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Iranian Chill Thread

Looks like the Russian sanctions extended to Iran in this case. I see that the Americans are now trying to focus on Iranian oil tankers outside Iran's sphere of influence, especially after Iran took back that one tanker a few months back. If they were smart they would be trying to figure out a way to remove the sanctions on Iran, rather than messing around like this. After all Venezuela doesn't have the necessary capacity. Iran however can pump out an extra 1 million barrels within a few months, which would help stabilize surging prices.


 

Tehran proposed hosting Russia-Ukraine talks, says Iran’s foreign minister

Hossein Amir-Abdollahian noted that Iran "supports dialogue and diplomacy"

Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs/TASS

Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian
© Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs/TASS
TEHRAN, May 28. /TASS/. Tehran has proposed hosting talks between Russia and Ukraine, Iran’s Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian said at the World Economic Forum in Davos.
Iran "supports dialogue and diplomacy", the minister said, adding that he told his Russian counterpart, Sergey Lavrov, last week that Iran was prepared to host talks between Russia and Ukraine.
 
Moving up the technology ladder has always been an issue with agriculture and farming. The main blocker is culture, education, and deep lack of understanding of the benefit by farmers. Their are papers and business school case studies manifest on this subject here in the ….islands. Proof is not the blocker, belief is. Iranian farmers almost certainly suffer from the same affliction.
 
Moving up the technology ladder has always been an issue with agriculture and farming. The main blocker is culture, education, and deep lack of understanding of the benefit by farmers. Their are papers and business school case studies manifest on this subject here in the ….islands. Proof is not the blocker, belief is. Iranian farmers almost certainly suffer from the same affliction.
And that is why the role of the government to educate and introduce new farming methods is so critical...I hope Raisi government understands that dependence on food is just as dangerous for Iran as is the dependence on military hardware.
 
And that is why the role of the government to educate and introduce new farming methods is so critical...I hope Raisi government understands that dependence on food is just as dangerous for Iran as is the dependence on military hardware.
I agree. The incentivizations must be disproportionately extreme in this case. At the end, neither technology nor terrain are the primary blockers. If you can farm on Mars or under zero gravity you can certainly find the means to grow anywhere on the planet.
 
Globalization removed the need for farming everything.

After all, if you can grow a tomato for .20 cents but can buy it (import) from another country for .10 cents. Then economics tells you to focus on a crop that you have a competitive advantage.

It’s all about globalization and economic efficiency.

Now globalization didn’t consider appropriately the ramifications of a superpower using extremely liberal use of sanctions as punishment around the world.

There would need to be a cost/benefit study analysis to see if it truly makes sense for Iran to grow all of its staples in house. Such a study would take in different Likely scenarios of economic isolation and foreign currency reserve depletion rate.

I think the issue is much more complex than painting it with a broad brush.
 
Globalization removed the need for farming everything.

After all, if you can grow a tomato for .20 cents but can buy it (import) from another country for .10 cents. Then economics tells you to focus on a crop that you have a competitive advantage.

It’s all about globalization and economic efficiency.

Now globalization didn’t consider appropriately the ramifications of a superpower using extremely liberal use of sanctions as punishment around the world.

There would need to be a cost/benefit study analysis to see if it truly makes sense for Iran to grow all of its staples in house. Such a study would take in different Likely scenarios of economic isolation and foreign currency reserve depletion rate.

I think the issue is much more complex than painting it with a broad brush.

Globalization does not work during sanctions.
 
Globalization does not work during sanctions.

Globalization is a curse. Look at nations not sanctioned: they've mostly lost their nationhood, sovereignty and independence.

Food autonomy is a matter of national security. Dependence on agricultural imports a lever used by the powers to be to blackmail and perpetuate the political dependence of importers.
 
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Iran can feed all of middle east if We change our agricultural methods and the way we use water.

@sha ah Iran's Agricultural statistics
  • According to the FAO, Iran is the 12th largest producer of wheat in the world. The country’s wheat production in 2020 amounted to 15 million tons. China is the world's largest producer of the strategic grain with 134 million tons, followed by India and Russia.
  • Based on the FAO data, the Islamic Republic is the third-largest producer of dates, honey, pistachios, and walnuts in the world.The FAO has put Iran's pistachio production at 190,000 tons in 2020, placing the country in third place among the world’s top producers of the mentioned products after the United States and Turkey.
  • Iran is also ranked fourth in terms of almond and watermelon production. The country’s almond production is reported to be 164,000 tons per year. The United States is in first place with 2.37 million tons of almonds, followed by Spain and Australia in second and third places.
What angers me is the fact such as this...Iran was N01 in Pistachio production now thanks to stupid Agricultural methods we are number 3..Imagine Turkey makes more than Iran..Iran showed the American farmers (1960-1970)how to make pistachio and now they are no1..making them in the california desert. just because they know how to use the water
Iran should focus on low water cultivation plants and cultivars, highly needed for survival and high profit ones, you won't live on watermelon and Cantaloupe in a crisis situation.

Almond and pistachios are drought resistant, can be dried and last, easily transportable, also highly profitable.
Your watermelon will rot in 2 weaks ...

Iran is producing a lot of rice, should be replaced with wheat, more water to save.

If your minister of agriculture, with his cabinet, spend the next 3 months touring evry agricultural region; informing, educating, listening, motivating, ...... agricultors and agro-food industrials he can take an early retirement .....
 
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Iran doesn’t have much land that is suitable any longer for rainfed agriculture.

Thus farmers are using more and more water and subsequently polluting the aquifers and ground table causing water shortages.

Even with proper farming techniques, we need data that Iran can truly sustain its own food source of staples for its entire population while at the same time having adequate supply of clean drinking water.

Also more effort should be placed in seeding cloud technology and weather manipulation.

Global warming appears to making Iran drier rather than wetter. With Bouts of volatile weather leading to flash floods.
 

IMF chief: Recession not out of the question


"We have downgraded our projections for growth in this year in april for 143 countries this is 86% of global GDP "

Mainly because of war in Ukraine and sanction effects on Russia.what you see in current IMF data is downgraded version.
 
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You did not have to say the extra verbose then about globalization.
All we need to know is globalization does not work here.
Globalization still works for Iran given the fact that they are still importing wheat and many other staple crops. This includes from even the USA in the past. Food is generally not a sanctionable item.

Iran was under sanctions and embargo since 1979. It wasn’t until it’s currency unraveled that this even became an issue. Which was in last 5 years. And even then the issue was massive subsidies government paid to keep prices lower than other countries in Middle East. Which just encourages smuggling.

Why would a Iranian farmer grow and sell wheat to Iranian government for $50 cents when he can export it to Dubai or anywhere else for $1.25? So Iranian government would have to either

A) Subsidize the farmer to incentivize selling to government

B) Buy at global wheat prices

C) open government operated farms and take a loss on profits selling far below market rates.

Which puts you basically at the same problem you were at when you importing from Russia or any other country using Ruble/Rupee/foreign reserves. So now all you did was dwindle your depleting natural water sources growing all these crops.

It’s easy to say “Iran should grow everything themselves” and then give no realistic detailed solutions on how to do it.

I posted above the reality of ever changing Iranian climate and global climate. The Middle East is going to be affected tremendously over next 50-75 years at current pace.

Innovative solutions are required to make sure fresh water supply is abundant and THEN after securing domestic fresh water supply, you focus on making food supplies secure thru various trade routes and local growth.
 

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