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Pakistan Economy grows by 2.4 percent in 2011

Finding excuse for anything below 4% is propesterous for any third world country. There are plenty of room to grow even under war. Flood or no flood agro does not contribute much to GDP growth rate rather industry and service which are the major players. Most of the time reconstruction after the natuaral calamity contribute to the GDP growth rate.
 
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Earlier I was hearing a figure close to 4%. This seems to be the growth rate for FY 2011, not calendar 2011. It'll be interesting to see the growth rate for calendar year 2011.
 
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Earlier I was hearing a figure close to 4%. This seems to be the growth rate for FY 2011, not calendar 2011. It'll be interesting to see the growth rate for calendar year 2011.


Its for the last fiscal year I think. Which should be from 1st July 2010- 30th June 2011 in Pakistan's case.
 
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I remember Reading an Article by Riaz Haq about India's day of Reckoning when Economic Growth slipped to 6.9% in Second quarter , even though In our case it is just temporary coz inflation has started to decline with Food inflation hitting 4 yrs low and over all inflation declining to lowest level in 3 months

I dont know what Riaz and Chinese Lizard will make of Pakistan's Growth rate

I Believe Riaz will open the Champagne coz according to him , this is proof that Pakistan's economy is Booming
Long live Zardari
 
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Its the worst performance in whole of south asia and few were going :blah: that it will be above 4% despite all the mess.

As there are no magic tricks to improve economy and WoT is still far away from over pakistan will take 5-6 year to become 200 billion economy.
 
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I remember Reading an Article by Riaz Haq about India's day of Reckoning when Economic Growth slipped to 6.9% in Second quarter , even though In our case it is just temporary coz inflation has started to decline with Food inflation hitting 4 yrs low and over all inflation declining to lowest level in 3 months

I dont know what Riaz and Chinese Lizard will make of Pakistan's Growth rate

I Believe Riaz will open the Champagne coz according to him , this is proof that Pakistan's economy is Booming
Long live Zardari
Just because RBI didnt raise interest rates this time around doesn't necessarily means that inflation has come down. Indian economic growth has two important dynamics 1) export of services 2)internal dependence. People really like to compare India with China and often talks kick in about population dividend. But they overlook the underlying growth drivers in both economy, while Indian growth has been more attributable to its services services, Chinese growth is attributable to a more robust real sector. In simple words India derives it growth by exporting services, while China derives by exporting goods. Now the debate comes which is more stable and more resilient model. The problem with services is that their response is relatively more elastic than goods to change in macro dynamics.A simple hint is that Chinese reserves are driven by trade surpluses while Indian reserves were driven by surplus remittances. With sluggishness in US and West India was fairly struck harder than China because 1)Unemployment rose in US, thus there must have been a worse impact on Indian Remittances and with a running trade deficit, we witnessed an erosion in INR. 2) With corporate expansion at standstill in US, India was hit relatively harder than China because need of services were directly related to prevailing economic enviornament however Chinese were still able to export their goods because they didn't need any corporate contract to export them (Though exports are also driven by contracts, but their impact is relatively mild than services). And going forward, China can substitute their labor intensive industry to capital intensive industry since the stock of capital accumulates in economy, a fact that many economists simply undermine while comparing the two economies (Even recently FDI inflows dropped in India but increased in China). But anyways, 2.4% is though not a shine fine figure, but we are not in recession. However, unless political consistency and improved economic policy stance is not taken, I dont see any case of double digit growth. However, a better growth figure for FY-12 can be expected citing improved law and order situation in the country.
 
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Finding excuse for anything below 4% is propesterous for any third world country. There are plenty of room to grow even under war. Flood or no flood agro does not contribute much to GDP growth rate rather industry and service which are the major players. Most of the time reconstruction after the natuaral calamity contribute to the GDP growth rate.
Really?...........When the manufacturer is not sure that his labor will come to work tomorrow or even in worse case, when his factory may not see the light of other day. Do you think he will think about even production decision let alone expansion decision(which in-turn drives growth)......Secondly, in recent floodings, the more loss was that of crops not the infrastructure, thats why there would not be a case of growth by reconstruction, secondly just look at Japan, they had a tsunami, did their growth pick up with reconstruction effort?....
 
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Pakistan should develop in Technology and try to be more self reliable in all areas (at least take lessons from Iran)
 
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Pakistan should develop in Technology and try to be more self reliable in all areas (at least take lessons from Iran)
That is only a slogan which is fairly impractical, it would need a revamp of whole system from Universities to Public Administration and Research. You cant have this with 8.2% Tax to GDP and 3% Post Graduate to total enrollment ratio. Ground realities must change before dreams are to be realized
 
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The inadequacy of Pakistani infrastructure, as had been alluded to for years by many, has finally begun to take a paralyzing toll on our economy. We don't produce anywhere near the electricity needed to fuel a growing nation, our water distribution is pathetic, our law and order system functions on bribes...our largest cities lack proper public transit and has deplorable health services to offer to the common man. On top of that, much of our population is uneducated and doesn't have access to proper academic institutions.
Essentially, we have all the tools for failure and have done nothing to improve them over the last 2 decades, when it became clear which direction Pakistan was heading in. Blaming WOT and the politicians is merely a convenient excuse which allows us to avert our eyes from the disaster that is the Pakistani infrastructure. See, with WOT and politicians, there seems to be an end...with the real problems facing us, it will take us a decade or two to fix...assuming that we decided right now, that very real changes need to be made. The key to stable and affective infrastructure is a solid tax base, the population is there...the government revenue isn't. The little revenue our government generates, it spends on the many nationalized institutions that are bleeding money due to market forces or incompetence.
 
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well thats very bad...

with population growing at around 1.5% i guess, this only translates into less than 1% increase in GDP per capita.
 
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Its the worst performance in whole of south asia and few were going :blah: that it will be above 4% despite all the mess.

As there are no magic tricks to improve economy and WoT is still far away from over pakistan will take 5-6 year to become 200 billion economy.

Yes, it'll likely be 4% in calendar year 2011. If not in 2011 but for sure in 2012.
 
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Pakistani minister was saying that Electricity crisis would only be solved by 2018, Iran need 5 yrs to export electricity, till then industries will suffer and so is the growth rate.
 
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Growth target cut to 3.6pc | Newspaper | DAWN.COM

ISLAMABAD: Hit by energy shortfalls and floods, the government on Monday formally reduced current year`s economic growth rate target by 0.6 per cent to 3.6 per cent and announced decision to re-pledge Lahore-Islamabad Motorway to bridge financing shortfalls as flows from the United States and telecom sector seem short of budgetary projections.

A senior economic manager told newsmen at a background briefing that the limit for fiscal deficit set at 4 per cent of GDP in the budget had also been revised to 4.7 per cent even though most of the expenditures were squeezed below half-yearly targets. In the first six months (July-Dec) of the current year, the fiscal deficit has been estimated at 2.5 per cent of GDP which meant the government still had a good margin of containing it at around 2.2 per cent in the remaining six months.

He said the government would issue about Rs50 billion worth of Sukuk bonds against the motorway project that had recently matured an earlier bond. The valuation of the Lahore-Islamabad motorway that stood at about Rs100 billion at the time of earlier Sukuk a few years ago has gone up to Rs250 billion. He said the government was also considering raising more finances through commercial borrowing.

In reply to a question, the official said that the minister for water and power was making all out efforts to overcome procedural and legal issues to pass on 4.5 per cent increase in electricity tariff to consumers while gas development surcharge would be imposed on consumers, except domestic, in a few days to raise funds for major gas pipeline projects as the president had signed the bill passed by parliament.

The official revealed that the Federal Board of Revenue had issued notices to 295,708 people for not filing tax returns of which about 36,000 had now filed their returns but 60 per cent of them claimed “nil” tax payable, saying their income had arisen out of agriculture and foreign remittances. About 60 per cent of them showed their income coming from agriculture and another 10 per cent claimed income through remittances.

He said these returns had been shared with the provincial governments at a meeting of the National Finance Commission last week to follow up with these people to verify their claims and seek agricultural income tax if their claims were true.

The official said the Sindh government had shared a draft bill with stakeholders to increase tax yields through agriculture while the province wanted this tax on a unified rate for all provinces so that there was no political fallout in one part of the country.

He disclosed that Pakistan did not send bills after May this year to the US on account of coalition support fund for services it provided to the coalition forces in Afghanistan.

---------- Post added at 09:52 AM ---------- Previous post was at 09:50 AM ----------

http://www.dawn.com/2011/12/20/gas-protests-play-havoc-with-traffic.html

ISLAMABAD/RAWALPINDI: Violent street protests over the gas crisis created such havoc in the twin cities on Monday that Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani and Bilawal Bhutto Zardari needed helicopters to move between the two cities. :lol:

Dawn has learned that sensing trouble on the Islamabad Expressway, the security establishment decided to airlift the prime minister from Islamabad airport, where he had arrived from Lahore, to his official residence, while the PPP chairman Bilawal Bhutto Zardari had
to be flown to Islamabad airport to catch a flight to Karachi.

Sindh’s Inspector General of Police Mushtaq Hussain had no such luck, however. Caught in one of the many traffic jams that the protests created in Rawalpindi, he missed his flight to Karachi.

These protests started around 11am and petered out after battling the police for eight hours.

Pleas of Regional Police Officer Mohammad Zubair and City Police Officer Azhar Hameed to crowds not to blockade the roads by burning tyres and rowdyism went unheard. Traffic was snarled all around the city, particularly on the busy arterial roads like the Benazir Bhutto Road, Airport Road and Rawal Road.

Tension heightened and the situation turned worse at the closing time of schools as worried parents jostled to pick up their children. Many took circuitous routes to reach the schools but were still frustrated in their attempts to reach their children. Ambulances were seen desperately trying to breakout of the traffic jams but their blaring sirens seldom opened a way for them, and just added to the general din.

PML-N legislators with traders on Benazir Bhutto Road organised the major protests. PML-N MNA Hanif Abbasi led one such rally at Rehmanabad in the company of MPAs Raja Muhammad Hanif Advocate, Ziaullah Shah, PML-N Women Wing’s Zebun Nisa, leader of Markazi Anjuman-i-Tajran Malik Shahid Ghafoor Paracha and his workers.

They accused the PPP-led government and SNGPL officials of deliberately creating gas crisis in Punjab. “People elected the PML-N for solving your problems, but the PPP is vilifying Punjab government by halting gas supply to the people,” they said.

PML-N was also said to be behind the rumpus on the Islamabad Expressway where the protesters clashed with the police.

Eyewitnesses said police had allowed about 300 residents, including women and children, of Dhoke Kala Khan and Shakarial to demonstrate near Zia Masjid on the Expressway. Trouble started when the police asked them to clear the Expressway for “a VVIP movement”.

Police said the crowd refused and called help, using the loudspeakers of the mosques in the area.

That made a traffic police, fearing the worst, alert the security detail of the prime minister which decided to fly him out than take the risk of road travel.

A clash soon ensued when the reinforced crowd pelted stones at the police and the passing cars.

Over a dozen policemen were injured by the stones, including the Sub-Divisional Police Officer and SHO of Shahzad Town police station.

Police detained six of the alleged attackers and registered a case under Section 780 of the Anti-Terrorism Act.

In Attock, hundreds of protesters from rural areas of Shakrdara, Sheenbagh and Sarwala blocked Attock-Kamra road for over two hours.
They were chanting slogans against the government and also burnt tires besides staging sit-in on the road.

In Gujar Khan, the resident complained of low gas pressure and frequent outages of electricity. They said that the low gas pressure in most of the residential areas of the city was too low to cook food which has affected their routine life.

In the morning the school going children as well as bread winners were forced to leave their houses without breakfast.
 
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