One out of every 179 Americans will eventually be murdered if crime rate continues: study

[etylo]

One out of every 179 Americans will eventually be murdered if crime rate continues: study​

By
Emma Colton, Fox News


November 14, 2022 3:47pm
Updated



A study examining murders in 2021 based on death certificate data projects that one out of 179 Americans will eventually be murdered over the course of their lifetimes if the country’s murder rate remains at 2021 levels.

“That means if you’re in the United States, you live here, you’re born and you spend your life here, your odds of your life ending by murder are one in 179 over your life. Not over a year or any other timeframe.”

“It’s just somebody’s gonna murder you before you die of natural causes, an accident, suicide, whatever it may be,” Jim Agresti, president and co-founder of Just Facts, a nonprofit research institute, told Fox News Digital. Agresti also authored the study.

One out of every 179 Americans will eventually be murdered if crime rate continues: study

A study examining murders projects that one out 179 Americans will eventually be murdered over the course of their lifetimes.

nypost.com

Great American dream, chasing the dead...

 

[VCheng]

One out of every 179 Americans will eventually be murdered if crime rate continues: study​

By
Emma Colton, Fox News


November 14, 2022 3:47pm
Updated



A study examining murders in 2021 based on death certificate data projects that one out of 179 Americans will eventually be murdered over the course of their lifetimes if the country’s murder rate remains at 2021 levels.

“That means if you’re in the United States, you live here, you’re born and you spend your life here, your odds of your life ending by murder are one in 179 over your life. Not over a year or any other timeframe.”

“It’s just somebody’s gonna murder you before you die of natural causes, an accident, suicide, whatever it may be,” Jim Agresti, president and co-founder of Just Facts, a nonprofit research institute, told Fox News Digital. Agresti also authored the study.

One out of every 179 Americans will eventually be murdered if crime rate continues: study

A study examining murders projects that one out 179 Americans will eventually be murdered over the course of their lifetimes.

nypost.com

Great American dream, chasing the dead...

"“Even in previous years, when murders were much less common, the lifetime likelihood of murder was so shocking to some people that they sent repeated emails to Just Facts insisting it was wrong. Yet, the methodology used by Just Facts to compute this figure was developed by a licensed actuary, double-checked by a Ph.D mathematician and triple-checked by a Ph.D biostatistician,” the study says."

One out of every 179 Americans will eventually be murdered if crime rate continues: study

A study examining murders projects that one out 179 Americans will eventually be murdered over the course of their lifetimes.

nypost.com

Except that nowhere is the actual methodology described.




The funny thing is that there is no mention of what NYPost is reporting on the JustFacts own website:

Just Facts

Welcome to Just Facts, a nonprofit institute dedicated to researching and publishing verifiable facts about the critical public policy issues of our time.

www.justfacts.com

 

[etylo]

"“Even in previous years, when murders were much less common, the lifetime likelihood of murder was so shocking to some people that they sent repeated emails to Just Facts insisting it was wrong. Yet, the methodology used by Just Facts to compute this figure was developed by a licensed actuary, double-checked by a Ph.D mathematician and triple-checked by a Ph.D biostatistician,” the study says."

One out of every 179 Americans will eventually be murdered if crime rate continues: study

A study examining murders projects that one out 179 Americans will eventually be murdered over the course of their lifetimes.

nypost.com

Except that nowhere is the actual methodology described.




The funny thing is that there is no mention of what NYPost is reporting on the JustFacts own website:

Just Facts

Welcome to Just Facts, a nonprofit institute dedicated to researching and publishing verifiable facts about the critical public policy issues of our time.

www.justfacts.com

The US locks up 2 million people in jails for committing crimes each year, by far the lagest number and rate of any country. Not surprising, the murder rate is this high.

 

[VCheng]

The US locks up 2 million people in jails for committing crimes each year, by far the lagest number and rate of any country. Not surprising, the murder rate is this high.

Except that JustFacts own website has no such information.

 

[tower9]

Well considering how inflation is destroying the middle class and plunging the lower middle class and poor into homelessness and deep poverty, this is not surprising. The level of desperation is real.

 

[gambit]

"“Even in previous years, when murders were much less common, the lifetime likelihood of murder was so shocking to some people that they sent repeated emails to Just Facts insisting it was wrong. Yet, the methodology used by Just Facts to compute this figure was developed by a licensed actuary, double-checked by a Ph.D mathematician and triple-checked by a Ph.D biostatistician,” the study says."

One out of every 179 Americans will eventually be murdered if crime rate continues: study

A study examining murders projects that one out 179 Americans will eventually be murdered over the course of their lifetimes.

nypost.com

Except that nowhere is the actual methodology described.

Nowhere? That is statistical malfeasance.

 

[8888888888888]

Look like Canada is the only developed nation in the NA while the rest are developing.

 

[VCheng]

Nowhere? That is statistical malfeasance.

Should anyone be surprised at the unbridled antics of the commiebots here?

 

[Beast]

Should anyone be surprised at the unbridled antics of the commiebots here?

How is he commie when he is Canadian? Better than US troll who thinks USA is a safe place.

 

[beijingwalker]

How is he commie when he is Canadian? Better than US troll who thinks USA is a safe place.

Every Chinese is a commie, every Chinese in PDF is a commiebot.

 

[Beast]

Every Chinese is a commie, every Chinese in PDF is a commiebot.

Is that racism? No wonder there is so much problem in USA. Becos segregation is based on race. A Chinese can never be president of USA. Chinese is threat to mankind according to USA.

 

[jhungary]

Should anyone be surprised at the unbridled antics of the commiebots here?

Never trust any data......

First of all, Murder Rate (the one OP uses) and Homicide rate are two different things. Murder rate is the crime rate that dictate about the crime between 1st/2nd/3rd degree murder. Any single case of murder will count toward this rate.

On the other hand, homicide rate is the rate that dictate about the crime of ALL homicide. From vehicular homicide to murder.

Second of all, you don't count them by case, because a "Single" murder could have generated multiple different murder case. It could have been committed by multiple perpetrators; it could have been multiple victims. For example, in most case a mass murderer would have been charged with multiple count of murder for one single act with multiple victims, Nicholas Cruz was charged with 17 counts of First-Degree murder for every one of those kids he killed, but in practices, he only had committed one murder, because they are all the same case. But in most statistic, that's 17 murders.

Crime data is notoriously easy to be manipulated, and unless you know the scope of what is being included, usually that lead to wrong assumption.

Is that racism? No wonder there is so much problem in USA. Becos segregation is based on race. A Chinese can never be president of USA. Chinese is threat to mankind according to USA.

How is it racist when both Chinese and Communist are not race??

 

[Foinikas]

How is he commie when he is Canadian? Better than US troll who thinks USA is a safe place.

Trust me,he's one of those who bitch about the West,but lives in the West and doesn't want to leave the West.

 

[VCheng]

Crime data is notoriously easy to be manipulated, and unless you know the scope of what is being included, usually that lead to wrong assumption.

Exactly. But it supports the assigned agenda of the commiebots to make the sensational title of the thread.

 

[etylo]

Should anyone be surprised at the unbridled antics of the commiebots here?

The truth hurts eh, you Ammie bot dream shattered.

Trust me,he's one of those who bitch about the West,but lives in the West and doesn't want to leave the West.

So people cant have different opinions, so much of your Greek freedom of speech, people cant put up facts that disagree with you, hypocrite. So, to you Greek, US is "the west" as your fatherland. Who give you Greek the right to decide whether I should stay in the West or not ? Before, you think you should have the right to limit what Chinese can post on the forum. You think you are really special becos you are Greek ?