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JDU-BJP is set for a huge victory in the Bihar Assembly polls.

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its about time other states follow the example set by bihari brothers and sisters... VOTE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND LEADERSIP..... shame to the pseudo seculars... rahul baba must be crying now..icing on the cake is that rabri devi lost in both seats!!!
 
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absolutely chuffed about the results & kudos to people of bihar... a state which was rediculed to the core as the capital of crime, extorsion & backwordness has taught a lesson to every other states of india that it doesn't take long to turn the things around. it's a lesson to every politition in india with a loud & clear voice that if you don't work for comman citizens, you are out & will be left in cold!! well done Nitish Kumar & the gang!!
 
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Rahul is a joke. His first statement was to attack BJP needlessly rather than promise Biharis development; the most critical thing they need. Mind you, Biharis are the brainiest mathematicians and make excellent engineers in India. I know a Bihari professor of mathematics; he's simply a whiz in the subject!

Do you know what could happen once Communist-Maoist dirtbags are removed from the region through force and development of infrastructure takes place? Bihar could be the seat of our civilian, energy and military research. Thousands of Bihari engineers could get good jobs and earn excellent salaries.

Infrastructure could be brought to Gujarat's level and maybe even beyond. Unlike north and west India that specializes in business, trade and finance; East and South are pioneers of engineering and science.

Imagine how many research projects can be opened in Bihar on irrigation (offices for our joint cooperation with Israel for year-round crops signed in 2004), electricity, education, healthcare and mining industry's efficiency enhancement.

Bihar has terrific scientific potential; it is just that it was ruled by @$$h0le$ till now and that under Nitish, Bihar has tasted "blood" of development. :)
 
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PATNA: Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) leader Shahnawaz Hussain said Wednesday that the people of Bihar had voted for development by re-electing chief minister Nitish Kumar's ruling alliance.

"It is clear that people have voted for development and not for caste," Hussain, a former central cabinet minister, said here. " Nitish Kumar is set to return to power."

Hussain's comments came as early trends showed that Nitish Kumar's Janata Dal-United (JD-U) and it ally BJP were inching towards a sweeping win from the October-November elections to pick a new 243-member assembly.

Hussain, the most prominent Muslim face of the BJP, said the Bihar verdict would prove to be a watershed in Indian politics.

Read more: Bihar voted for development: BJP - The Times of India Bihar voted for development: BJP - The Times of India
 
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The mandate for the JD(U)-BJP government has many firsts to it. For the first time in many years the term anti-incumbency has stood on its head. The vote share of the alliance ballooned from 36% in October, 2005, to 42% in October, 2010. This huge accretion of vote share along with a social base that cut across the spectrum yielded a handsome gain in seats from 143 to 206.

More than the quantity of accretion it is also the quality of the mandate that merits a diligent disaggregation. It cuts across gender, caste and geography painted on a canvas of economic contraction in the earlier part of this decade.

In the 1990 assembly election that awarded Lalu Prasad his first
government, the percentage difference between the male and female voter turnout was a stunning 17%. Some 70% of male electors voted as compared to 53%. In October, 2005, the difference in the turnout was 7.6%, with 50% men voting as compared to 42.4% women.


In this year’s elections, the differential swung to the other side. 55% women voted as compared to 51% men. Going by the conventional assumption that women voted for Nitish Kumar in greater numbers than men, this can be said to have provided a 1.5% to 2% headstart to Nitish in every constituency, assuming a uniform spread.

Based on 2009 Lok Sabha leads, this translates to 26 marginal seats changing hands. The final tally of 206 seats at the time of writing shows a gain of 29 seats from the Lok Sabha leads in 177 assembly constituencies in 2009. While avoiding an attempt to simplify the vote calculus by attributing the gains completely to the fairer sex, the point is that women have certainly contributed to the heightened seat share of the combine.

The NDA saw the highest gain in the Seemanchal region that till February, 2005, was a stronghold of the RJD combine. This is not only a minority-dominated region, it was also ravaged by the Kosi floods. The Kishanganj district had the highest turnout of about 57%, and the region saw the greatest swing in favour of the NDA alliance — 9% — with the NDA polling 47% votes in this region. This is as much as a response to the flood relief management as much as it is to the minority welfare schemes of the government. The NDA alliance won 60 of the 73 seats in this region.

An important pre-poll assumption that has been nullified to a great extent is that Muslim voters would have inhibitions casting their lot with the JD(U)-led alliance in a big way because of its partnership with the BJP. There are about 60 assembly seats where the concentration of Muslims ranges between 17% and 74%.

In another 50, Muslims are estimated to be between 10-17%. A handsome mandate where the alliance had a strike rate of 80% would not have been possible without very substantial support from Muslims. In a key Muslim-dominant seat such as Amour, the JD(U) polled more than 50% of the votes.

In many ways, the grand social alliance cobbled together by the Janata Dal in the 1990s has now been replaced by a numerically stronger and socially broader alliance with non-Yadav OBCs at its core.

Only when the state contest is more gubernatorial in nature do state parties perform significantly better in a state election as compared to a Lok Sabha poll. The vote share of the JD(U)-BJP combine was 42% and 4 % more than what it polled in the last Lok Sabha poll. Clearly it’s been a mandate for the leadership of Nitish, a hope for the future, a covenant that they trust. This was evidenced in more than one opinion poll where his popularity ranged from 54% to 66% as the first choice for chief ministership.

In many ways it was this endorsement that allowed victories for goons and their relatives from the NDA camp but brought defeat to most of those belonging to the Opposition.

Discomfited by the fact of the growing popularity of its chief ministerial candidate from the JD(U), the BJP seems to have put in a well-coordinated effort to make the most of the seats that it contested. Campaign reports suggest that every tall leader was given space in the election campaign, and the party focused on extensive ground campaigning. This has awarded the BJP a high strike rate of 85%.

To summarise, the strategy that has maximised yields includes an effective delivery system, a credible dialogue with the masses, and a leadership that is local and accessible. This ensures that the party has as broad a social coalition as possible. Perhaps a systematic method has been arrived at to not only to avert the curse of incumbency but also consolidate. With a ruling coalition being so organised, being in the opposition could be a curse. Pro-incumbency will be the new operative term in India’s political lexicon.

What worked for Nitish Kumar? Social coalition - India - DNA
 
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4/234: Rahul gets his first reality check

New Delhi, Patna: The Bihar mandate is the first decisive rebuttal of the Rahul factor that the Congress has pinned its revival hopes on when it comes to the Hindi heartland.

Although Sonia Gandhi, while congratulating Nitish Kumar on Wednesday, said that the Congress "did not have much hope" from these elections and needed to "rebuild the party from scratch," the fact is that Rahul, Sonia and Prime Minister Manmohan Singh's words found hardly an echo in the state.

In the 22 Assembly constituencies where Rahul Gandhi addressed rallies, the Congress had just one winner, former PCC chief Sadanand Singh from Kahalgaon.

Overall, the Congress tally in the Bihar Vidhan Sabha is now down to its lowest ever -- from eight in 2005 (it won two more seats in bypolls later) to four. Apart from Kahalgaon, the party won Kasba, Kishanganj and Bahadurganj Assembly seats, the last two falling in Kishanganj district. Although Rahul had visited Kishanganj in February this year, it was long before campaigning started. Sonia had later campaigned in Kishanganj.

In most of the constituencies where Rahul campaigned -- drawing crowds which obviously didn't translate into votes -- Congress candidates came in third, fourth or even further down: sixth in Sasaram; fifth in Obra and Manjhi; fourth in Saharsa, Muzaffarpur, Munger, Kuchaiote, and Bachhwara; and third in Kalyanpur, Samastipur, Jamalpur, Belsand and Hisua.



There were only a couple of constituencies, like Ramnaar and Barbigha, visited by Rahul where party candidates came second. His rally couldn't save even sitting MLA Sunita Devi, contesting from Korha Assembly constituency. The BJP candidate trounced her by over 52,000 votes.

The Congress also drew a blank in the Kosi region, where it had hoped for good gains. Its poster women Lovely Anand and Ranjeet Ranjan lost in Alamnagar and Bihariganj to JD(U) rivals. Capping its embarrassment, sitting Congress MLA and party state chief Choudhary Mehboob Ali Qaiser lost from Simri Bakhtiyarpur seat in Saharsa. Of the 13 Kosi seats, the NDA won 11, and the RJD two.

AICC general secretary in charge of Bihar Mukul Wasnik refused to accept that Rahul's magic had failed in Bihar. "The time which Sonia Gandhi and Rahul Gandhi gave to Bihar benefited us greatly. It enthused our party workers. We have to find out the reason as to why we could not translate the huge crowds that came for rallies addressed by our party leaders into votes," he said.

Rahul's whirlwind campaign was stretched over seven days in 17 districts in the state and he addressed at least two to three rallies everyday. Most of his speeches as well as those of Sonia's attacked Nitish's development plank, contending that funds were given to the state by the Centre and lay unutilised.

That seemed not to have cut much ice with the voters, neither did Rahul's constant invoking of the "two Bihars", a rich and a poor one, and how the gap between the two needed to be bridged.


Addressing a rally at Saharsa on September 4, Rahul said: "Your state government claims that Bihar has progressed, but show me where development has taken place... There was a time when Bihar & UP were the most developed states in the country. Today both the states are lagging behind."

"Crores of rupees are sent to state governments by the Central Government. It reaches Patna, Lucknow but vanishes from there. It goes into the belly of corruption," he said, adding that the UPA government runs several pro-poor schemes -- mentioning the MNREGS, Indira Awas Yojana -- but the benefit doesn't reach the real beneficiaries.

Addressing another rally at Bachhwara in Begusarai district on October 30, he said it was the people of Bihar who were shining, not the state of Bihar. The Bihar shining campaign was merely a public relations exercise and not reality, he said.

Rahul also often took a dig Nitish's secular credentials. "Asking Narendra Modi not to campaign in Bihar is alright. But why did Nitish not resign as Union minister from the NDA government when the Gujarat riots took place?" he asked. Nitish seldom responded, except telling Rahul once to learn the basics of governance first by trying to become the CM of a state.

Today, without mentioning any names, he said that some leaders had consistently talked of Central funds as a favour to the state and this had "insulted" the people of Bihar. It was clear who all he was referring to.
 
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NDA NDA NDA NDA NDA....hope all indian states come under NDA rule...if narendra modiji becomes the PM then we can see GDP growth in double digits...
 
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Wonderful victory in Bihar. I am not commenting on NDA or UPA, however one this is evident that now Indian's (including common man) has come out of caste, creed and religion and voted for developement.

Its a victory of democracy.
 
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Nitish Kumar really deserved to win. the amount of development in bihar under his rule has been amazing.

this should teach BJP and NDA to stay away from hindutva based politics and the congress from minority appeasement.

i wish someone like nitish kumar comes to power in UP too. we have had too much of mayawati and her statues.

as for maharashtra. i feel congress is any day a better than shiv sena or Raj Thakrey
 
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