Sir,
Since you're on the ground and have a lot more intel then outsiders like us. But what you're painting is a very bleak picture which makes it seem that communal violence is all but guaranteed between Hindus and Muslims.
Though from your posts the Hindus have done a fantastic job in isolating and containing Muslims around the country. The fact of the matter is 200 Million is a big number, and vast majority of them are dirt poor due to the discrimination policies of the majority Hindu population. While the rich Muslims(few in numbers) are assimilated into the Indian society, the poor are not and they will have nothing to lose but to fight. They may not have fire arms, but knives/bricks can do a lot of damage.
There will be clashes.
And those will end badly for Muslims.
The days of equal fatality Hindu Muslim riots are now gone.
All riots in the past 30 years, state machinery has been used against them, and Hindu forces have crossed state and local area lines to blister forces.
The same is prevented logistically for the Muslims by road blocks and access control valves.
The idea is to have sharp short reprisals and crush them to a level they will not repeat again.
And it has worked.
Like what China did to India in 1962.
Eventually the Muslims will find themselves faced with the same Kashmir stalemate.
In that sense what happens now to the 9 million in Kashmir will be a pilot for the larger 200 million.
Over the next 10-20 years.