Mata Elang
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You know, now what you're saying seems to be in a roundabout way and wishy-washy. Let me explain in a simple way. 'NO NUCLEAR WAR' as long as no one starts it first. How many ICBMs does the US have 400, 600 or 1000? Iran just needs to equalize the number or even more. Impossible? You are wrong! Iran, unlike the US, produces its missiles at a price 1000 times cheaper. Iran already has thousands of BM (then why can't Iran make thousands of ICBMs?). What's the problem with technology? Are you blind not to see the development of Iranian technology in solid and liquid ICBM rocket engines? Or the problem with nuclear enrichment technology? did you miss it again, Iran has made the advanced IR-9 centrifugal machine. Iran's nuclear enrichment is already 60% and if Iran wants it to quickly increase to 90%. Don't you know there are so many military secrets in Iran's underground. Iran doesn't have to have aircraft carriers, destroyers, heavy bombers, and 5th generation stealth planes to deal with the US, what Iran needs is 'smart sense' how to destroy all of them. The main doctrine of Iran's foreign policy is to 'expel' Israeli Zionists from the Palestinian territories (NOT against the US directly). Iran has a clever war strategy (without having to harm their own territory), Iran will not fight Israel directly (unless Israel attacks Iran first) but when the TIME comes (after actually strengthening its proxies with lethal modern weapons and increasing the number of fighters), Israel will be attacked from all directions by Iranian proxies and plus Iran itself is secretly sending troops from Iraq to Syria. Iran wouldn't be stupid to attack the US first for no apparent reason, it's enough just stupid Nazi and japan. Nuclear war will not make one country victorious, there will only be ashes of death for everyone.Define "defeated".
Do you think Iran can hurt the US mainland? How many ICBMs do you think Iran has? Well, as far as we know, zero. But even if we're wrong, let's assume that Iran has 100 ICBMs that can reach anywhere in the US. That's a big assumption, but let it be.
How many of these ICBMs do you think will reach the US territory? 40? 50? At such a long distance, none of these missiles can achieve anything of strategic or tactical importance except for terrorizing ordinary Americans. And how do you think the US would respond to it? Do you think 330 million Americans will accept to be terrorized by a far weaker nation?!
I mean at the most optimistic scenario, the US can attack Iran's infrastructure like power plants, dams, airports, etc. Nothing would remain functioning in Iran in such a scenario. The whole country will collapse after a few weeks without electricity, water, food, etc. At the worst case scenario, the US will just nuke the shit out of Tehran. The whole idea of attacking a nuclear power with ICBMs is a ridiculous joke.
Iran can NOT attack the United States, ever. Not today, not in 10 years, not even 20 years later. At the pace of Iran's advances, Iran will not be able to attack the US territory even 50 years later. As soon as Iran launches an ICBM towards the United States, the US has a justified reason to nuke Tehran. You cannot tell if an ICBM is conventional or carrying a nuclear warhead. So, they will just nuke Tehran and say they thought it was a nuclear ICBM.
So, the whole idea of touching the US territory is out of question. Can Iran painfully hurt US interests in the Middle East? Surely we can. We can take out their military bases, rain missiles on strategic assets of their allies, block vital energy routes (even though China is not going to like this one), and we can kill tens of thousands of their soldiers at the most optimistic scenario. The US does not want to pay this cost because well, who in their sane mind would accept this? But what if an insane person in the US takes power and finally reaches the conclusion that it is an acceptable price if they send Iran back to the stone age and solve the whole Iran issue for the next decades? And believe it or not, they can send Iran back to the stone age very easily. They have more than enough fire power for that in the Middle East alone.
So, come out of this delusional, ridiculous, childish, immature idea that Iran is in any way capable of defending itself against a nuclear super power like the United States without even obtaining nukes. All Iran can ever hope to do is to stop a US invasion and destroy US assets in the Middle East. That's all that Iran can do for the next many decades. The issue of attacking the US main land is completely out of question for Iran in the foreseeable future, and by foreseeable future I meany several decades later.
Trump's lame "maximum pressure campaign" is the reason that Iran is negotiating with the US at this very moment. Have you forgotten Khamenei's bluff that Iran will never negotiate with the killers of Gen. Soleimani?
Guess what? We are negotiating with them, albeit indirectly.
And if you had a peanut in your head, you would've realized that just because something has not happened for 43 years, it doesn't rule out that it cannot happen in future. You guys barked all the time about how the US couldn't do a damn thing until finally Trump played tough and ordered to kill Soleimani just because he could. All it took him was a command to shoot Soleimani to one of his soldiers that had a clear sight of Soleimani's vehicle. And then Khamenei had to cry in front of cameras on national TV, claiming that they will take "revenge", but at an unknown time and an unknown place and in an unknown way. LOL
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