FDI in Q1 FY 09 exceeds total inflows in 2005-06- Indicators-Economy-News-The Economic Times
MUMBAI: India is fast catching up with China in the flow of Foreign Direct Investment as it crossed 10 billion dollars in the first quarter of this fiscal.
Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in the first quarter of FY 09 has far exceeded the total FDIs flows received by the domestic economy in the financial year 2005-06, Reserve Bank data said.
The total FDI inflows into the country in the April-June period amounted to USD 10.073 billion, nearly one billion more than the total FDI inflows--USD 8.961 billion, reached in the 2005-06 period, RBI said in its August report.
The FDI flow into India was less than 10 billion dollars annually until 2005-06. It shot up to 22 billion dollars in 2006-07 and 32 billion dollars in 2007-08. China averaged 50 billion dollars annually in the past decade.
If the first quarter trend continued, India could cross this fiscal 40 billion dollar mark in FDI annual inflow for the first time.
FDI flows, during April-June, almost doubled when compared to the same quarter of FY 08, USD five billion. Of the total FDIs reached here in the April-June period this fiscal, around USD 2.253 billion was on account of the acquisition of shares of Indian companies by foreign entities, RBI said.
While the momentum in the foreign direct investment is expected to continue in the remaing part of FY 09 on the back of a strong domestic demand, the pace of the growth may be a little lower compared to the preceeding months, RBI said.
"The private corporate investment in 2008-09 is likely to increase, although it may grow at a slower pace... Corporate's incentives to invest are likely to remain strong in 2008-2009, namely high domestic demand and high capacity utilisation rates amidst improved profitability of last few years," RBI said.
The country received a record USD 11.9 billion FDI in the final quarter of last financial year and has continued the momentum despite the choppy market conditions in some of the major economies in the first quarter on the back of a strong domestic demand for various projects.
According to the Reserve Bank's estimates, total Foreign Direct Investment in the first six months of the current calender year aggregated to USD 21.948 billion, close to a USD 22.079 mark routed to domestic market by Foreign direct investors in 2006-07.
Meanwhile, FIIs sold a total of USD 5.177 billion in the April-June period, much above as compared to a USD 4.1 billion in Q4 FY 09, RBI said.
Total FII inflows in FY 08 stood at USD 20.328 billion while other investors including offshore funds put in USD 298 million during the period. However, in the current fiscal, except in January, FIIs sold nearly USD 15.811 billion, so far, RBI data showed.
In January, the country received an FII inflow of 6.49 billion.
-----------------------------------------------------------
finally some good news, hope these inflows will help in Current Account. We should target for 80 billion FDI by 2010 or 2011.
some more good news
Foreign capital inflow hits $22 bn in first six months
Foreign capital inflow hits $22 bn by half time- Finance-Economy-News-The Economic Times
MUMBAI: Foreign investment in the country’s industrial and other firms has surged to nearly $22 billion during the first six months of the year, with the momentum of flows continuing in the first quarter of 2008-09.
After record flows of $11 billion during the last quarter of 2007-08, foreign direct investment (FDI) during April-June 2008 has topped $10 billion — providing comfort to fiscal and policy managers considering that foreign portfolio investors have been major sellers since the beginning of the year. They have sold stocks worth $6.5 billion this year.
What is most encouraging this time is that a bulk of the inflows have been channelised into greenfield projects. Indications are the FDI flows would be enhanced with an estimated investment of $5 billion by Dai-chi Sankyo in Delhi-based pharma company, Ranbaxy. Our policy makers have placed FDI on top of their preferred hierarchy of capital flows considering the benefits it provides in the form of job generation and technology transfer.
According to the latest RBI data, at $10.1 billion, FDI inflows during April-June were double the amount of what the country received a year ago. However, according to the Prime Minister’s Economic Advisory Council, “it is possible this doubling in April-May is due to bunching of transactions and is unlikely to be sustained through the year”.
FDI inflows have been on the rise in the past three years. In 2007-08, inflows touched $32 billion. However, a sizeable portion is reinvested earnings by companies, i.e., money invested in acquisition of existing shares or private equity inflows. However, the FDI figures for the latest quarter don’t include reinvested earnings. Also, of the $10.1-billion FDI, only $2.3 billion is towards share acquisition. Even private equity flows, also included in the FDI numbers, are believed to have slowed significantly in the wake of the turmoil in the global credit market.
However, what could be adding to the discomfort of policy makers is the sectors that the money is flowing into. Nearly 15% of the FDI inflows during April-May, for which the data is available, has gone to the real estate and housing sector. Services and infrastructure are the other sectors witness to huge inflows.
The FDI figures seem to indicate that the country’s long-term growth story is strong. In fact, in its report released earlier during the week, credit rating firm Standard and Poor’s has forecast that although the country’s growth projections have been lowered over the initial forecast twice this year, it would still be the second-fastest growing economy in Asia-Pacific after China.
Rating agencies have been expressing concern about the country’s external finances in addition to their concerns about inflation and fiscal deterioration. However, rising FDI flows appear to have bolstered the balance of payments — a balance-sheet of the country’s financial transactions with the outside world — especially against the backdrop of an outflow of $5 billion of portfolio investments during the period.
Notably, while FDI is seen as stable foreign money, portfolio investment is volatile and considered hot money that may be drawn down swiftly during a financial or an economic crisis.
The report on the outlook for the economy in 2008-09 released by the Prime Minister’s Economic Advisory Council released earlier this week is bullish on FDI inflows, though it has scaled down the country’s growth projections. For the year as a whole, it has taken a 43% increase in in-bound FDI to $46.2 billion (including private equity).
-----------------------