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'Middle class' driving China's consumption expansion

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'Middle class' driving China's consumption expansion
By Zhao Shiyue | chinadaily.com.cn
Updated: June 1, 2021

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Customers are seen at a shopping mall in Qiaoxi district of Shijiazhuang, North China's Hebei province, on Feb 5, 2021. [Photo/Xinhua]

China has been speeding up consumption transformation in recent years, moving toward a simultaneous emphasis on quantity and quality. As consumption structures further optimize, the new middle class is emerging as a strong power to ignite changes, according to Li Yongjian, a researcher at Chinese Academy of Social Science, news portal The Paper reported.

China's GDP totaled 101.6 trillion yuan last year, up 2.3 percent from a year earlier and making the country the only major economy in the world with positive growth. From 2019 to 2020, the country saw per-capita GDP exceeding $10,000 for two consecutive years.

Although the COVID-19 outbreak struck the consumption sector, a report from McKinsey shows the mood, behaviors and characteristics of Chinese consumers had returned to pre-epidemic levels by March this year.

In the first quarter, China's retail sales of consumer goods soared 33.9 percent year-on-year, and registered an increase of 1.86 percent from the previous quarter.

Consumption has become the biggest driver to China's economic growth, and also the ballast of economic stability, Li said. Consumer spending accounted for 53.4 percent of GDP from 2011 to 2019 on average, and 54.3 percent in 2020.

In 2019, China's consumption market (including retail sales and service consumption) has registered $6 trillion, only $200 billion or about 3 percent from that of the US, research from China International Capital Corporation Limited showed.

The report anticipated volume to hit $7 trillion by 2022, surpassing the US as the world's largest consumption market.

As China has achieved the goal in building up an all-around xiaokang, or moderately prosperous society, the scale of the middle class has continued to expand and become the stimulus in consumption structure optimization.

Homi Kharas and Meagan Dooley, senior analysts at the Brookings Institution, said the increase of incomes in China is faster than earlier estimates, and about 1.2 billion Chinese are expected to join the "middle class club" by 2027, accounting for a quarter of the world's total.

The rapid expanding of this group will boost the continuous growth of consumer markets, Li said.

China's consumption growth over the next decade will be no less than six percent, with most of the increase coming from the new middle class, Market China 2021 concluded.

In 2019, service consumption accounted for 45.9 percent of China's total consumer spending. Per-capita consumption expenditures on services increased from 6,442 yuan to 9,896 yuan, an increase of 54 percent from 2015 to 2019.

China's online shopping volume reached 11.76 trillion yuan in 2020, an increase of 10.9 percent over the previous year and accounting for about 40 percent of the global total.

New consumption modes related to health, sustainability and green development adopted by middle class have also gone widespread.

The Global EV Outlook 2021 by the International Energy Agency reported 3.24 million new energy vehicles were sold in 2020, with about 41 percent of sales coming from China - the world's biggest NEV market.
 
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The tale of 2 nation.

In China the middle class is expanding but in USA the middle class is fast joining the poor.

In USA statistics shows that homelessness has skyrocketed and the two administration have equally taken no responsibility.

As USA is slowly imploding buried under massive debt, the era of US dollar as World Trading Currency is drawing to an end.

And without the Greenback as the WRC USA economy will starts to contracts like nobody business.

Both President Putin and President Jiang are visionary to sign the Strategic Comprehensive Partnership 20 years. Today they do not need USA.
China with its huge domestic market is already the biggest in the world in term of PPP. :coffee:
 
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The tale of 2 nation.

In China the middle class is expanding but in USA the middle class is fast joining the poor.

In USA statistics shows that homelessness has skyrocketed and the two administration have equally taken no responsibility.

As USA is slowly imploding buried under massive debt, the era of US dollar as World Trading Currency is drawing to an end.

And without the Greenback as the WRC USA economy will starts to contracts like nobody business.

Both President Putin and President Jiang are visionary to sign the Strategic Comprehensive Partnership 20 years. Today they do not need USA.
China with its huge domestic market is already the biggest in the world in term of PPP. :coffee:

China already biggest manufacturing nation, biggest trading nation, and close to becoming biggest retail goods consuming nation.
 
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China already biggest manufacturing nation, biggest trading nation, and close to becoming biggest retail goods consuming nation.
That is why many experts are opining that China is unstoppable today. The dragon has awakened.

China attitude and policy is rather straight forward. China will just responds accordingly to the foreign policies of these nations e.g. Australia.

Look at New Zealand. Her PM is smart. She does not need to offends Scomo nor China. Trade with China will continue without any interruption nor dispute.

If USA don't want to trade then don't trade.
But where it is wrong is when USA tried to deter others from doing so. :coffee:
 
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Guys I want you to watch these talks given by Dr. Mahbubani (Dean of NUS school of business). These are very eye-opening discussions about China's rise. Dr. Mahbubani wrote several books on the topic.




 
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What’s the cut off limit for middle class in China in terms of disposable income?
 
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I guess US will beg China to be a currency manipulator this time, and not to appreciate Yuan. Else, inflation will boomerang back US.

For last 40 years, it was partly due to China low price goods, a result of currency suppression, that keep US inflation low, and keep the plebians contend.

China@currency-manipulator is in reality, solicited by US, but meanwhile, denigrate by US.

US people will show their elites guillotine the moment when Yuan appreciate 100%.
 
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China should allow best friend Pakistan to take full benefit of it look how US allow market access to her allies in Europe.
 
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All countries that wish to avoid inflation got to let currency rise. But then, China will need to allow more import from others.

Upon that time, nations will pivot to China,

The consequence of allowing Yuan to appreciate, for the US is probably too bad to fathom
 
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