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More that the government had its best chance in the 1st year where people were more willing to give it a chance because that is what they had voted for- a change of functioning. The government will find it progressively harder to push deep reforms without considerable opposition & some attention getting paid to the outcry which might not have been the case very early on. The point is that it becomes harder, not that it cannot be done but this has been time wasted.
Too much is at risk in the Bihar election with the strategy now employed & as you say, it might depend n the outcome. However significant change to the RS (if BJP wins) will only start in 2016 and if they happen to do badly in Bihar, the push for reforms will simply lose traction, essentially undermining the mandate of 2014 because of state elections. My point was that we should have already got some tough reforms out of the way & maybe we would have seen a more major recovery happening which would have helped the government make its case.
Me along with several others states even before 2014 that reforms will be difficult. Even in first year it would not have been passed simply because they do not have the numbers in the RS. It would have been impossible. Congress and other opposition will not permit simply because any push on reforms will be a deathblow to their party irrespective of weather it was in the first or last year. on the contrary, reforms will get progressively easier, especially after 2016 when NDA gets high numbers in the RS. Win in BIhar is almost obvious and will set the stage for win in multiple other states.
MGB will not win in BIhar, it is impossible as of right now.