Only the future beholds the future Indian course of action. If India does what you say there is not a single country that will weep for BD. No country respects a weak, corrupt and meek country. Also, a country has no right to exist if its people are not courageous to fight and defend its sovereignty.
Seeing what MM is doing to BD, I am afraid it will push for annexing the part of BD that was formerly a part of Arakan until Shayesta Khan annexed the land north of Naaf Dariya. No wonder, MM also wants St. Martin to be its part using similar pretext.
In a war, Bd troops will lose and flee north without repulsing the MM troops. A real fighting is not a pen fighting in the PDF. So, if BA cannot withstand MM troops how it is possible to withstand Indian troops, especially when India will keep silent and encourage MM?
An independent country is for people who would give life to defend it. BD people's mindset is different comparing to the Pakistani people. All of them will die fighting, but not us. We will keep on crying.
"বর্মাইয়ারা আমরারে মারি ফালাইলো, আমরারে কাটি ফালাইলো। আমরার ৩০ লক্ষ মানুষ হেতারা মারি ফালাইছে। কি কইত্তাম"।
Say, Myanmar is a country who still let their frontline Army using Wicker rattan bags to carry their logistic. They even can't provide sufficient MRE to their combatant and let them alone to pillaging villages for their daily meals. So can you said how far they will move when engage peer enemies with professional training regime and had sufficient logistic.
They on paper had numerous assets, but God Forbid how much those assets still being properly maintained and services. How much and how capable technician their depot and repairing workshop in the Army they had? When regarding their average HDI is far below average don't expect much from their human resource. Not to mention, they are had the largest number of deserter among their Armed Forces ranks from all countries in ASEAN, with all the abuses and insult among their low ranks and files army soldier and officers. When shit is come all hell will breaking lose.
Bengal Sultanate extended up til the Kaladan river at the very least.
Pakistan suffers from ethnic and tribal in-fighting so one should not delude itself trying to emulate that. But yes, on an individual basis Pakistanis are willing to defend themselves domestically and abroad whereas the average Bengali is happy to get slapped around. But this has been true across all administrations.
I have spoken to people in the military and people personally involved. I can tell you two things:
1. Many in the Navy and Army want to go to conflict with MM.
2. There was a small border war in the early 90s when MM led an incursion. I don't know if news reports exist or not, but BD troops defeated them decisively.
Our Indonesian friend is correct. MM army is weak and disorganized. That's why they have so many insurgent groups and half their country is controlled by them!!
They operate in a medieval economic model, that's why there's regional warlords and their national Army pillages and rapes Rohingya villages and women for sustenance.
Bluesky, on one hand you're saying Bengalis are cowards but on the other your saying MM is courageous and strong so you are falling in the former group. Nike, is closer to the truth.
Myanmar is not even a paper tiger. If MM went to war with BD, the other ethnic insurgent groups will take advantage of Myanmar. We see ourselves as completely surrounded, but they are actually the ones surrounded.
If war with Myanmar breaks out, India will NOT directly support them because that means India will be the one who bears the brunt of refugees. India naturally will not allow the conflict to extend to BD's heartland.
In wars, we should know the enemy's stronger points and not the weak points. They have big guns that can directly destroy with its airforce the industrial port facilities in Chittagong, and roads and bridges.
BD's strategy with MM is not to go in a full-fledged war, it should be a border conflict. The aim should be to create a 'safe zone' in Western Rakhine extending from the Naaf to Kaladan rivers. This becomes an autonomous region for Rohingya, equivalent to Kosovo.
There are border conflicts in many parts of the world, such as Armenia and Azerbaijan or in the past Russia and Georgia, etc. That does NOT mean it extends to the heartland.
And i will tell you precisely why that won't happen: Yes, Chittagong is in the line of fire, but so is Myanmar's cities and capital. They are on the coastline. Whereas Dhaka and other cities are located far in-land in BD. If they attack any of our cities, we can easily do the same and they have far more to lose. Which is why it will never go that direction. We can easily destroy their gas fields. They would rather lose a meaningless portion of land than lose their cash cow Sittwe gas-fields, Sittwe city and Yangon or Naypidyaw. They've already given up large portions of their land to other ethnic rebel groups.
