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With futures loaded, fall in markets seen
NEW DELHI: With investors having invested heavily in the futures & optins segment of the market, a further fall in the stock markets in the coming days is not ruled out by brokers and fund managers.
With equity markets taking a U-turn on Monday, investors are expected to sell in the F&O segment to contain losses. At the same time, the fall in this segment will prompt investors to put in margin money for which they might liquidate their position in the cash segment.
"The viscious circle will put pressure on the market as a whole," said Investshoppe CEO Ashish Kapur. According to estimates, the open position in the F&O segment is around Rs 50,000 crore. The trend was evident even on Monday, when investors rushed to the cash segment as the NSE Nifty fell so that they could square up their positions in the F&O segment.
While this increased the selling pressure in the F&O segment, there were very few buyers. So, prices of future contracts dipped. Futures based on Nifty index, which would mature in December 28, 2006, fell to close at 3,839 points, while Nifty 50 closed at 3,849 points in cash market. This indicated that the market expected Nifty to fall further ââ¬â albeit marginally.
The NSE index for banking stocks fell to 5,181 points, while in the cash segment the index closed at 5,244 points. That means, the fall in banking stocks is likely to continue for a few more days. Besides, the difference in the F&O segment and the cash market for bank shares ââ¬â which was nearly 1% ââ¬â was more than the overall market.
But, the situation is not as grim as it was in May 2006. Investshoppe's Kapur said in May 2006, the open position was very large. Besides, small retail investors too had taken large position. This time, these investors are not so active in the F&O segment.
As a result, analysts said, the selling pressure due to F&O segment could soon be a thing of the past.
NEW DELHI: With investors having invested heavily in the futures & optins segment of the market, a further fall in the stock markets in the coming days is not ruled out by brokers and fund managers.
With equity markets taking a U-turn on Monday, investors are expected to sell in the F&O segment to contain losses. At the same time, the fall in this segment will prompt investors to put in margin money for which they might liquidate their position in the cash segment.
"The viscious circle will put pressure on the market as a whole," said Investshoppe CEO Ashish Kapur. According to estimates, the open position in the F&O segment is around Rs 50,000 crore. The trend was evident even on Monday, when investors rushed to the cash segment as the NSE Nifty fell so that they could square up their positions in the F&O segment.
While this increased the selling pressure in the F&O segment, there were very few buyers. So, prices of future contracts dipped. Futures based on Nifty index, which would mature in December 28, 2006, fell to close at 3,839 points, while Nifty 50 closed at 3,849 points in cash market. This indicated that the market expected Nifty to fall further ââ¬â albeit marginally.
The NSE index for banking stocks fell to 5,181 points, while in the cash segment the index closed at 5,244 points. That means, the fall in banking stocks is likely to continue for a few more days. Besides, the difference in the F&O segment and the cash market for bank shares ââ¬â which was nearly 1% ââ¬â was more than the overall market.
But, the situation is not as grim as it was in May 2006. Investshoppe's Kapur said in May 2006, the open position was very large. Besides, small retail investors too had taken large position. This time, these investors are not so active in the F&O segment.
As a result, analysts said, the selling pressure due to F&O segment could soon be a thing of the past.