terranMarine
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- May 3, 2012
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don't be so sure, global warming is changing the atmosphere of our planet. Who knows once the masses start their mass migration from coastlines. China will remain as China, changing climate is becoming more unpredictable and violent rapidly. You certainly not going to sit idle either.Good for the japs. On the contrary, China will be on earth for the long time coming.
There is one way. Rapidly militarize Japan and invade Taiwan, mainland China, Philippines and so on. The Japanese right wing recognize this.Another 20 lost years for Japan ahead。
Why?Simple:
(1)government debt at 240% of GDP thanks to past QEs(to wake up the economy from slumber,FAILED)
(2)zero interests(otherwise the government couldn't even afford the interest bill)
(3)zero real growth and negative nominal growth
(4)a fast-aging population
(5)a fast-rising China
Save a massive depreciation in the value of yen,Japan is totally Fcuked!But a much--weakened yen means much higher inflation which demands correspondingly higher interests,leaving the goverment with an annual interest bill of some 500 billion US dollars assuming interest levels of circa 3.5%。
In short,Japan is stuck between a rock and a hard place。There is absolutely NO WAY out。
There is one way. Rapidly militarize Japan and invade Taiwan, mainland China, Philippines and so on. The Japanese right wing recognize this.
Another 20 lost years for Japan ahead。
Why?Simple:
(1)government debt at 240% of GDP thanks to past QEs(to wake up the economy from slumber,FAILED)
(2)zero interests(otherwise the government couldn't even afford the interest bill)
(3)zero real growth and negative nominal growth
(4)a fast-aging population
(5)a fast-rising China
Save a massive depreciation in the value of yen,Japan is totally Fcuked!But a much--weakened yen means much higher inflation which demands correspondingly higher interests,leaving the goverment with an annual interest bill of some 500 billion US dollars assuming interest levels of circa 3.5%。
In short,Japan is stuck between a rock and a hard place。There is absolutely NO WAY out。
yet they are still richer than chinese per capita and as rich as germans in nominal. The 240% is also mostly debt made in the country and not to foreigners. They have 1 trillion reserves and still have a strong industry.