pikkuboss
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They can play together. Already they are pushing for a base price. Once base price is set, all are same.
India is sitting on Half Trillion $$ in Foreign exchange Reserves Tonight
- Thread starter The Maverick
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I bought Vodafone shares at Rs 3 -last month, now they are at 11. Rooting for them.
Yes, but in the long-run, cartelization between 3 is much harder than with 2.
I don't understand this hoarding of so much foreign exchange, while weakening our currency ?
We arnrt exactly a export oriented country that needs to continuously weaken its currency to remain competitive.
Since we import more than we export, why make the imported stuff unnecessarily expensive for the common man ?
@Nilgiri
We arnrt exactly a export oriented country that needs to continuously weaken its currency to remain competitive.
Since we import more than we export, why make the imported stuff unnecessarily expensive for the common man ?
@Nilgiri
pikkuboss
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I bought 10000 shares at around same price but sold at 9, not looking to buy anymore.
True. But no business can run in losses. Voda-Idea are already in deep trouble. I don't think they are capable of playing any Tripoly game even if they stay in the market. They will just go with the flow.
Kindly let it remain a economics thread. Write if u can add value, else lots of other threads.
Fireurimagination
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This $500 billion is all in USDs (I understand the value is that much) or it's mix of all other currencies as well?
Chhatrapati
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It's the Dollar value of all the assets held, including Euro, Yen, Dollar, etc... Gold, SDR, IMF reserve and sovereign bonds.
I am on the topic and discussing about how Modi has mortgaged India's future.
Read below.
No wonder he brought his chamchas into RBI to help mortgage India's future.
Dollar debt dangers: Budget decision to issue foreign currency debt has no real benefit and enormous risks
July 13, 2019, 2:00 AM IST Raghuram Rajan in TOI Edit Page | Economy, Edit Page, India | TOI
In her Budget speech, finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman said that India would start borrowing in external markets in external currencies. This is a marked change from the past when India issued government bonds in rupees, and borrowed in foreign exchange only from official lenders like the World Bank. Two possible rationales in the speech are that, first, “India’s sovereign external debt to GDP is among the lowest globally at less than 5%” and, second, this will “have [a] beneficial impact on [the] demand situation for the government securities in domestic market”.
Chad Crowe
The first is not really a rationale. India’s sovereign external debt is low precisely because past policymakers worried about the risks of issuing in foreign currency. Indeed, Arun Jaitley wrote in the finance ministry’s own status paper on public debt published in February 2018 that “Most of the debt is of domestic origin insulating the debt portfolio from currency risk. The limited external debt, almost entirely from official sources on concessional terms, provides safety from volatility in the international financial markets.” Has India’s fiscal situation or its economic growth become so much healthier since that status paper that these concerns are no longer germane? Most observers would think not.
The second rationale suggests the primary aim is to finance the public sector borrowing requirement. Optimistic budgetary projections and off-budget borrowing suggests this might yet be large despite the conservative stated deficit numbers. Yet even here the rationale is unclear. If the government wants to attract more foreign money to supplement domestic savings, it does not need to issue a sovereign bond, all it needs to do is to increase current ceilings on foreign portfolio investment into government rupee bonds. The effect is the same – more foreign inflows – but the government security is issued in rupees. So why issue a foreign currency denominated bond?
Moreover, there seems to be some confusion over whether a foreign dollar issuance will reduce the amount of domestic government bonds the domestic market will have to absorb. The reality is that if the RBI sterilizes the foreign exchange inflows (as some commentators advocate) by buying dollars and selling its holding of government bonds, it will not reduce the domestic government bonds the market has to absorb an iota. So what is the real rationale for this adventurous move?
Foreign bankers often meet finance ministry officials, trying to persuade India to issue a foreign bond. In my experience, they usually started by saying that such borrowing would be cheaper because dollar or yen interest rates are lower than rupee interest rates. This argument is bogus – usually the lower dollar interest rate is offset in the longer run by higher principal repayments as the rupee depreciates against the dollar. Moreover, times when the rupee depreciates significantly (such as during the Taper Tantrum) are times when India’s image amongst international investors is bad, and the higher repayment requirement on dollar debt could lead to even greater market turmoil. For this reason, most countries issue government debt in foreign currency only when they are unable to issue in their own currency.
The bankers then switched to arguing that this will bring a whole set of new investors from abroad into Indian government debt – investors who simply do not want to bother with the hassles of registration in India. We should worry about the nature of such investors. If they cannot be bothered to register as foreign portfolio investors, or cannot pass our Know Your Customer filter, will they really be the kind of investors we want? Might they be short term faddish investors, buying when India is “hot”, and dumping us when it is not? Could the resulting volatility in India’s debt traded on foreign exchanges then transmit to our domestic G-Sec market? Would the foreign tail wag the domestic dog?
The bankers typically shifted arguments once again – this time to emphasize that foreign trading would enhance liquidity in government issuances. Perhaps, but if that trading were done in India (by encouraging those investors to buy and sell G-Secs in India), would not the liquidity of local trading increase yet more? Do we want stronger Indian markets or stronger foreign markets? Far better than issuing a foreign currency bond abroad (where we have absolutely no control over who invests) would be to relax our requirements for foreigners to register as foreign portfolio investors, or if we have absolutely no concern about who invests, eliminating these requirements entirely (this in my view, is a step whose time has still not come).
The bankers had one last try. They argued that Indian government foreign issuances at different maturities would create a yield curve that would allow foreign issuances of Indian corporations to be more easily priced. It is hard to imagine though that Indian government issuances abroad would be liquid enough to create a useful yield curve – except for the current 10 year bond, most government issuances even in India are not traded enough to establish credible prices. And if so, the issuances by quasi-sovereigns like State Bank of India should give traders a pricing benchmark that is only modestly more inaccurate.
The bankers were only doing their job – trying to earn underwriting fees for their banks. But the government has to keep India’s safety and needs in mind when sifting through their proposals.
A small issuance will likely not be problematic. The concern is that once the door is opened, the government will be tempted to issue more, much more, with attendant risks – after all, all addictions start small.
There is, however, another reason to avoid foreign issuances. In the past, India has stated its desire to internationalize the rupee eventually – to make it a currency that other countries will use. The first step has been to make the rupee more attractive by bringing down domestic inflation. Now that we have done that, why not focus on making rupee assets more desirable and liquid? If rupee internationalization is still the intent, why do we want to create unnecessary competition for rupee assets and Indian markets by denominating India’s most sought-after financial asset, its government bond, in foreign currency?
https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com...-debt-has-no-real-benefit-and-enormous-risks/
Jackdaws
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I picked up Voda stock a month ago at 3.25. Last week it touched 12. Google is gonna buy a stake soon.
Secularindian
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Why are we letting our currency weaken so much and making imports expensive ? Why is the rbi buying dollars and depreciating the rupee ?
That's speculation. I hope they do. Voda-Idea needs a lifeline.
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