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Indian economy to grow 3 percent in 2012-2013: BBC report

There is no chance for UPA in 2014 and they know it very best. They will try to get max till than.

Corrupt Govt. May these politicians rot in hell!!!!
 
You are smart enough to know that World does not function that way. If everyone thinks of benefit and social welfare, there would not have been any militaries or huge military budgets, no disputes, no human right violations, no power politics, no blocks, no domains, free moment of people, no wars and no sanctions. Everything is about power.

As far as India is considered, you may think India’s actions are power illusions, but I don’t. For nothing we spend $40 billion on defence, invest billions of dollars in Afghanistan, expand out navy capabilities into larger Indian Ocean, invest billions on space programs or counter China. We have a plan

Yes you do have a plan but is it a delusional plan, this is why your economy is in deep sh@t now, instead of concentrate on your economy , Goi spend all their money and efforts on an imaginary war of countering china LOL
 
World's economy is not expected to be healthy in current fiscal year but 3% is pathetic..... and 3% would be due to escalation of prices not due to govt policies....

Mean while govt can infuse much money through infra projects.....
 
No economy can defy the law of gravity for long. For most of India's history since 1947, the Indian economy has grown at "Hindu Growth Rate" of about 3%, and it appears to be returning to that norm.

Haq's Musings: Indian Economy Slowing to "Hindu Rate of Growth"?

my statement won't be related to religion but its also true that Indian economy was the biggest economy till 15th century during Hindu Rule, till start of Mughal Rule. and also it maintained itself among the top two biggest economy till 18th century also with China, till Shiwaji Rule, when British defeated him and got control over India in 1818/20. But the logic of "Hindu Growth Rate" was baseless as at the time of 1947, total share of agriculture to Indian economy was around 70%, the agriculture sector which can't grow with a high pace, more than 2% to 3% on average on long term :disagree:. in between 1980 to 1990, Indian average growth rate was above 7% during the rule of Indira Gandhi and Rajiv Gandhi who had also started industrialization during Cold War period itself, and then India also joined other nations like China/ ASEAN for economic liberalization by 1991. otherwise, Indian Per Capita Income on PPP was always higher than that of China in between 1950 to 1990, till start of economic liberalization in India. then how is it fair to blame low growth rate of India to "Hinduism" in between 1950 to 1990, as per your article of Mr Haq? please check as below about comparison of per capita income of India and China in my post. (here Hinduism was proved little superior to Chinese culture in between 1950 to 1990 :D. rest, China also liberalized its economy since 70s while India was in fact very late than China/ASEAN :meeting:):

http://www.defence.pk/forums/world-affairs/190573-why-china-soviet-union-3.html#post3112038

but if we don't talk about the religion then here, just think about the Indian economy in 60s who had 60% share of Agriculture, which can't grow for more than on average 2% to 3% on long run. hence, even if your service sector and Industrial sector had a combined growth of 7%, total economy could hardly grow close to 3% to 4% during 60s, 70s?
(for example of Indian growth rate of 2011 with 7.8% as per CIA Fact book. and if the share of agriculture might be 60% like in 60s, which had hardly 2% growth in 2011, then even if industries and service sector had combined 9% growth rate in 2011, total growth rate of India might be just around 3.5% in 2011 :agree:.)

right now, share of agriculture in Indian economy is 18% only then it simply means, along with 2% to 3% average growth of agriculture sector of India since 1947, Service and Industry might have registered a high growth even during 60s, 70s, 80s also which has reduced share of agriculture in Indian GDP from 70% in 1947 to around 18% right now only? make sense? :undecided:
 
my statement won't be related to religion but its also true that Indian economy was the biggest economy till 15th century during Hindu Rule, till start of Mughal Rule. and also it maintained itself among the top two biggest economy till 18th century also with China, till Shiwaji Rule, when British defeated him and got control over India in 1818/20. But the logic of "Hindu Growth Rate" was baseless as at the time of 1947, total share of agriculture to Indian economy was around 70%, the agriculture sector which can't grow with a high pace, more than 2% to 3% on average on long term :disagree:. in between 1980 to 1990, Indian average growth rate was above 7% during the rule of Indira Gandhi and Rajiv Gandhi who had also started industrialization during Cold War period itself, and then India also joined other nations like China/ ASEAN for economic liberalization by 1991. otherwise, Indian Per Capita Income on PPP was always higher than that of China in between 1950 to 1990, till start of economic liberalization in India. then how is it fair to blame low growth rate of India to "Hinduism" in between 1950 to 1990, as per your article of Mr Haq? please check as below about comparison of per capita income of India and China in my post. (here Hinduism was proved little superior to Chinese culture in between 1950 to 1990 :D. rest, China also liberalized its economy since 70s while India was in fact very late than China/ASEAN :meeting:):

http://www.defence.pk/forums/world-affairs/190573-why-china-soviet-union-3.html#post3112038

but if we don't talk about the religion then here, just think about the Indian economy in 60s who had 60% share of Agriculture, which can't grow for more than on average 2% to 3% on long run. hence, even if your service sector and Industrial sector had a combined growth of 7%, total economy could hardly grow close to 3% to 4% during 60s, 70s?
(for example of Indian growth rate of 2011 with 7.8% as per CIA Fact book. and if the share of agriculture might be 60% like in 60s, which had hardly 2% growth in 2011, then even if industries and service sector had combined 9% growth rate in 2011, total growth rate of India might be just around 3.5% in 2011 :agree:.)

right now, share of agriculture in Indian economy is 18% only then it simply means, along with 2% to 3% average growth of agriculture sector of India since 1947, Service and Industry might have registered a high growth even during 60s, 70s, 80s also which has reduced share of agriculture in Indian GDP from 70% in 1947 to around 18% right now only? make sense? :undecided:

June PMI highest in four months; fades away hopes of any immediate monetary action from RBI
3 Jul, 2012, 0444 hrs IST, ET Bureau

NEW DELHI: India's manufacturing sector grew at its fastest pace in four months during June, with stronger domestic demand contributing to higher levels of new orders, according to a private sector survey of purchasing managers.

The HSBC India Manufacturing PMI rose to '55' in June from '54.8' in the previous month, signaling improvement in business confidence. A reading of 50 separates growth from contraction.

As factories tried to accommodate higher levels of output, employment, too, expanded, touching a 13-month high.

"Activity in the manufacturing sector kept up the pace in June with output and employment expanding at a faster pace," Leif Eskesen, chief economist for India and ASEAN at HSBC, said in a statement.

India's PMI reading is in stark contrast to that of the rest of Asia where manufacturing activity slowed further in June. HSBC's PMI for Japan fell below the 50-point mark to 49.9 in June, while that of China slipped to 48.2 from 48.4 in May on a sharp moderation in demand from the US and the EU.

HSBC's Eskesen said a decline in export orders suggested moderation ahead for India too.

"New order growth decelerated slightly led by export orders while stock levels rose, suggesting a slight moderation in output growth going ahead," he said.

The improvement in June PMI suggests a pick up in manufacturing sentiment, although the index has been out of sync with the official gauge of industrial activity-the index of industrial production or IIP-for the last few months.

India's industrial growth contracted 3.2% in March and rose only 0.1% in April even though the PMI was 54.7 and 54.9 in these months.

Sub-components of the index showed that new orders, from both the overseas and local market, dropped and inventories rose, suggesting the rebound was partly because of stocking up in anticipation of an improvement in demand.

Inflation continued to pose a threat to growth. Input prices rose to a nine-month high, while output prices climbed to the highest since 2005, the survey showed.

"Bottom-line: demand remains weak, though we do not believe it plummeting as suggested by industrial output data, while inflationary pressures remain strong," Sonal Varma of Nomura said in a note.

The PMI data diminished hopes of any immediate monetary action from the Reserve Bank. The central bank had kept key rates unchanged at its last policy meeting held on June 17 even as manufacturing stagnated in April.

"Input and output prices rose at a faster pace than in May, keeping inflation high by historical standards," said Eskesen. "In light of these numbers, the RBI does not have a strong case for further rate cuts, which could add to lingering inflation risks."

Citi India economist Rohini Malkani agreed. "While the growth outlook is weak with the monsoon playing truant, price trends are sticky," she said in a note. "Given RBI's priority to tackle inflation, even if it means sacrificing growth, monetary easing may be delayed further."

photo.cms


June PMI highest in four months; fades away hopes of any immediate monetary action from RBI-Indicators-Economy-News-The Economic Times on Mobile
 
June services PMI expands for 8th month
Reuters / New Delhi Jul 04, 2012, 10:32 IST

Country's services sector in June expanded for the eighth straight month although at a slower clip, but new orders picked up and firms hired workers at the fastest pace in a year, a business survey showed on Wednesday.

HSBC's services purchasing managers' index, which gauges the activity of around 400 firms in India, dropped to 54.3 in June from 54.7 in May. However, it has kept above the 50 mark that signifies growth since November.

The survey showed order books filled at their strongest pace in four months, riding high on domestic consumption.
But sagging demand from India's major trading partners abroad - the United States, the euro zone and Britain - dented hopes for the future among Indian companies in June.

"While service sector activity grew at a slightly slower pace, new orders grew faster and this should hold up activity in coming months," said Leif Eskesen, economist at HSBC.

The services sector contributes nearly 60 percent to the overall Indian economy.

The survey also showed firms added jobs at a faster pace in June to deal with the surge in new business and cut backlogs. Its jobs index rose to 51.1 in June from 50.5 in May.

"And businesses remained relatively optimistic about the outlook for the coming 12 months, although sentiment eased a bit from the previous month," Eskesen added.

India once held the baton for the growth story of emerging nations, but it faces a tough battle to keep up with emerging peers China and Brazil.

Abroad, the euro zone continues to reel from its sovereign debt crisis, despite a summit of European leaders last week that put forward some steps to ease the region's economic troubles.

That, combined with stuttering growth in the United States, has crimped on global economic sentiment and has hit confidence about the future in corporate boardrooms across the world.

The Indian services PMI business expectations index fell four points since May.

India's economy grew at an annualised pace of 5.3 percent between January and March this year - its slowest pace in nine years and a far cry from the nearly 10 percent growth regularly clocked before the onset of the crisis in 2008.

The PMI showed consumers continued to be charged high prices for finished goods as input prices rose at the same pace as last month, offering the Reserve Bank of India little room for maneuver.

"Inflation readings for input and output prices were broadly unchanged from May and remain high by historical standards. Together with manufacturing PMI, these numbers suggest that it is hard to build a strong case for policy rate cuts in the near term," said Eskesen.

The RBI unexpectedly kept interest rates on hold at eight percent at its meeting last month, as inflation worries persist, placing the onus onto the government to revive the economy.

India's factory output rose at a faster pace as production and employment levels increased but reduced foreign demand has taken its toll on new export orders, another PMI showed on Monday.

June services PMI expands for 8th month
 
I don't understand. On most economic indicators, india performs better than pakistan - inflation, unemployment, forex reserves, etc. So if pakistan is confident of attaining the 4% mark in this fiscal, how can india (a better performer on most indices) slump to 3%? It just doesn't make sense.

And i don't understand the pakistani excitement? Their house is on fire, and they are drawing consolation from a robbery in their neighbor's house. This is the definition of "retard".
 
I don't understand. On most economic indicators, india performs better than pakistan - inflation, unemployment, forex reserves, etc. So if pakistan is confident of attaining the 4% mark in this fiscal, how can india (a better performer on most indices) slump to 3%? It just doesn't make sense.

And i don't understand the pakistani excitement? Their house is on fire, and they are drawing consolation from a robbery in their neighbor's house. This is the definition of "retard".

no excitement just plain analysis if you bring up emotional content into the picture. What you said if were reasonable can be said the same to India vs China.

either this PMI is biased or you have to admit PMI figures does not translate to high economic output. this HSBC PMI for China has been constantly around 48 in the first half of 2012 yet it generate much better economic performance than it to India(54 on average). the same applies to the longer period over 2007 to 2012.

Gross domestic growth for China by now can be predicted around 8 pct for Jan-Jun 2012, India's number could be only 5 pct with decelerating trend.

there's nothing to be happy about this rather shady PMI number.
 
no excitement just plain analysis if you bring up emotional content into the picture. What you said if were reasonable can be said the same to India vs China.

either this PMI is biased or you have to admit PMI figures does not translate to high economic output. this HSBC PMI for China has been constantly around 48 in the first half of 2012 yet it generate much better economic performance than it to India(54 on average). the same applies to the longer period over 2007 to 2012.

Gross domestic growth for China by now can be predicted around 8 pct for Jan-Jun 2012, India's number could be only 5 pct with decelerating trend.

better worry about your country kid ..
India is doing pretty well on growth indicators ... PMI is the new norm nowadays .. most of the financial companies are taking this as a base factor to invest ... recent FDI investment surge in India explains this...
 
check the same article imports reduced more than 7 % ... and the numbers are reported in US $ ... and if they are taking base month of last year... in Rupee terms the exports actually rose by 15% ,,, anyway this monthly exports are more than the export of your country in a year ... so again stop worrying about India ... worry about your country ...

do you seriously think you made that point? think about it if you can make both ends meet.

let me make this simple to you I know you have problem with this. Assume you imported 100 dollar item last year you spend 4500 Rupees, and this year you imported only 90 dollars and you have to pay 90*55=4950, your import shrinks 10 pct yet your import Rupee value increase 450/4500=10 pct,

would you say that 10 pct Rupee value increase is an increase of import?
 

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