..that is
second strike capabilites of both the countries......india can evaporate pakistan 5 times before every indian evaporates ........mathematically it comes out India will win the Nuclear war .........................
solution for pakistan to win the nuclear war...to build atleat 5 times the nuclear warhead that india has at any given point of time ..........which i believe pakistan is doing right now or on this track....logically........however....we are not comparing any damages that has already occured pre-emptively because of the use of conventional weapons...before this scenario of nuclear war is taking place in both the countries........
For india the solution is to damage as much as possible through conventional weapons before nuclear war is started....that is logically what india is doing right now.... both countries are on the right track.....
have your say......
Anyways it is mentioned in The Clinton tapes by Taylor that India was confident of victory as in case of a nuclear war 500 million Indians will perisn (45% of India's population ) but 100% of Pakistan's population will perish.
P.S.:Zia was an idiot.