INDIAN ISOLATION AND NEW POLITICAL ORDER IN SOUTH ASIA

[Bill Longley]

India has only one leg left to stand on. And that is its market size. Pakistan knows that. Everyone knows that. But under previous governments it had the goodwill of the west, a clean image and a rising economy. None of those things are true anymore. I for one hope and pray that India continues to live in its fantasy that no one can stop them. The destruction of India will not come from Pakistan. It will come from the rest of the world including the ascendant educated liberal Indian diaspora who for reasons personal and professional cannot be seen associating with a rabid group of Hindu nazis.

Realist scholars believe that a great power can influence global events in more than a single region to its advantage even in the face of opposition from others. This worldview, which the RSS shares, emphasizes the significance of material power and highlights a state’s capacity to ward off both internal and external threats to its sovereignty. Simultaneously, a great power must be able to deploy other elements of state capacity—namely the ability to extract resources—and redistribute them to its citizens. From that standpoint, India’s ability to tax the powerful and the well-heeled is still quite anemic. For example, India’s tax-to-GDP ratio, which stands at around 17 percent, is at the lower end among emerging economies, such as South Africa (27 percent), Chile (28 percent), and Nepal (21 percent).
https://foreignpolicy.com/2019/07/27/india-faces-a-looming-disaster/

Worse still, India has seen a phenomenal rise in unemployment in the last decade, from around 2 percent in 2011-2012 to 6 percent in 2017-2018, the highest in more than four decades. Its capacity to generate formal employment, create access to quality primary education, or provide basic services such as health care, housing, or access to clean drinking water is decades behind several poorer and smaller nations, such as Sri Lanka or even Libya. The principal challenge that any government in India will confront is that of tackling these public policy shortfalls. If the last five years of BJP rule are any indication, the country has barely begun to make a dent in coping with these hurdles.

India’s military capabilities, though seemingly robust, remain riddled with problems.

Its defense acquisition process is all but broken, equipment is outdated, and even ammunition stocks are inadequate for a possible two-front war. Despite much fanfare, the Modi government made little or no headway in tackling these endemic issues. Even though India is a nuclear state with proven space launch capabilities, it falls dangerously short on its progress on both defense research and development and manufacturing. For example, the indigenous Light Combat Aircraft project, which was initiated in the early 1980s, remains in its infancy and is mostly reliant on foreign components. To add to that, military spending remains low at 2.4 percent of the GDP.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2019/07/27/india-faces-a-looming-disaster/

 

[War Thunder]

BJP made some decison that are path breaking in our history...We know that there will be challenges but it is worth taking such risk to secure our future

Path breaking for sure. They were a shortcut to the a long and deep pit.
The Delusional among you will never get it.
The ones who do will keep getting labeled as traitors.
India is going to need a new war of freedom, and this time it will be against a particular mindset that is quite prevalent in the Indian society and people and has grown recently.

 

[Bill Longley]

counting chicks before they hatch

bhai most of chicks have hatched, deny it but its truth Bangladesh, srilanka, Iran, Napal , Pakistan, Burma etc all are part of BRI... PLAN navy's presence in IOR has become headache for Indians, With Mayanmar on board PLAN is going to have facilities in Bay of Bangal

now tell me where eggs are still not hatched... oh yes in Maldives
lolzz

 

[Chhatrapati]

Nth doomsday prediction thread.

 

[Protest_again]

Path breaking for sure. They were a shortcut to the a long and deep pit.
The Delusional among you will never get it.
The ones who do will keep getting labeled as traitors.
India is going to need a new war of freedom, and this time it will be against a particular mindset that is quite prevalent in the Indian society and people and has grown recently.

Lol. War for freedom. Delusions like these can only fly on PDF.

 

[War Thunder]

Lol. War for freedom. Delusions like these can only fly on PDF.

Absolutely, perhaps some day your intellectual state can rise a bit to match what it takes to decipher the so called delusions that fly on PDF.

 

[Protest_again]

Absolutely, perhaps some day your intellectual state can rise a bit to match what it takes to decipher the so called delusions that fly on PDF.

May be yours as well. You are making up reality in dreams these days. Lol.

 

[tkmd]

Realist scholars believe that a great power can influence global events in more than a single region to its advantage even in the face of opposition from others. This worldview, which the RSS shares, emphasizes the significance of material power and highlights a state’s capacity to ward off both internal and external threats to its sovereignty. Simultaneously, a great power must be able to deploy other elements of state capacity—namely the ability to extract resources—and redistribute them to its citizens. From that standpoint, India’s ability to tax the powerful and the well-heeled is still quite anemic. For example, India’s tax-to-GDP ratio, which stands at around 17 percent, is at the lower end among emerging economies, such as South Africa (27 percent), Chile (28 percent), and Nepal (21 percent).
https://foreignpolicy.com/2019/07/27/india-faces-a-looming-disaster/

Worse still, India has seen a phenomenal rise in unemployment in the last decade, from around 2 percent in 2011-2012 to 6 percent in 2017-2018, the highest in more than four decades. Its capacity to generate formal employment, create access to quality primary education, or provide basic services such as health care, housing, or access to clean drinking water is decades behind several poorer and smaller nations, such as Sri Lanka or even Libya. The principal challenge that any government in India will confront is that of tackling these public policy shortfalls. If the last five years of BJP rule are any indication, the country has barely begun to make a dent in coping with these hurdles.

India’s military capabilities, though seemingly robust, remain riddled with problems.

Its defense acquisition process is all but broken, equipment is outdated, and even ammunition stocks are inadequate for a possible two-front war. Despite much fanfare, the Modi government made little or no headway in tackling these endemic issues. Even though India is a nuclear state with proven space launch capabilities, it falls dangerously short on its progress on both defense research and development and manufacturing. For example, the indigenous Light Combat Aircraft project, which was initiated in the early 1980s, remains in its infancy and is mostly reliant on foreign components. To add to that, military spending remains low at 2.4 percent of the GDP.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2019/07/27/india-faces-a-looming-disaster/

All good points. The only thing that India has going for it is its population. And that is simply not enough to become a superpower or even leading regional power.

 

[masterchief_mirza]

India is not augmenting its international standing with its economy of massive numbers, rather it is now solely dependent on its economy of massive numbers. It has thrown every other facet of its persona that it once stood for (or at least gave the impression of standing for) under the bus. Secularism, progressiveness, pluralism, respect of minorities...all gone in a puff of smoke. Many astute observers argue these traits were never really there to begin with.

The point is that global confidence in India as a nation and as a force was derived from these traits, whether genuine or a mere cunning illusion. Either way, it's gone.

The bloated economy of India is now simply its crutch, not the steroid shot that was once touted as its means to tip the scales decisively towards greatness.

India is still a reasonably rich tin-pot dictatorship where social, ethnic, political and demographic engineering keep a single party in power and a single narrative on everyone's lips, however absurd that narrative seems from outside of the echo chamber.

However, India doesn't command the respect it once automatically did when everyone in the west automatically muttered "world's largest democracy" in the same breath as "India".

Folks see India now for what it is, and Indians for what they are, whether Indians in India or diaspora Indians.

The one other point to be made is that even this crutch of economic clout is waning. Modi may yet unravel the whole damn tapestry in a single sitting.

bhai most of chicks have hatched, deny it but its truth Bangladesh, srilanka, Iran, Napal , Pakistan, Burma etc all are part of BRI... PLAN navy's presence in IOR has become headache for Indians, With Mayanmar on board PLAN is going to have facilities in Bay of Bangal

now tell me where eggs are still not hatched... oh yes in Maldives
lolzz

What you say here is actually undeniably true. India has already failed in uncle Sam's mission to contain or counter Chinese influence. USA has to step in and deal with China itself. For various reasons, India is not up to the challenge. Note how the Indians here simply dodge this fact, as a Su30 apparently dodges AMRAAMs.