Wow, my economist, so much economic Gyan without any reality?
Do you know the reality of 222.2 billion dollar short term debt? Do you? Lemme help you by putting forth the data :
https://rbidocs.rbi.org.in/rdocs/PressRelease/PDFs/PR341816BAE7EE31054F7898D6209336FBEA11.PDF
View attachment 493929
You can see 222.2 billion debt here right?
1. 89.1 billion dollar are in NRI deposits reaching maturity. NRI Deposits in India are GROWING year over year.
Do you know why they are accounted in 'debt' btw?
Do you think these are actually a problem?
I will give you a hint :
My family has quite a few NRI deposits of worth 5-6 million USD in India and we are planning to double them in 3-4 years.
2. Soverign Debt, payable by Government is just 5 billion dollars.
3. Short term debt of 102 billion dollar majorly consist of Foreign Portfolio Investments (FPI): corporate bonds held by foreigners and are payable by the corporates.
Do you really think corporates cannot manage their payments and currency pressure?
There is a position in each company called Treasurer and his or her full time job is to manage money of the company. One of our subsidiary in India had a USD payment of 400K, you know what my treasurer did? He bought options of INR vs USD. Even though INR fell, we were still able to pay USD payment at 54.46 INR per USD. Why? That was the strike price of option. And thats just one trick. There is a whole discipline called hedging in corporate finance. Ask someone who has done CFA charter.
There is a reason why armchair economists are considered stupid, just like armchair generals who look things in isolation. Reality is WAY more complicated than what you see in news papers and random reports. The reality is that in 2019 there is election so astro-turfing for votes has already started. The reality is that like of economics times of india have to publish spicy news out of mundane details of economy to sell their paper.