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India-Pakistan military balance

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Hayreddin

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In straight numerical terms of population, economic might, military manpower and equipment it is almost meaningless to speak about an India-Pakistan balance.

"Imbalance" would be a more appropriate term since India dominates in every respect.

What has to be understood from the outset is that the two countries have very different military aspirations.

Indian Agni II missile
India is eager to project its power in the region

India sees itself as a rising regional actor, and it sees military power as one element in this process.

As any aspiring regional player must do, it looks around for potential partners and potential enemies.

China too has growing regional ambitions. The two countries need not be enemies, but clearly India's military planners must have at least one eye on China as they draw up their own modernisation proposals.

Pakistan is in an altogether different position. It seeks to provide itself with the military means to deter any pressure from India.

It cannot match India man-for-man or gun-for-gun. But as it modernises its armed forces, it can seek to invest in those technologies that maximise its capabilities and take an effective toll against any enemy.

India modernises

India's broader strategic goals mean that it is pursuing an ambitious modernisation programme across all of its armed services.

The air force is getting the largest share of new money, with plans for new combat aircraft, airborne warning and control systems and missiles.

The army is destined to get new tanks and new artillery.

The navy hopes to deploy new Russian-built warships, along with home-constructed vessels, new aircraft carriers and new submarines.

The plan is to spend some $95bn over the next 15 years. How far these plans actually come to fruition will depend both on economics and upon potential suppliers.

India also has huge maintenance problems, in part due to the poor supply of spares from Russia but also to inadequate local servicing facilities.

India is eager to boost its own impressive arms industry but for the foreseeable future, many "big ticket" items will come from abroad.

Russian supplies

Russia is still the principal source of advance weaponry and looks set to continue in this role.

A protocol signed between the two governments in June 2001 covers Russian supplies of some $10bn worth of weaponry and other military hardware over the coming decade.

In January, India agreed to lease four nuclear-capable Tupolev Tu-22 long-range bombers from Russia along with two nuclear-powered submarines.


India is also developing a close and little-reported relationship with Israel, whose own arms industry has much to offer in terms of cutting-edge technology

India is seeking to blend Russian, western and local technology in an effort to tailor its military equipment to its own needs. The Sukhoi Su-30 Mk I fighter is a good example.

The first squadron of these advanced fighters entered service last September. Their hi-tech control systems incorporate a number of Indian and Western built elements, incorporated into the Russian air-frame.

Interestingly, India is interested in Russian air defence systems as well, with persistent reports that India's long-term aim is to deploy an anti-ballistic missile system of its own, perhaps based upon the Russian S-300VM system.

It is not surprising then that India has responded in generally positive terms to US President George W Bush's proposals for limited missile defence.

Delhi is also developing a close and little-reported relationship with Israel, whose own arms industry has much to offer in terms of cutting-edge technology, especially in fields like unmanned reconnaissance aircraft and air-launched munitions.

India's rise is acknowledged in Washington and there is a lot of talk about a potential US-Indian strategic partnership, though nuclear-proliferation issues continue to dog relations.

China helps Pakistan

In the face of India's growing military arsenal, Pakistan is seeking to modernise its forces.

Clearly, it has put a good deal of effort into the nuclear and missile fields - areas where it can at least offer some credible deterrent against a potential threat.

China remains Pakistan's principal arms supplier, though Pakistan's purchases are modest in comparison to India's.


Some sort of strategic understanding between the two countries is important

It has recently begun to receive the first deliveries of 50 Chinese F-7MG aircraft. And the two countries continue to collaborate on a joint programme for a new combat jet.

Pakistan also gets small amounts of sophisticated weaponry from France, notably eight upgraded Mirage III and Mirage V combat aircraft.

France is also supplying Pakistan with new, badly needed, diesel submarines. The first was commissioned in late 1999, with two more being built under licence in Karachi.

Pakistan is also eager to diversify its arms purchases - it bought battle tanks from Ukraine and is reportedly exploring the possibility of starting local production of an upgraded version known as the Al Khalid.

This is a priority since India recently signed a deal to buy over 300 Russian T-90 tanks.

But overall India's conventional dominance is something that Pakistan cannot match.

Its essential policy is to have sufficient forces to inflict heavy casualties on any attacker in the event of a war, while relying upon its nuclear forces to deter any conflict in the first place.

This is why some sort of strategic understanding between the two countries is important.

The development of their military doctrine - how and in what circumstances long-range missiles or even nuclear weapons might be used - has not kept pace with the physical development of such weapons.

India clearly has far more military options than Pakistan. But its chief strategic concern is China. Pakistan in turn is worried by India's military modernisation.

This is a complex triangular relationship which in purely strategic terms may be hard to isolate in terms of just the relationship between Delhi and Islamabad.
 
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Thats a well constructed article , albeit one that I have seen somewhere before.

India possibly needs to have enough in it's arsenal to deter any adventure into it's territory by China and Pakistan should have enough to deter any Indian misadventures and not give away a piece of it's own land.

However , sometimes the truly massive military expansion plans of China and India go above my head - I'm not a great advocate for an arms race.
 
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These are 2002 estimates not latest. Please quote latest estimate to carry out comparison.
 
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not such mega change till 2008 ,just minute changes ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,which can be figured out
 
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In straight numerical terms of population, economic might, military manpower and equipment it is almost meaningless to speak about an India-Pakistan balance.

get the drift!
 
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India is around 5 times larger than Pakistan so it has a greater need for a large armed force and as Fatman has pointed out this includes factors like population etc.
 
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Well said JK!!
 
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its not about numbers its about the force and situations
everything could happen
i mean look at kargill; pakistan won but because of bad leadership [nawaz shariff] we lost our greatest victory
 
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agreed with you captain. even we are the underdogs but we won a one war against india.
 
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In kargil matter we cant blame only NAWAZ SHAREEF , actually situation e best was bit complicated than we know, some Army officers say tat lack of best planning of GENERALS ,IT WAS good but not the best ,our ARMY went ahead to capture vacant area of kargil more than they planned ,(as we know in winter season both sides left their posts in the past ) , so it created great problems for TRANSPORT line n other such complications ,second thing we couldnt use the air cover but on the other hand INDIA used full AIR POWER ,but despite of all these things our soldiers fought bravely for several days n survived for alot of time without food ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
 
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its not about numbers its about the force and situations
everything could happen
i mean look at kargill; pakistan won but because of bad leadership [nawaz shariff] we lost our greatest victory

Regret to say that this statement defies logic. By no stretch of imagination can Kargil be called a victory. NLI took over empty Indian posts, these were not won over remember. For whatever reasons, Pakistan agreed to vacate these posts when majority of these had already been re-captured. This is the fact.

You my call it bad leadership but how can anyone with sane mind can say we 'Won'. It appears that a lot of my country men are still living in cuckoo land. Worst thing anyone can do is to underestimate your adversary. No wonder Pakistan is in a mess.
 
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Regret to say that this statement defies logic. By no stretch of imagination can Kargil be called a victory. NLI took over empty Indian posts, these were not won over remember. For whatever reasons, Pakistan agreed to vacate these posts when majority of these had already been re-captured. This is the fact.

You my call it bad leadership but how can anyone with sane mind can say we 'Won'. It appears that a lot of my country men are still living in cuckoo land. Worst thing anyone can do is to underestimate your adversary. No wonder Pakistan is in a mess.

pakistan did win u can ask any high post pak army individual from that time
 
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MR Captain ,The underground reality depicts some bitter truths,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
 
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India is around 5 times larger than Pakistan so it has a greater need for a large armed force .


Your geographic knowledge is quite poor & stereophonic misled
INDIA
Area: 3.1 million sq km (1.2 million sq miles), excluding Indian-administered Kashmir (100,569 sq km/38,830 sq miles)

BBC NEWS | South Asia | Country profiles | Country profile: India

PAKISTAN
Area:796,095 sq km (307,374 sq miles), excluding Pakistani-administered Kashmir (83,716 sq km/32,323 sq miles)

BBC NEWS | South Asia | Country profiles | Country profile: Pakistan

PAKISTAN : 307,374 sq miles + 32,323 sq miles = 339697 sq miles

INDIA :1.2 million sq miles + 38,830 sq miles = 1238830 sq miles

=3.6468676496995852185918627482727

so INDIA is approximately "3.6" &half times & NOT 5 times bigger then PAKISTAN as you said.

thank you
 
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