Xeric
RETIRED THINK TANK
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You started well in the first two paragraphs, but what happened in the remaining two?US will leave, there is no doubt. They can not sustain the costs of operations on a continuous basis. But when, will be the issue. The question of withdrawl does not arise with the present prevalent situation. Obama's statement of withdrawl may only be for domestic consumption
As for India "begging" ... we dont. At worst, we will have to stop all work there and focus more on military support for Afghani National Army in which even Iran and Russia will again jump in keeping in view the absence of US troops and common threat - back to the days of Northern Alliance. For all you know, we may just see Iranians doing more than simply suporting.
Only downside to a US withdrawl will be the increase in available "non-state" actors, as GoP loves to call them, who can be pushed into J&K by official "non-state" Pakistani ISI "rogue" elements, to bolster the insurgency in that state and we may see an upward spiral in level of violence in valley.
This may not be bad at all as more influx of foreign fighters would be deterimental to the overall cause of "freedom" for Kashmir as we know what happened the last time there was a surge in numbers of foreign fighters in valley - the price exacted of the people they were fighting to 'free' was too high for those very people!
We welcome US withdrawl. It shall give us more space ....
Anywaz, here's a question; how many Pathan fighters did india actually kill or catch in Kashmir. Dont confuse it with '47-'48 war.
If we need to send in people crooks in lame organizations like JuD can do the 'service' very well
Moreover, we also have our share of Thackerys and Modis who can also 'help' getting the job done
We dont require Afg for the purpose. It is just another false claim and an attempt to "Appeal to Fear" by india to hide its nefarious designs inside Afg and malign Pakistan, meanwhile show Pakistan as a state sponsor of terrorism, although india herself have unleashed un-matchable state-terrorism inside Kashmir.