Indian Political Corner | All Updates & Discussions.

[Manvantaratruti]

they are asking people to vote against BJP

You are mistaken, They have asked us to vote for a secular party. BJP is the only secular party in India so the choice is clear

 

[xyxmt]

We have more than enough reasons to get him to power. Thanks for your opinion and perspective.

The main priority is economic growth, territorial integrity, strengthen manufacturing sector, create jobs, safety by civil regulations and more FDI than ever before.

Not religion. (it is difficult for your kind to understand but the priorities here are not about who has got how many people converted... if you get the drift).

If i answer your stupidity then it will be called trolling
but your first priority should be to feed the hungry so when i meet someone here and they mistake me as Indian they dont look at me like some hungry man and dont offer me food before the meeting, India is giving a bad name to all south indians living in the west

Where is that?

were looking for the plate?

 

[SouthDesi]

Does any one have latest numbers projected by 5forty3.in ? If so, please share...

 

[Soumitra]

Latest Modi interview to ANI

I was not silent on Gujarat riots, Narendra Modi says - The Times of India

 

[PlanetWarrior]

And yea and people like OP really think we are interested in reading about that terrorist junkie.

But, you posted here so you must have read the article about that terrorist junkie right

 

[arp2041]

Read: Open letter written by Imtiaz Ali, Zoya Akhtar, Vishal Bhardwaj appealing voters to choose a secular party - IBNLive

Dear Fellow-Indians,
The best thing about our country is its cultural diversity, its pluralism - the co-existence of a number of religions and ethnicities over centuries, and hence the blooming of multiple streams of intellectual and artistic thought. And, this has been possible only because Indian society has prided itself on being essentially secular in character, rejecting communal hatred, embracing tolerance.
Today, that very sense of India is vulnerable. The need of the hour is to protect our country's secular foundation. Undoubtedly, corruption and governance are important issues, but we will have to vigilantly work out ways of holding our government accountable to that. However, one thing is clear: India's secular character is not negotiable! Not now, not ever.
As Indian citizens who love our motherland, we appeal to you to vote for the secular party, which is most likely to win in your constituency.
Jai Hind!
Yours
Imtiaz Ali (Writer-Director: Highway, Jab We Met)
Vishal Bhardwaj (Writer-Director: Omkara, Maqbool)
Govind Nihalani (Director: Tamas, Ardh Satya)
Saeed Mirza (Director: Albert Pinto Ko Gussa Kyon Aata Hai)
Zoya Akhtar (Writer-Director: Zindagi Na Milegi Dobara)
Anand Patwardhan (Documentary Film-maker: Jai Bhim Comrade)
Vijay Krishna Acharya (Director: Dhoom 3)
Kabir Khan (Director: Ek Tha Tiger)
Kundan Shah (Director: Jaane Bhi Do Yaaro)
Nandita Das (Director-Actress: Firaaq, Fire)
Hansal Mehta (Director: Shahid)
Anjum Rajabali (Writer: Raajneeti, Satyagraha)
Shubha Mudgal (Singer-Musician)
Swara Bhaskar (Actor: Raanjhana, Tanu Weds Manu)
Aditi Rao Hydari (Actor: Murder 3, Rockstar)
Mahesh Bhatt (Director-Producer: Saaraansh, Jannat)
Anil Mehta (Cinematographer: Lagaan, Jab Tak Hai Jaan)
Saket Chaudhary (Writer-Director: Shaadi Ke Side Effects)
Rakesh Sharma (Documentary Film-maker: Final Solution)
Vinay Shukla (Writer-Director: Godmother)
Kamlesh Pandey (Writer: Rang De Basanti)
Robin Bhatt (Writer: Chennai Express, Krish 3)
Aneesh Pradhan (Tabla Maestro)
Sanjay Chhel (Writer: Rangeela, Yes Boss)
Sameer Anjan (Lyricist: Dhoom 3, Kuch Kuch Hota Hai)
Imteyaz Husain (Writer: Parinda)
Rajesh Dubey (TV Writer: Balika Vadhu)
Vinod Ranganath (TV Writer: Shanti, Swaabhiman)
Jalees Sherwani (Lyricist: Dabang)
Amitabh Shukla (Film Editor: Lagaan)
Sukant Panigrahi (Art Director)
Surabhi Sharma (Documentary Film-maker)
Anusha Khan (Producer)
Bishwadeep Chatterjee (Sound Designer: 3 Idiots)
C.K. Muraleedharan (Cinematographer: 3 Idiots)
Dr Manasee Palshikar (Screenwriter-Teacher)
Jyoti Dogra (Actor:
Joy Sengupta (Actor)
Kauser Munir (Lyricist: Dhoom 3)
Mazahir Rahim (Screenwriter)
Nishant Radhakrishnan (Film Editor: Satyamev Jayate)
Preety Ali (Producer)
Priyanka Borpujari (Screenwriter)
Rajashree (Filmmaker-Teacher)
Ruchika Oberoi (Film-maker)
Rukmini Sen (Screenwriter and TV Journalist)
Sameera Iyengar (Theatre activist)
Sharad Tripathi (Screenwriter)
Shivani Tibrewala Chand (Playwright)
Siminatini Dhuru (Activist)
Sona Jain (Film-maker)
Tushar Gandhi (Activist)
Teesta Setalvaad (Activist)

Javed Anand (Activist)

F*****g Teesta ...this bitch is back...seems like being out on bail is making her desperate

Guys, you do know that Bollywood has huge, huge influence of the Underworld, so is this letter, voice of Bollywood or the D-Company??

 

[JanjaWeed]

Biggest round of LS elections tomorrow, fight for 121 seats spread in 12 states

The single largest round of voting will unfold across 12 states on Thursday, setting the stage for a final push from parties for the business end of the world’s largest elections.

More than 195 million voters will have their say in 121 seats and decide the electoral fortunes of the old guard, some tipped to be generation next leaders and many high-profile debutants. Overall, 1,762 candidates are in the fray.

The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) had won 44 of these seats in 2009 and the Congress 37.

Karnataka, which gave the BJP its first government in the south, will see voting for all its 28 seats in one go.

After losing power to the Congress in the state, but the BJP has brought back former chief minister BS Yeddyurappa and Bellary star B Sreeramulu after a brief spells of separation in pursuit of a strong showing nationally.

Former IT czar Nandan Nilekani’s debut in Bangalore South has also triggered pan-Indian interest.

The next biggest tranche of seats, 20, will be decided in Rajasthan. The BJP swept the assembly polls last year and pollsters see it on course for a rousing performance.

The saffron party is aiming for a sweep, but the Congress has put young turk Sachin Pilot in charge of its challenge and is keeping a close watch on seats where the ruling party is facing dissent over selection of candidates.

The journey of Jaswant Singh, expelled by the BJP for deciding to contest as an independent from Barmer, is one of the most followed from the state along with Olympic silver-medallist shooter Rajyavardhan Singh Rathore’s electoral debut.

Maharashtra will see voting in 19 seats across the arid, backward region of Marathwada, the sugar-rich belt in the western part of the state and a part of coastal Konkan.

This round has an interesting mix of candidates. Old guard such as Union home minister Sushilkumar Shinde, Ashok Chavan and Gopinath Munde are in the fray along with second-generation leaders such as Supriya Sule and Nilesh Narayan Rane.

In Uttar Pradesh, voting will be held in 11 constituencies. Former union minister and BJP candidate Maneka Gandhi is trying her luck for the seventh time in a Lok Sabha contest, from Pilibhit.

In Odisha, chief minister Naveen Patnaik’s apparently unshakable credentials will be tested in polling for 11 seats including capital Bhubaneswar.

In Madhya Pradesh, polling will be held for 10 seats including capital Bhopal and Gwalior. The ruling BJP has been on a winning streak in the state polls, but the Congress and its key candidate, Jyotiraditya Scindia, will be hoping to turn the tables. Poll projections, however, are not too promising for the Congress.

In Bihar, voting will be for 7 seats. The political dynamics of Bihar changed following the split between the chief minister Nitish Kumar’s Janata Dal (United) and the BJP. Another turning point came after Lok Janshakti Party (LJP) chief Ram Vilas Paswan joined hands with the BJP.

Pollsters see the BJP gaining at JD(U)’s expense in the national polls even though Nitish’s ratings are said to be high in his state.

Actor-turned-politician Shatrughan Sinha, former union home secretary RK Singh and Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) chief Lalu Prasad's daughter Misa Bharti are among the big names in fray.



Full Coverage: My India My Vote

Polling gets off the ground in West Bengal, covering four constituencies including Darjeeling from where football star Bhaichung Bhutia is the Trinamool Congress candidate.

In Maoist-hit Chhattisgarh, three seats go to polls. Veteran Congress leader Ajit Jogi is contesting from Mahasamund, while chief minister Raman Singh's son Abhishek Singh is making his electoral debut in Rajnandgaon.

In Jharkhand, another state affected by Maoist violence, polling will be held for six seats including capital Ranchi and steel hub Jamshedpur.

In Jammu and Kashmir, Udhampur goes to polls. Union health minister Ghulam Nabi Azad is contesting from the seat.

In Manipur, voting for the Inner Manipur seat will complete the polling process in the state. Congress holds both seats in the state.
Biggest round of LS elections tomorrow, fight for 121 seats spread in 12 states - Hindustan Times

@GreenFoe would be looking forward for your forecast by end of tomorrow!

 

[Indischer]

Guys, you do know that Bollywood has huge, huge influence of the Underworld, so is this letter, voice of Bollywood or the D-Company??

Does anyone in the list sound like a person who needed to be coerced into signing such a letter? Besides, they've only appealed people to vote for a secular party. The definition of who's secular and who isn't will vary from person to person. The way I see it, none of the Parties are secular in spirit.

 

[Jason bourne]

चुनाव प्रचार में राहुल बाबा के साथ अब सोनिया और प्रियंका भी साथ दे रही हैं। तो हम कह सकते हैं कि "मोदी जी से लड़ने में राहुल बाबा की माँ बहन एक हो गयी हैं" :-D

 

[Dash]

चुनाव प्रचार में राहुल बाबा के साथ अब सोनिया और प्रियंका भी साथ दे रही हैं। तो हम कह सकते हैं कि "मोदी जी से लड़ने में राहुल बाबा की माँ बहन एक हो गयी हैं" :-D

.......kahan se leke ajate ho bhai ese jokes...

 

[jbond197]

Maharashtra

Northern and Vidharbha parts of this second largest state went to polls on the 10th of April and our survey had a sample size of 624 spread out in 11 assembly segments of 4 parliamentary constituencies. Our representative sampling was well spread out across the demographic profile of Vidharbha and included the following;

We then extrapolated the sample data to our own social profile of Vidharbha using the latest Census numbers to add adequate weightage to different ethnic groups/castes in order to arrive at the right representative model. Based on this model we converted the vote-shares of different parties accordingly to arrive at the final numbers.

In 2009, in these 10 seats that went to polls on the 10th of April, BJP-SS had an advantage of only 0.5% in terms of vote-share which is why both NDA and UPA shared 5 parliamentary seats each. This time our mathematical model projects a clear 4% lead to BJP-SS in these seats which usually means exponential gains in terms of number of seats. For the vote-to seat conversion, we have taken multiple parameters into consideration like inter-parliamentary constituency vote-share difference, historic vote-share data of individual parliamentary seat, intra assembly segment wise vote-share differential and demographic divide of percentage of votes in each individual seat. Based on these parameters we have projected a clear victory for BJP-SS in 8 parliamentary seats and 2 have gone to Congress-NCP.

Haryana

This is a state that was looking interestingly poised on the voting day on 10th when BJP and Congress looked like being on an equal footing, based on our overall vote-share data. Once we dived deeper into those numbers, we began to realize the real picture as seat after seat seems to have voted to defeat Congress but the anti-Congress vote seems to have split among the opposition parties, so what looked like even-stevens turned out to be a skewed picture with an anti-Congress vote getting divided. This is why the demographic profiling of any data collection exercise is very important. Our sample size in Haryana was 1035 spread across 4 parliamentary seats and gave adequate social representation to all sections of the Haryana society.

In our over emphasis on the Congress decline story, we tend to forget another important story, that of BSP’s decline. 2014 will probably be remembered as an election that saw almost the complete decimation of this north Indian Dalit party which had once emerged as a potential national player. For instance, here in Haryana, BSP had 16% vote-share in the 2009 parliamentary election, which has now literally come down to a third at about 6%. This is a decline that we have been seeing for the last couple of years when Mayawati’s party had lost almost all its base in a string of state elections – especially late last year when BSP lost its moorings in MP, Rajasthan and Delhi where it had emerged as the third pole over the last 2 decades. Unless Mayawti takes timely action, BSP will suffer almost terminal decline in the next few years.

Another phenomenon of this Haryana election is AAP’s performance of winning double-digit vote-share, although not winning any seats. For a party that has just about started its political innings, getting double digit vote-share in at least 3 states is an achievement that it can be proud of, but for the impossibly high ambitions the party and its supporters seem to have about 2014. If the party remains focussed as a long term player, it can possibly emerge as a serious contender in parts of India within a decade.

BJP is suffering in Haryana, despite a pro-Modi wave against the Congress because it didn’t get its alliance mathematics right. Had it been able to form a broader coalition with INLD, the NDA could have made a clean sweep of this important state. Many voters, especially the Jat voters were in the belief that a vote for INLD was also a vote for Modi, which seems to have cost at least 2 seats for the BJP.

Delhi

Our sample size for Delhi was 1631 spread across 11 assembly segments of 4 parliamentary seats. We also then got survey data from a third party source for the remaining 2 parliamentary seats. Using this entire data we have made the vote-share and seat-share projections with an overall sample size of 2148.

Odisha

The sample size for this eastern state was 690 spread across 6 parliamentary constituencies. What is surprising is that BJP has emerged as a very close second to the BJD while Congress has been relegated to a distant third in this eastern state where it was hitherto believed that BJP had lost its entire base after its alliance with Biju Janata Dal broke-off in 2009. Two important caveats before we post the results; 1] This is only limited to parliamentary election as the survey was not done for the parallel assembly polls and 2] 5Forty3 was not directly involved in this Odisha survey due to lack of infrastructure in Eastern India so it was outsourced to another independent organization.

 

[jbond197]

Overall Seat Projections till 12th April polling

We also have numbers from three smaller north Indian states of Assam, Chhattisgarh and Jharkhand based on which we have done our final seat-share projections till the 12th of April when elections have held in 110 parliamentary seats of 20 states and union territories.

[Kerala is based on CSDS and other agencies pre-poll numbers. Non-Assam North-East is based on ground reports and past electoral data]

 

[arp2041]

@jbond197 dil khush kardiya oye.......MP, UP & Bihar key bhi opionion poll mila de toh NDA getting around 50+% seats out of 91

Also, add 2 of INLD.

 

[drunken-monke]

Maharashtra

Northern and Vidharbha parts of this second largest state went to polls on the 10th of April and our survey had a sample size of 624 spread out in 11 assembly segments of 4 parliamentary constituencies. Our representative sampling was well spread out across the demographic profile of Vidharbha and included the following;

We then extrapolated the sample data to our own social profile of Vidharbha using the latest Census numbers to add adequate weightage to different ethnic groups/castes in order to arrive at the right representative model. Based on this model we converted the vote-shares of different parties accordingly to arrive at the final numbers.

In 2009, in these 10 seats that went to polls on the 10th of April, BJP-SS had an advantage of only 0.5% in terms of vote-share which is why both NDA and UPA shared 5 parliamentary seats each. This time our mathematical model projects a clear 4% lead to BJP-SS in these seats which usually means exponential gains in terms of number of seats. For the vote-to seat conversion, we have taken multiple parameters into consideration like inter-parliamentary constituency vote-share difference, historic vote-share data of individual parliamentary seat, intra assembly segment wise vote-share differential and demographic divide of percentage of votes in each individual seat. Based on these parameters we have projected a clear victory for BJP-SS in 8 parliamentary seats and 2 have gone to Congress-NCP.

Haryana

This is a state that was looking interestingly poised on the voting day on 10th when BJP and Congress looked like being on an equal footing, based on our overall vote-share data. Once we dived deeper into those numbers, we began to realize the real picture as seat after seat seems to have voted to defeat Congress but the anti-Congress vote seems to have split among the opposition parties, so what looked like even-stevens turned out to be a skewed picture with an anti-Congress vote getting divided. This is why the demographic profiling of any data collection exercise is very important. Our sample size in Haryana was 1035 spread across 4 parliamentary seats and gave adequate social representation to all sections of the Haryana society.

In our over emphasis on the Congress decline story, we tend to forget another important story, that of BSP’s decline. 2014 will probably be remembered as an election that saw almost the complete decimation of this north Indian Dalit party which had once emerged as a potential national player. For instance, here in Haryana, BSP had 16% vote-share in the 2009 parliamentary election, which has now literally come down to a third at about 6%. This is a decline that we have been seeing for the last couple of years when Mayawati’s party had lost almost all its base in a string of state elections – especially late last year when BSP lost its moorings in MP, Rajasthan and Delhi where it had emerged as the third pole over the last 2 decades. Unless Mayawti takes timely action, BSP will suffer almost terminal decline in the next few years.

Another phenomenon of this Haryana election is AAP’s performance of winning double-digit vote-share, although not winning any seats. For a party that has just about started its political innings, getting double digit vote-share in at least 3 states is an achievement that it can be proud of, but for the impossibly high ambitions the party and its supporters seem to have about 2014. If the party remains focussed as a long term player, it can possibly emerge as a serious contender in parts of India within a decade.

BJP is suffering in Haryana, despite a pro-Modi wave against the Congress because it didn’t get its alliance mathematics right. Had it been able to form a broader coalition with INLD, the NDA could have made a clean sweep of this important state. Many voters, especially the Jat voters were in the belief that a vote for INLD was also a vote for Modi, which seems to have cost at least 2 seats for the BJP.

Delhi

Our sample size for Delhi was 1631 spread across 11 assembly segments of 4 parliamentary seats. We also then got survey data from a third party source for the remaining 2 parliamentary seats. Using this entire data we have made the vote-share and seat-share projections with an overall sample size of 2148.

Odisha

The sample size for this eastern state was 690 spread across 6 parliamentary constituencies. What is surprising is that BJP has emerged as a very close second to the BJD while Congress has been relegated to a distant third in this eastern state where it was hitherto believed that BJP had lost its entire base after its alliance with Biju Janata Dal broke-off in 2009. Two important caveats before we post the results; 1] This is only limited to parliamentary election as the survey was not done for the parallel assembly polls and 2] 5Forty3 was not directly involved in this Odisha survey due to lack of infrastructure in Eastern India so it was outsourced to another independent organization.

In Vidarbha, thoes two seats which might go to Congess/UPA are Nagpur and Bhandara/Gondia. But both seats have 50% 50% win probability for both parties.. At nagpur, if BSP and and one Independant candidate gets majority votes of SC, then BJP will win otherwise congress may triumph... Nitin Gadkari is contesting from there.. Other seat is Gondia/Bhandara, there is every chance that prafula patel may loose depending on the SC votes.. I voted there to BJP candidate..

There is every possibility that BJP/Shiv sena may make a clean sweep in Vidarbha 10/10.. Just need to wait till 16th...

 

[jbond197]

@jbond197 dil khush kardiya oye.......MP, UP & Bihar key bhi opionion poll mila de toh NDA getting around 50+% seats out of 91

Also, add 2 of INLD.

Yeah, I was specially happy looking at clean sweep in Delhi and good chunk of seats in Orissa..