Ich
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Israel has no strategic depth so if Hamas/HZ fires first, they will have first movers advantage. Airbases and missile depot will be the first target of HZ to knock out their ability to retaliate right from the start. They have studied IDF behavior extensively for decades as well as US shock and awe in Iraq. HZ has enough missiles to overwhelm all Iron Domes simultaneously should they decide to go that route. A barrage like that would involve thousands of missiles over the course of an hour or two and would be unlike anything I have ever witnessed in my lifetime but that is what it will take to bring Iron Dome to its knees so the real targets can be hit while AD is knocked out. Either that or HZ could use missiles that are simply too fast for ID to intercept. HZ has some of those, but I am not sure how many.
Yes, the rockets and missiles of Hezb would destroy nearly all military targets. except the missile silos. It is the same as with the missile silos in Iran. It does not have much effect if your rocket/missile explodes 10 meters away of the silo. The silos are heavy fortifyed/reinforced so the missile will still can start. Also some of the missiles will be activ, ready to start 24/7. The rockets/missiles from hezb need time to reach them. Enough time to start the nuclear missiles.
The leaders of Hezb, Syria, Iran are no Idiots. The topic "Israel" is discussed in all its facettes, over decades, including every new information as soon as they apear. This is why it is a proxy war. If Israel would attack Hezb in Lebanon without Hezb has attacked Israel before - then gates of hell are open, including russia with S-400 in Syria. But Israel would avoid this to do. So for now all what can be done is sending millions of armed Palestinians into West Bank and Gaza. Saturating and overrun IDF even if the half will die trying.