please do counter my points so we can have a meaningful debate on these points. I am basically opposing this while it seems a majority of the seniors will favour it.
First of all, my sincere apologise for late reply, I was very busy since last 2 days
I do understand where you are coming from and partially agree with your reservations but I think the major difference of opinion is the fear of consequences you have and the optimism myself and
@Horus shares.
how many people will oppose Zardari, how many will oppose MQM in Karachi, how will any change come in Southern Punjab, how kind will the Chaudry be when he owns half of a district
Look, I wouldn't want to talk about the role of feudal lord or seasoned politicians in local politics as I firmly believe the people in Pakistan are smarter than we think and a noob party called Pakistan Tehreek e Insaf proved in General Elections 2013 by grabbing 7,700,000 votes out of nowhere. That was a massive shift of change in Pakistan and reaffirming the fact that hard work and dedication does pay off one day. That change was brought at national level and I believe it is easier to bring such change at provincial level once the smaller administrative units are created. One big problem for Pakistan is, we have not allowed a single system to function properly that has not allowed to filter out the faults from the system. I am not supporting PTI but pointing out the fact that change can be brought in the feudal system and I am no longer pessimist about it. So this argument of power the power coming over to one family in smaller administrative is temporary and will no longer be reality if we do not support it.
I think you are over optimistic but the fact is if Lahore was a province along with surrounding villages, we would see development in a very superficial way with no way of changing the status quo or the death grip that they would have with a stronger grip on the police, the courts, and the policies of spending.
It is your observation and I respect your opinion. But if you ask me if Lahore was a province, it would only be getting its fair share of budget and will plan to use that money in the best interest of local people. Right now, Lahore gets highest share from the budget of Punjab due to the money being distributed through a single channel/Lahore-centred government. The good thing about more provinces is the environment of competition between the smaller administrative units which may lead to getting rid of bad politicians based on their performances and quick replacement of better politicians. If we have 1 bad CM, whole Punjab suffers, if we have 8-10 CM's only one area might be suffering
For real change we need to change the provision of funds like I mentioned to be mandatory rather then concentrate power to certain families in the regions they belong to. This will strengthen family politics further and dissent will not be met with anything but violence.
Agree but the solution to your problem lies in creation of smaller administrative units. You will never be able to form such a strategy unless you make administrative changes. Why not make the whole province if you go that way?
The federation is going to be made up of ruling families who will try and form coalition governments which will be fragile and thus unable to agree on any real issue. The PML-Q would resurface with some provinces, PTI and PPP would get a larger piece of the pie, with MQM and ANP even having chances of being provincial parties. Divide and conquer is more like what this will do, more infighting and less work.
Is it going to be different to what already have? Whatever your observations are, we are already witnessing this menace. So why not try something new? If the whole province is strangled in the hands of few politicians why not have better concentration of representatives from the people to have higher chance of good people coming on top? if Lahore is strangled by bad politician, Multan doesn't have to bear the cost of Lahore's poor decision.
Any system in the world will fail when those enforcing it are not sincere to it.
indeed, I think I do agree that the biggest issue is not the creation of provinces but implementation. We do have very good examples of nations which thrived after the creation of new administrative units but there are also countries like Afghanistan, smaller than the size of Pakistan with 34 provinces and having shown no sign of real change for the people.
You need to change the set up to be less corrupt and then even if you reduce the provinces it would work out. Local bodies need to be given greater power
Reducing the provinces has only led to division of Pakistan in 1971. When the voice of poor people is not being heard by the ruling party living 500 km away from your home town, it creates an environment of desperation and leads to unfortunate circumstances. It is better to have your representatives from everywhere so that your local people can catch you for wrong doings and replace you if need be.
then how can giving power to more of the same change anything. .
The problem is, Punjab is bigger than the combined population of Holland, Beligum, Greece, Portugal, Hungary, Sweden, Austria, Switzerland and Norway. Imagine the hundreds of administrative units created in all these countries compared to just 1 in Punjab. If we just divide Punjab with population concentration of 10 million per province, Each of it's 9 provinces will be twice as big as Ireland in terms of population and bigger than many European countries by land.
Imagine just 1 chief minister with a small cabinet is handling the affairs of such a large province. The problem is, even if the CM is very loyal person it is very impracticable to cater the need of a citizen living 500 km away from Lahore. I think every province in Pakistan should be no larger than 80-100 kilometres and the population no bigger than 10 million.
Hypothetically speaking, if divisions of Punjab were upgraded to Provincial level it would geographically be:
Bahawalpur - Bigger than Netherlands, Denmark or Switzerland
DG Khan - Bigger than Belgium
Sargodha - Slightly smaller than Belgium
Rawalpindi - Bigger than Slovenia
Multan - Half the size of Switzerland
Faisalabad - Twice the size of Cyprus
Gujranwala - Twice the size of Cyprus
Lahore - Twice the size of Cyprus
Sahiwal - Bigger than Cyprus
The population of each province will be bigger than Scandinavian countries or Switzerland. So it is not a bad idea to devolve some powers from the one-man show. I have not been able to talk about the benefits of more provinces as the post has become very long, will write about it later