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Iranian Chill Thread

Why bother ? Seems overly complicated and tedious. Why not just use the Chinese Yuan (Renminbi) ? It's pretty stable and China has recently introduced a fully digitized and encrypted platform. The Ruble doesn't seem to be doing that badly either.

The real issue is coming up with an alternative to SWIFT. As a side note, Iran should honestly peg the Rial to gold/silver/copper/oil or a combination of other commodities.

Deputy FM: Iran proposes single SCO currency
Deputy FM: Iran proposes single SCO currency
Tehran, IRNA – Iran has proposed that the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) introduce a new single currency for trade by its member states.

The announcement was made by Mehdi Safari, Iran's Foreign Minister for Economic Diplomacy on Wednesday.

He said that the Islamic Republic made the proposal in a letter it sent to the Shanghai Cooperation Organization almost two months ago.

Safari added that the country will make follow-ups and expressed hope that the proposal is approved by the organization.

He also said that the use of a single currency by the SCO member states help them resolve issues they face in trade.

Any suggestion guys ?
 
Turkey's inflation is currently at 70%, that's according to the government. Some economists claim that it's actually closer to 130%. With Russia and the world distracted in Ukraine, it seems like an opportune moment for Erdogan to rally patriotic support behind another military operation. The question is, will it be enough to win him a re-election. Does Turkey even hold legitimate elections anymore or has Erdogan completely rigged the system at this point ?

So Tel Rifaat is within the 30 KM range from the Turkish border, but Manbij is just within it. Also are they ignoring Kobani and Qamishli because its a defacto American zonel ? Specifically the Qamishli enclave has 4 oil fields, so the Americans have probably told him hands off. Still Manbij is west of the Euphrates and the US has disregarded the YPG past that point, which is strange. Great ally the Americans are turning out to be huh ?

Anyways, there are rumors / announcements that Syrian government forces, pro Iranian militias and displaced Kurds (wtv that means... YPG I guess) have setup two military bases and a joint operations room in Tel Rifaat.

Honestly I don't think that they can win this. The odds against them are too overwhelming. However Tel Rifaat is strategically significant because it opens the gateway to Aleppo. Regardless, the most they can hope to do is inflict as damage and pain onto Turkish forces as possible. To do this they would need to disperse forces throughout the area. Use small ATGM, ambush squads, mines, IEDs. sniper units with armor piercing rounds.

Preferably Damascus should deploy mobile AD units, scouts armed with MANPADS. If they had invested in loitering munitions or interceptor UAVs like Karrar type Iran operates, that would help them significant in this struggle, but I doubt it. Unlike the Houthis, who are eager to sacrifice blood by the gallon in exchange for soil, the Al Assad government in Damascus seems eager to maintain the status quo. Realistically after being invaded from every one of their borders simultaneously, I think they're just happy to be alive.

syria June 4, 2022 1.jpg
syria June 4, 2022 2.jpg





 
For Iran, the potential geopolitical windfall from the Russian decision to launch a military operation against Ukrainian NATO-proxies is considerable, and possibly greater than expected.

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3 Jun, 02:01

Medvedev says Russia’s military operation should help to build new security system​

Ultimately, Moscow may create a new, non-US-centric global security system, said Deputy Chairman of the Russian Security Council

MOSCOW, June 3. /TASS/. Deputy Chairman of Russia’s Security Council Dmitry Medvedev has said the accomplishment by Russia’s of its goals of the special operation in Ukraine should help to create a new, non-US-focused system of global security.

"Ultimately, all this should indeed lead to the formation of a new international security architecture," he said in an interview to Al Jazeera. "Not US-centric, where Washington is at the head of the entire international security system, after it rejoiced at a certain time about the breakup of the Soviet Union, the collapse of the Warsaw Pact and which has grown accustomed to the fact that all guidelines are issued from across the ocean, that is, in Washington, but a balanced system, a system that is based on taking into account the interests of all countries".

 
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The Ukrainians are really fighting tooth and nail to prevent the fall of Severodonetsk by any means necessary, at any cost. However last I heard the Russians control something like 70-80% of Severodonetsk with the Popasnya front/bulge still threatening the city from the rear. If Severodonetsk falls or if the Popasnya salient grows and envelops the remaining Ukrainian fighters in the city, it's essentially game over.

Even as things currently stand, Russia has 3 pincers (Izium, Lyman, Popasnya) all approximately 20-30 KM away from Kramatorsk. If Kramatorsk falls, it's all over for Ukraine, Many analysts believe that the war will be decided there, since afterwards there will be no more major settlements left to take in the Donbas. In the last few weeks we've seen the Russians slowly but surely building up their forces at Izium especially.

June 4, 2022 Russia vs Ukraine.jpg


It seems that the Russians are building up their reserves for one decisive push towards Kramatorsk. Recently Russia sent an 11 KM convoy of reinforcements into the Donbas and the disparity in firepower between both sides is simply mind boggling. One western reporter stated that for every Ukrainian shell there are 10-20 Russian shells in response.

Just look at the disparity in firepower on the map, especially in the Donbas

June 4, 2022 Russia vs Ukraine 2.jpg


Watch these foreign CIA backed mercenaries head to Severodonetsk all proud and bold. It doesn't take long for reality to hit them in the face like a ton of bricks. They're honestly lucky to have even survived. I'm guessing they're headed home after this.


The internet has recently been flooded with half a dozen or more of these videos showing Ukrainian forces, mostly territorial defense, complaining about only receiving training for days/weeks and then being sent against tanks, artillery, jets, basically impossible odds, suicide missions, in many cases with Ak-47s or machine guns from WW1 in some cases



Honestly it would make sense to use these poorly trained units to do logistics work at the rear, but sending them to the front without adequate training, weapons or leadership against overwhelming odds is just pointless. It's almost criminal. It's almost like they're just exchanging lives for time at this point. This is a sign of utter and sheer desperation on the part of the Ukrainian leadership. However just yesterday Zelensky gave another speech proclaiming that the Russians had been beat back and that Ukraine would surely win, He proudly claimed that Ukraine had liberated 8 KM from Russia in the west. So 8 km squared ? That's like 8 city blocks, so what they liberated a village ? With how fluid the situation is does that even mean anything in the grand scheme of things ?

Honestly I feel sorry for the Ukrainian people. Basically if they don't sue for peace after Donbas, Russia will go all in on Odessa and once they focus all their firepower and efforts there, it will only be a matter of time. If Ukraine gets cut off from the ocean, that will be the end of Ukraine as we know it. It will essentially be a landlocked nation, completely crippled. I mean after that Russia will likely setup strong defensive lines all over their newly acquired territory and then with superior air power, artillery, missiles, firepower, manpower and the local ethnic Russian population firmly behind Russia, how can Ukraine ever hope to liberate their territory ?

All these weapons the west keeps giving Ukraine, it's too sporadic and comes in trickles. However it never seems enough to really change the power dynamics in this conflict. I mean the Ukrainians are trying, I have to give them credit for that. They are trying but it seems that every time the west gives them some new weapons system, it makes an initial splash but then Russia simply adapts to it and that's it. First the Bayraktars were supposed to be Russia's Achilles heel, then the switchblades drones, then the M777, now it's France sending air defense systems to Ukraine and the US is set to sent HIMARS rockets and MQ-1C Grey Eagle drones.

However the problem is that these systems require weeks of training and weeks to transport. This is precious time that Ukraine does not have. At the same time, what good are a handful of these weapons systems if Russia already has similar weapons deployed which will outnumber Ukrainian assets regardless ? Like the HIMARS, Russia has missiles that are just as good with more range and they have more quantity and won't their air defenses just shoot down the rockets. The Grey Eagle drones, what will prevent Russia from shooting them down ? To make matters worse most of these systems will likely be targeted in transit, so only so many will even make it to the front anyways.

Again I have to give credit where credit is due. Ukrainians are trying, but will all their efforts be enough ? They are certainly being creative and in some ways resourceful, but will this be enough to change the balance of power on the battlefield ? I just don't think it's likely.

 

Another article on the death. Raises more questions then answers.

The media blackout of his funeral and if true no public condolences by IRGC on his death to the family, does seem to point to suicide or “assisted suicide”.

Better to get the moles out. Any Iranian that shares information with Israel or USA is a vatanforoosh.
 
Well that's not constructive, it's usually called Vandalism
Only it give ammunition to the enemy front

Some regimes, including the British, cannot be reasoned with. Hence, standard measures of political constructiveness do not apply.

Also the question is to what extent they must have oppressed their people that these will resort to expressing their anger through channels such as this.

Plus let's face it, it's simply such a beautiful sight now, isn't it?
 
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4 refineries in Israel over the course of 1 month plus some factories
Irbil refineries

Omar oil field

Now today a refinery is Turkey burns.
hot summer , poor maintenance and careless workers
 
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When between themselves they can't even agree on the name of the allegedly deceased researcher, everything that follows must be viewed with a strong dose of skepticism. Conclusions of whatever nature cannot be drawn. Especially as long as there's no official statement from Iran.
 
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When between each other they can't even agree on the name of the allegedly deceased researcher, everything that follows must be viewed with strong dose of skepticism. Conclusions of whatever nature cannot be drawn. Especially as long as there's no official statement from Iran.

You said the same thing about the IRGC Colonel who “fell” off a building....until Iran announced it later as well. Then you went quite and never commented again.

Given that several of his pictures are already circulating and his ties to Iranian defense industry. It seems Israel has begun going after Iran’s researchers in the field of drone production. A peculiar strategy unless these scientists were working on “next generation drones” that Israel deemed to a dire threat to its security. Even then strategy seems more as intimidation tactics.

Iran’s military industrial complex is much bigger than Israel’s at this point. Even Israeli’s have admitted this. Thus critical knowledge bottlenecks such as Tehrani Moghaddam’s are fewer today than ever in the history of the IR of Iran.
 
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