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Oxford historian's 'Silk Roads' talks about 'age of Asia'

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Oxford historian's 'Silk Roads' talks about 'age of Asia'

By Yang Yang | China Daily | Updated: 2017-10-13 08:21


The Chinese translation of Peter Frankopan's The Silk Roads: A New History of the World. [Photo provided to China Daily]

Oxford University history professor Peter Frankopan says historians should be brave: "Otherwise, there is no point of writing history."

In his latest book, The Silk Roads: A New History of the World, he has tried to narrate the history of the world from a different perspective-from what "kept being told of the importance of the Mediterranean as a cradle of civilization, when it seemed so obvious that this was not where civilization had really been forged", as he writes in the preface.

"The real crucible, the 'Mediterranean' in its literal meaning-the center of the world-was not a sea separating Europe and North Africa, but right in the heart of Asia."

At the end of the 672-page book, Frankopan concludes "we are seeing the signs of the world's center of gravity shifting-back to where it lay for millennia".

After elaborating the historical development of the Silk Roads since its birth more than 2,000 years ago from different perspectives, such as faiths, trades, wars and diseases, Frankopan writes: "It is easy to feel confused and disturbed by dislocation and violence in the Islamic world, by religious fundamentalism, by clashes between Russia and its neighbors or by China's struggle with extremism in its western provinces. What we are witnessing, however, are the birthing pains of a region that once dominated the intellectual, cultural and economic landscape and which is now re-emerging."

Questioned by many critics on being "overly optimistic" about the conclusion of his book, Frankopan says in an interview with China Daily: "I'm not being optimistic. I am saying that there is always part of the world that drives and is most affected by changes, and it has always been like that."

The whole world is in the process of change, he adds, and "I could try to answer, but the key point is that the change doesn't happen in the space of one week, one month or one year, and we'll see what will happen".

He attributes the change to what was happening in Iraq, Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, China and even the last phase of the former Soviet Union some 25 years ago.

"That was the birth of the change. We're living in an age of Asia," he says.

In the context of the Belt and Road Initiative, Frankopan says the greatest challenge for China is the need to constantly explain itself to the outside world.

"That's hard," he says.

There is already a strong belief in China, not just within government but also among people, that the Chinese are very special, Chinese culture is very rich and Chinese history is strong, he says. "There's no need to be explaining this way."

Although it still needs time to see how the Belt and Road Initiative develops, Frankopan says, "I'm still more or less optimistic insofar as it looks to me potentially the most important investment plan for hundreds of years".

Since he published The Silk Roads: A New History of the World in 2015, more than 1 million copies in English and other languages, including Finnish, Korean, Dutch, Danish, French Swedish, Russian, Croatian and Spanish, have been sold, making the book a best-seller around the world.

Since the Chinese translation of his book was published in September 2016, more than 500,000 copies have been sold.

Since he was 6 years old, Frankopan has been fascinated by the world map and curious about the center of the world. He says he has being working on the book for 40 years.

Happy with his work as a historian, he has spent the last 25 to 30 years working in libraries, looking for answers to his own questions, such as: Why the world today looks the way it does? Why is it that English language is so common all over the world? Why is it that China is changing today?

Everybody is trying to understand what the world is going to be tomorrow, but they are looking to the past to explain that, he says.

"Suddenly it looks that these questions that I'm asking, everybody else wants to know some answers. And I'm modest enough to know that I don't have all the answers but at least I've tried to think about what these questions are and I think that's why this book has been so successful all over the world," he says.

http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/culture/2017-10/13/content_33191372.htm
 
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China is wasting $4 trillion of its own money on OBOR, that may never come to life as was envisaged by China. The risks are quite high, the chances that other financing institutions will get involved is next to zero, US and west have started opposing the project, and India is not on board. OBOR is proving be divider than a integrator. The chances that OBOR will fail is quite high.
 
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China is wasting $4 trillion of its own money on OBOR, that may never come to life as was envisaged by China. The risks are quite high, the chances that other financing institutions will get involved is next to zero, US and west have started opposing the project, and India is not on board. OBOR is proving be divider than a integrator. The chances that OBOR will fail is quite high.

Their money, they can waste it wherever they want.. :hitwall:
OH WAIT ,first decide whether China is wasting money or making money with a debt trap.Makeup your mind.


and India is not on board.
not a single **** was given..World can revolve without India.
 
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China is wasting $4 trillion of its own money on OBOR, that may never come to life as was envisaged by China. The risks are quite high, the chances that other financing institutions will get involved is next to zero, US and west have started opposing the project, and India is not on board. OBOR is proving be divider than a integrator. The chances that OBOR will fail is quite high.

Nah, last check over 70 countries have joined.
India's participation is a bonus not necessary, old or new silk road.

Don't worry about obor, am certain they have calculated all situations including rogue nations. They wouldn't have reached where they are today without substantial amounts of foresight.

All that said, they sure have factored in the lost of investment in a worse case scenario.

Lastly US might be joining if they havent already.

Want to make money? you have to lose some.
 
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China is wasting $4 trillion of its own money on OBOR, that may never come to life as was envisaged by China. The risks are quite high, the chances that other financing institutions will get involved is next to zero, US and west have started opposing the project, and India is not on board. OBOR is proving be divider than a integrator. The chances that OBOR will fail is quite high.
U.S enterprises are not stupid like Indian to lose this opportunity of millennium, and your former master U.K wants to join``and India`? :lol:```your primitive factor driven fuedal alike society weights a kilo, in other words, Nothing``````
 
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China is wasting $4 trillion of its own money on OBOR, that may never come to life as was envisaged by China. The risks are quite high, the chances that other financing institutions will get involved is next to zero, US and west have started opposing the project, and India is not on board. OBOR is proving be divider than a integrator. The chances that OBOR will fail is quite high.

The AIIB has already launched several joint projects with the World Bank, the EBRD and the ADB. Recently, it signed cooperation agreement with the EEU. It is having good communication with the CEEC under 16+1.

In Taiwan, soon, we are holding a OBOR-Europe cooperation symposium.

India not on board is irrelevant. China can do without having a country with sub-Saharan level of development on board. There are more opportunities out there. India proving a negative example of bad governance is enough contribution to the OBOR.

Japan is not on board. Yet. But. Mr. Hatoyama, former PM of Japan, is on the board of governors of the AIIB.

Japan will come soon.
 
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The AIIB has already launched several joint projects with the World Bank, the EBRD and the ADB. Recently, it signed cooperation agreement with the EEU. It is having good communication with the CEEC under 16+1.

In Taiwan, soon, we are holding a OBOR-Europe cooperation symposium.

India not on board is irrelevant. China can do without having a country with sub-Saharan level of development on board. There are more opportunities out there. India proving a negative example of bad governance is enough contribution to the OBOR.

Japan is not on board. Yet. But. Mr. Hatoyama, former PM of Japan, is on the board of governors of the AIIB.

Japan will come soon.

Mark my word. OBOR is going to fail. Come back after 5 years and let us discuss why it failed. Except Chinese no one believes that OBOR has a good chance of succeeding.
 
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That's as credible as India 2012 superpower argument.

I will mark and store your words in the same file with "2012 India" tag on it and wait.

I didn't said India will become superpower in 2012. So it is better you argue with people who said that.
 
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Mark my word. OBOR is going to fail. Come back after 5 years and let us discuss why it failed. Except Chinese no one believes that OBOR has a good chance of succeeding.

LOL, u mean except Indians

I didn't said India will become superpower in 2012. So it is better you argue with people who said that.
Your ex PM said it.
Have you conveniently forgotten about it?
 
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LOL, u mean except Indians


Your ex PM said it.
Have you conveniently forgotten about it?

Anyone with a sense of investing will say OBOR is a very high risk project. Political risks are very high and there is no way to hedge political risks. Then there are sovereign risks, local sentiments, legal risks and environmental risks. There is no way to hedge these risks.

LOL, u mean except Indians


Your ex PM said it.
Have you conveniently forgotten about it?

I am not the ex PM, you should ask him. Not me.
 
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Anyone with a sense of investing will say OBOR is a very high risk project. Political risks are very high and there is no way to hedge political risks. Then there are sovereign risks, local sentiments, legal risks and environmental risks. There is no way to hedge these risks.

Scary world, isn't it?

It is great that India has opted to go the 'call-center' way and avoided all these messy things.

Launching a call center is more difficult than launching the AIIB (to which India is a member) and the Silk Road Fund.
 
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Scary world, isn't it?

It is great that India has opted to go the 'call-center' way and avoided all these messy things.

Launching a call center is more difficult than launching the AIIB (to which India is a member) and the Silk Road Fund.

There are two ways to launching a fund...easy one and hard one. Easy one: If you have excess money, you are ready with a fund to invest. Or the harder way is convincing third party investors to pool their money into the fund, so that you can invest on their behalf. I guess China is taking the easy route.
 
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Anyone with a sense of investing will say OBOR is a very high risk project. Political risks are very high and there is no way to hedge political risks. Then there are sovereign risks, local sentiments, legal risks and environmental risks. There is no way to hedge these risks.



I am not the ex PM, you should ask him. Not me.

Obor is a network of road, rail, and sea routes an upgraded version of the 1st silk road to ferry goods back and forth leading to cost effective way to trade

Along these networks, towns perhaps cities will sprung up just like the old silk road. All good there.

Good for everyone, all gets a piece of the pie, how would it cause local uprising?

Told you they would have factored in geopolitics. And they would have done feasibility studies before proposing a project at this magnitude.

Initial investments will be recouped in due time. Worry about yourself.

He is your ex pm u tell me.

There are two ways to launching a fund...easy one and hard one. Easy one: If you have excess money, you are ready with a fund to invest. Or the harder way is convincing third party investors to pool their money into the fund, so that you can invest on their behalf. I guess China is taking the easy route.

Sure china has to setup AIIB due to world bank is owned by US. You can use your imagination as to why not just make use of exisitng WB.

They have the funds to pull off mutually beneficial project, what is wrong with having spare cash?

Simple you say? Can india come up with anything remotely close to the scale and complexity of obor/new silk road?
 
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Obor is a network of road, rail, and sea routes an upgraded version of the 1st silk road to ferry goods back and forth leading to cost effective way to trade

Along these networks, towns perhaps cities will sprung up just like the old silk road. All good there.

Good for everyone, all gets a piece of the pie, how would it cause local uprising?

Told you they would have factored in geopolitics. And they would have done feasibility studies before proposing a project at this magnitude.

Initial investments will be recouped in due time. Worry about yourself.

He is your ex pm u tell me.

Things don't go as you have put there in your post. Your assumptions are too optimistic. And rational investors don't invest based on optimistic assumptions but on the worst case scenarios. Forget returns, the first thing rational investors do is protect their original investment. The OBOR is against this fundamental principle of investment.
 
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