Indus Pakistan
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- May 7, 2012
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Yes I do. Policy and popularity are not the same. I am reading a book "Turks: journey of Thousand years" which covers the Turkish journey from borders of China to borders of Europe. Two things stand out. Turkish ability to adapt. Turkish genius for going with where the future is.Do you know about popularity of yankees in Turkey ? It's subzero
You may have issues with the West. So did the Germans. So did the Eastern Europeans.So did the Jews. However one by one they have found a position within the larger West where each is comfortable. This process has not been easy. For the Germans it took two wars to shape up. For the Jews it took holocaust and now Israel is firmly a piller of the West even geographically distant. Therefore in the fullness of time so shall Turkey. And USA needs Turkey firmly entrenched in the West because (a) to keep Russians tethered (b) to keep Israel secure. Only if Russia were to drop it's hostility toward the West and become a docile underling by joining in with the Western order would Turkey find itself out in the cold. However I doubt that is going to happen.
Instead we will see the process began by Ataturk in 1920 reach it's natural conclusion over the next 20-30 years. Turks will increasingly become secular to the point where their everyday lives will be no differant from any other Westerner. Key goalposts are (1) Gays will become acceptable. First in law then in practice (2) Female rights will exceed males. First in law then in practice. (3) Death penalty wil become a distint memory. This process is already well under way.
Most Pakistani members equate Erdogan to some new Sultan of the Ummah. The truth is the Islamic resurgence inside Turkey is no differant from Christian Democrats in Western Europe. They are just political consertives. AKP will be no differant to Christian Democrats in Germany.
This process can only change course as I mentioned if Russia decides to throw the towel. As that is not going to happen anytime soon the underlying dynamics that pull Turkey west will continue. Who can blame Turkey? What exactly is the alternative? Iran? Syria? Iraq? Saudia Arabia? Pakistan? Afghanistan? So there is only one way to go.
The West.
Ps. I have been watching out to see if Turkey would repeal the death penalty. If it did that would be entirely justified given what happened. Thus far Turkey has not repealed it despite the underlying emotion. That tells me the ruling class in Turkey have their eyes still on the West. For comparison Pakistan went back to death penalty after APS terrorist attack despite EU applying pressure not to do so.