In my opinion, with or without JCPOA, they will attack us anyways or I should say, atleast have the major desire to attack.
Without JCPOA, they will work on creating a causus belli and a threat perception through the diplomatic front
With the JCPOA, Iran has voluntarily weakened itself by reducing the scale and technology level of it's nuclear program, leaving a rapid nuclearization process during the event of war in burning ashes. All in exchange for economic benefits that can easily be backtracked or unreliable. Sure, Iran is out of major sanctions, but they will still blacklist the country. With the nuclear threat out of the way, it opens the doors for them to attack and not worry about Iran breaking out of the nuclear threshold state.
The only way they attack someone is after they are sure they are defanged.
Fangs are inside IAEA questions and beyond, in the mountains, dispersed and protected.
Natanz and Fordow are just a show for politics.
Without JCPOA, huge escalations are on the way which might include warlike situations and nuclear tests.
There will come a day when Henry Rome, Eric Brewer and Norman Roule will look down before Jeffrey Lewis and Peter Pry.
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Jeffery Lewis: Your system will not conclude in a deal.
Peter Pry: It is over.
Everybody else: Give them a few bucks if they defang themselves.
No worries. It works.
The regime is at its weakest.
Let me show you the inflation chart. The Rial devaluation chart is here too. See. We need to show them they have to be more flexible.
IRGC: Soleimani, Soleimani, Soleimani
Khamenei: Patience guys
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