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Looming lockdown in Bangladesh threatens apparel retailers H&M, Levi's, S&P Global says

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Looming lockdown in Bangladesh threatens apparel retailers H&M, Levi's, S&P Global says

PUBLISHED TUE, JUN 29 2021 9:44 AM EDTUPDATED TUE, JUN 29 2021 2:17 PM EDT

Lauren Thomas
@LAURENTHOMAS
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KEY POINTS
  • A new wave of Covid-19 cases, especially along the Indian border, has prompted the government of Bangladesh to require its population of nearly 170 million people to remain at home for seven days, beginning Thursday.
  • Apparel retailers including H&M and Levi Strauss are at risk of facing heightened supply chain disruptions, according to an analysis from Panjiva, a business line of S&P Global Market Intelligence.
  • As China has become less competitive in labor-intensive sectors including apparel, Bangladesh has gained market share.
In this article
GP: Levi Strauss

In this photo illustration Levi's 501 blue jeans by U.S. clothing manufacturer Levi Strauss are seen on March 8, 2018 in Berlin, Germany.

Sean Gallup | Getty Images

Apparel retailers including H&M and Levi Strauss are at risk of facing heightened supply chain disruptions, as regions of Southern Asia are bracing for intense lockdowns as Covid-19 cases spike, fueled by the more contagious delta variant, according to a new report.

A new wave of Covid cases, especially along the Indian border, has prompted the government of Bangladesh to require its population of nearly 170 million people to remain at home for seven days, beginning this Thursday. The result will likely mean factories across the region will be forced to shut down, halting manufacturing. It marks Bangladesh's most severe lockdown to date, with people only allowed to leave their homes for emergencies.


A new analysis from Panjiva, a business line of S&P Global Market Intelligence, points out that this marks a stark reversal from a trend spotted earlier on in the pandemic. Then, Bangladeshi apparel manufacturers suffered from orders being canceled by retailers in Europe and the Americas, where Covid restrictions were much tighter.

Still, Panjiva's data show Bangladeshi exporters of apparel to the United States have been more resilient than nearby regions during the pandemic. Shipments in the three months ended April 30 are down by just 1.6%, compared with the same period of 2019, the firm said. Exporters from India and Sri Lanka, in contrast, dropped 10.1% and 6.4%, respectively.

Among the major retail brands with a presence in Bangladesh, shipments linked to H&M increased 13.5% in the three-months ended May 31, compared with the same period of 2019, Panjiva found. While imports associated with Levi's fell 47.8%, and those with Calvin Klein-owner PVH dropped 68.7%.

Representatives from H&M, Levi's and PVH didn't immediately respond to CNBC's requests for comment.

According to a September analysis of U.S. International Trade Commission data by the Peterson Institute for International Economics, Bangladesh has been gaining market share as China has become less competitive in labor-intensive sectors including apparel.


The additional supply chain disruptions will be hitting retail companies at a time when resources are already strained due to a number of factors. A shortage of shipping containers and a dearth of truck drivers have left inventory backlogged for weeks. This is typically a time when retailers are placing orders for the holiday season to ensure shelves are stocked during peak winter shopping.

The risk companies face is running into out-of-stocks, leaving customers to look elsewhere.

Brooks Running Company CEO Jim Weber told CNBC's "Squawk Box" on Tuesday that his company is running on a roughly 80-day cycle for shipping, compared with what used to take just 40 days.

"There's no question the supply chain is strung out in our industry," he said.

 
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The result will likely mean factories across the region will be forced to shut down, halting manufacturing. It marks Bangladesh's most severe lockdown to date, with people only allowed to leave their homes for emergencies.

These people don't check with sources before their stupid farts.

Garments is not under lockdown. Factories are still running as usual.
 
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These people don't check with sources before their stupid farts.

Garments is not under lockdown. Factories are still running as usual.


BD government is following a sensible policy - it will allow the most important economic drivers while restricting the less essential like restaurants, cinemas, coffee shops etc.

No "lockdown" can be 100% in the modern world and you only need to do enough to get the R number to just under 1 and then you are making the virus decline.
 
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lockdowns are horrible, I'd rather people die than being locked down.
 
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start from yourself bhai
I mean it, let people die.. the economic cost is too high otherwise.

marney do bkl ko, kabhi to marna band hongai.

out delta force is now in Pak, aapki oxygen ki tenki tyar hai ? ivermectin ki goliyan, remdesivir ka injection... abhi se le lo. Kuch nahi to profit pe nikal dena..
 
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Most production will probably shit to Pakistan if lockdown happens in Bangladesh as no one wants to bet on india after the recent covid wave.
 
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lockdowns are horrible, I'd rather people die than being locked down.
Lockdowns are not horrible, look at Pakistan and learn how the govt imposed lockdowns but still managed to keep the country running and opened businesses like construction swiftly which emoloy millions of poor and daily wagers. Heck UN also celebrated Pakistan day last year to showcase the world how Pakistan defeated coronavirus. As i said lockdowns are not bad your govt is actually worst than shit which does not care about her own poor people. India has done nothing but blunders in dealing with corona virus in the first wave and then in the 2nd wave. Small men in big offices.
 
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I mean it, let people die.. the economic cost is too high otherwise.

marney do bkl ko, kabhi to marna band hongai.

out delta force is now in Pak, aapki oxygen ki tenki tyar hai ? ivermectin ki goliyan, remdesivir ka injection... abhi se le lo. Kuch nahi to profit pe nikal dena..
No wonder people in india died because lack of oxygen lmao
Most production will probably shit to Pakistan if lockdown happens in Bangladesh as no one wants to bet on india after the recent covid wave.
India doesn’t even make good clothes their quality is trash 😂
I’ve used Pakistani clothes, tshirts and hoodies (cotton based) are on par with bd, good quality. My first hoodie was made in Pakistan and lasted me 10 years
idk if it’s rare exception but I recently bought Pakistani denim from pull & bear and compared to my denim jacket and other jeans from bd…it was quite rough and the color rubbed off on my boxers. Disappointed
 
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