ok ......nice analysis mate .........keep it coming .
BTW what are ur analysis about Jaitley lossing during Wave ???
Anger against the Akalis, and specifically against the Badals (The fact that there was a akali faction working to reduce BJP seats in Punjab ). Congress had a good candidate, Capt. Amrinder Singh has a good vision for Punjab. Siddhu didn't campaign he loved by most in Amritsar. So Jaitley was bound to loose.
AAP was not a factor in Amritsar, if you put together Votes by both AAP + BJP, still Amrinder would have won by 40,000 margin. Not interested to change your perception, but mine changed a lot during my time of volunteering for the AAP. No wonder people are leaving it in droves. First hand experience, disillusioned and rightly so (I hope).
The number of seats where AAP vote percentage was more than the difference between the 1st and and 2nd Candidate is about in 9 seats in total, and in 6 of them AAP was a distance 5th or 6th. Again AAP was not a factor.
The 4 seats won by AAP has been because of good candidates.Saint Topiwal didn't campaign for them as hard As he did in Delhi and Amethi, the factor for the 4 candidates in Punjab was all the Candidates own good will and not because of the the 'Kejriwal Factor.'