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Pakistan Elections 2018 Predictions; Nawaz Sharif's Future

You forget Jamalis and Rind of Baluchistan, together they have 3-4 seats for sure (electable). However, 5-10 seats from Sindh is very optimistic possibility. IK has neglected Karachi all together when there are seats here to be taken. Grabbing 60 from Punjab will be nothing less than a miracle. Gujranwala, Lahore, Sialkot, Faisalabad, Sarghoda were nearly clean swept by PMLN last time around. Let's see how much electables policy works for PTI this time around.



That's there ONLY possibility to form a Govt else pmln are not touching 100 on it own. PTI with even 100 NA seats (though i am not sure about it) will do the job since establishment support will be the key in next 5 years time. Infact after a defeat, I am seeing forward block in PML-N.

Didnt Rind's paper got rejected?
 
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http://www.riazhaq.com/2018/07/pakistan-elections-2018-predictions.html

What will be the impact of tragic terror attacks with mass casualties on Pakistan's July 25, 2018 general elections? How does the current situation compare with the situation in 2013 elections? Will the elections proceed as scheduled?


Pakistan Elections 2018 Forecast by Intermarket and Exotix Investment Firms

Which party is likely to get the most votes and parliamentary seats in Pakistan's July 25, 2018 general elections? Will one party get a clear majority? Who will form the new government? Is PTI Chief Imran Khan likely to be the next prime minister of Pakistan? Will it be a coalition government? How can a weak coalition government implement a radical reform agenda proposed by Imran Khan?

Why did former prime minister of Pakistan Mr. Nawaz Sharif, convicted recently by a Pakistani court on charges of having assets beyond income, come back to Lahore to face certain arrest? What is his strategy? What is Nawaz Sharif's future in Pakistani politics after his conviction and arrest? How will PMLN fare in 2018 and future elections? Will the disgraced Sharif be able to rehabilitate himself and reclaim the mantle of national leadership? Will future judges of Pakistan Supreme Court set aide his conviction to clear the way for him to become Pakistan's prime minister for the fourth time?

Viewpoint From Overseas host Faraz Darvesh discusses these questions with panelists Misbah Azam and Riaz Haq (www.riazhaq.com)





Here's Urdu version streamed live on Facebook:





Related Links:

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South Asia Investor Review

Nawaz Sharif's Report Card 2013-18

CPEC Transforming Pakistan's Least Developed Regions

Pakistan: The Other 99% of the Pakistan Story

How Pakistan's Corrupt Elite Siphon Off Public Funds

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Panama Leaks

How West Enables Corruption in Developing Countries

Declining Terror Toll in Pakistan

Riaz Haq's YouTube Channel

http://www.riazhaq.com/2018/07/pakistan-elections-2018-predictions.html
This 90 seats need 2 b broken down because 90 seats mean 50-60 seats only from Punjab...but we need 2 analyse that even establishment has failed on some fronts,for example it was being said that a lot of electables will leave PMLN but except a few in southern Punjab nobody has left NS..
So this 90 seats seem 90 dreams...
Imo, Pti would achieve 70 seats approximately nothing more.
 
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You forget Jamalis and Rind of Baluchistan, together they have 3-4 seats for sure (electable). However, 5-10 seats from Sindh is very optimistic possibility. IK has neglected Karachi all together when there are seats here to be taken. Grabbing 60 from Punjab will be nothing less than a miracle. Gujranwala, Lahore, Sialkot, Faisalabad, Sarghoda were nearly clean swept by PMLN last time around. Let's see how much electables policy works for PTI this time around.

I wouldn't be too sure. Surveys are suggesting PTI is leading in South Punjab (46 seats), it's neck and neck in Northwest Punjab (22 seats) and PML is leading in central Punjab (73 seats). Karachi will be interesting. PTI might be able to bag 3-4 seats if they're lucky. This is the first real election in Karachi in decades. With the army stationed inside, there are likely to be upsets. PTI might win a couple in other urban areas (it might be a close fight in Jacobabad).

Central Punjab is where the real game is going to be played. A Punjab seat is worth more to PTI than any other because a gain for them means a loss for PML. There are quite a few urban seats in Lahore, Sialkot and some other cities where PTI will give PML a run for their money.

It will all come down to how many voters each side is able to bring. If the N voter is dejected, they might not show up at all.
 
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60 seats for pti at maximum, and establishment is not popular among civilians like good old days in past. Hardly 2 seats from sindh for Pti, PPP knows how to play in sindh while pti is still immature, while punjab is in anti establishment mood.
 
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I bet PTI will not need any party to form government. PTI will win with simple majority in 2018 elections. At least 140 seats In sha ALLAH out of 272
 
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, while punjab is in anti establishment mood.

I really doubt that after what i have witnessed today. People presenting flowers, old age ladies giving bosa to the jawans of the army. Army jawan themselves are giving sweets to the kids. This anti establishment narrative of nawaz which was basically anti army stance has been rejected by the masses. On top of that indian media coming to Nawaz rescue has really done the job for the voters to make one final decision.
 
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PML(n) and PPP along with other status quo parties will outflank PTI and form govt. Their supporters will cheer this move as well—to “save democracy” and defeat Army oppression.

Both parties have successfully developed this “aura” of unfairness at the hands of army. I don’t see PTI coming to power and implementing the necessary reforms to take Pakistan to the next level. Sorry to say....

If PTI doesnt secure 50% seats then its very unlikely to make a govt. all others will be leaning towards PMLN if there is even a slight chance of their making the govt. I wont even be surprised if some of PTI winner selling their seats.

I bet PTI will not need any party to form government. PTI will win with simple majority in 2018 elections. At least 140 seats In sha ALLAH out of 272

If PTI doesnt get 150 seats then no govt for them, I suspect at least 10% of PTI walas will be in the seller market
 
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60 seats for pti at maximum, and establishment is not popular among civilians like good old days in past. Hardly 2 seats from sindh for Pti, PPP knows how to play in sindh while pti is still immature, while punjab is in anti establishment mood.
Hazaron khwahishain aisi :D
 
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Achakzai militant and his terrorist garrased election employes and took all electoral boxes from the scene army should take this terrorist head and knock him down once it for all
 
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If PTI doesnt secure 50% seats then its very unlikely to make a govt. all others will be leaning towards PMLN if there is even a slight chance of their making the govt. I wont even be surprised if some of PTI winner selling their seats.



If PTI doesnt get 150 seats then no govt for them, I suspect at least 10% of PTI walas will be in the seller market

tyari karlai tjhe jald hi Imran Khan oath letai hoa nazar anai wala hai...

In sha ALLAH
 
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