Tornado
FULL MEMBER
- Joined
- Nov 30, 2008
- Messages
- 108
- Reaction score
- 0
The Kargil truth is hidden under secrecy laws and the politicization of the event–both India and Pakistan makes it very difficult to get to the truth. But the basic question remains the same . what forced pakistanis to infiltrate at the crucial time when top leaders of both counteries were on table to discuss peace.
And most political probables;
1. Pakistan sponsored insurgency in the Kashmir valley and J&K had been effectively contained by India, and Pakistan political leadership was at a loss to keep Kashmir boiling.
2. International community was no more interested in the Kashmir problem and even USA and China were urging Pakistan to stop supporting the insurgency.
4. Domestic problems of Pakistan were again raising their head, the Mullahs were demanding their pound of flesh, Taliban trained, equipped and supported by Pakistan for invasion of Afghanistan now wanted same sort of shariat rule in Pakistan, and the provinces were restive.
5. Pakistan's new Chief of Army Staff, Gen Parvez Musharraf was a mohajir and needed to establish his credentials as more Pakistani than even a Punjabi. He was a commando and a protégé of Zia-ul-Haq, and needed to take on India to show his Napoleonic military qualities. He had been deeply involved in the fight in Afghanistan against Soviet forces. He felt that if he could worst the Soviets, Indians would be a cakewalk.
6. Both countries were now nuclear weapons states, and an all out war was perhaps ruled out, as it involved the danger of escalation to nuclear war, thus negating India's conventional superiority and permitting Pakistan to fight the war on its ground and time of choosing. And militarily
1. Kargil is the most crucial part of Indian held sector on the LOC, where the NH1A passes closest to the LOC and Pakistan can intercept our Lines of Communication to Leh in Ladakh region, thereby cutting off Indian army's 3 Infantry Division in Ladakh facing Chinese on Aksai chin and Pakistan at Siachin.
2. Kargil is far removed from both Srinagar and Leh for any quick reaction by Indian army. It is in a bowl, flanked by Zojila on this side and Tungla on the other side.
3. Zojila, the pass of blizzards at 11,578 ft remains closed for over six months in the year, thus cutting the line to Kargil from Srinagar. Kargil sector is stockpiled for six months, any more ammunition or rations have to be brought through Zojila only
4. Terrain is the most inhospitable in this region, on par with next only to Siachin. Any territory captured once by the Pakistanis will be most difficult to recapture due to the difficulty of terrain and weather.
5. Kargil defended by only one infantry brigade of Indian army, with four infantry battalions covering an area of over 200 Km frontage, thus with very low density of troops.
6. Indian army due to inhospitable weather in winters withdrew to lower posts leaving upper posts empty, and only surveillance mounted by foot patrols in the lower regions as higher region extremely difficult to reach.
7. Aerial surveillance mounted irregularly due to bad weather conditions.
8. Pakistan Lines of Communication on the other side are more stabilized and he can reach the heights even in winters from Skardu side, as Skardu is connected to Gilgit through an all weather motorable road throughout the year.
9. Pakistan had an overlooking position on the Srinagar- Leh road even in normal times and could monitor our activities.
10. Kargil sector had remained dormant since 1971 after the Shimla agreement. No activity of infiltration or sabotage had taken place as it was a Shia dominated area and was far removed from the Kashmir valley.Indian security forces thus were less vigilant. source
And most political probables;
1. Pakistan sponsored insurgency in the Kashmir valley and J&K had been effectively contained by India, and Pakistan political leadership was at a loss to keep Kashmir boiling.
2. International community was no more interested in the Kashmir problem and even USA and China were urging Pakistan to stop supporting the insurgency.
4. Domestic problems of Pakistan were again raising their head, the Mullahs were demanding their pound of flesh, Taliban trained, equipped and supported by Pakistan for invasion of Afghanistan now wanted same sort of shariat rule in Pakistan, and the provinces were restive.
5. Pakistan's new Chief of Army Staff, Gen Parvez Musharraf was a mohajir and needed to establish his credentials as more Pakistani than even a Punjabi. He was a commando and a protégé of Zia-ul-Haq, and needed to take on India to show his Napoleonic military qualities. He had been deeply involved in the fight in Afghanistan against Soviet forces. He felt that if he could worst the Soviets, Indians would be a cakewalk.
6. Both countries were now nuclear weapons states, and an all out war was perhaps ruled out, as it involved the danger of escalation to nuclear war, thus negating India's conventional superiority and permitting Pakistan to fight the war on its ground and time of choosing. And militarily
1. Kargil is the most crucial part of Indian held sector on the LOC, where the NH1A passes closest to the LOC and Pakistan can intercept our Lines of Communication to Leh in Ladakh region, thereby cutting off Indian army's 3 Infantry Division in Ladakh facing Chinese on Aksai chin and Pakistan at Siachin.
2. Kargil is far removed from both Srinagar and Leh for any quick reaction by Indian army. It is in a bowl, flanked by Zojila on this side and Tungla on the other side.
3. Zojila, the pass of blizzards at 11,578 ft remains closed for over six months in the year, thus cutting the line to Kargil from Srinagar. Kargil sector is stockpiled for six months, any more ammunition or rations have to be brought through Zojila only
4. Terrain is the most inhospitable in this region, on par with next only to Siachin. Any territory captured once by the Pakistanis will be most difficult to recapture due to the difficulty of terrain and weather.
5. Kargil defended by only one infantry brigade of Indian army, with four infantry battalions covering an area of over 200 Km frontage, thus with very low density of troops.
6. Indian army due to inhospitable weather in winters withdrew to lower posts leaving upper posts empty, and only surveillance mounted by foot patrols in the lower regions as higher region extremely difficult to reach.
7. Aerial surveillance mounted irregularly due to bad weather conditions.
8. Pakistan Lines of Communication on the other side are more stabilized and he can reach the heights even in winters from Skardu side, as Skardu is connected to Gilgit through an all weather motorable road throughout the year.
9. Pakistan had an overlooking position on the Srinagar- Leh road even in normal times and could monitor our activities.
10. Kargil sector had remained dormant since 1971 after the Shimla agreement. No activity of infiltration or sabotage had taken place as it was a Shia dominated area and was far removed from the Kashmir valley.Indian security forces thus were less vigilant. source