jhungary
MILITARY PROFESSIONAL
- Joined
- Oct 24, 2012
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US will still be basing those ship from Taiwan, Japan, South Korea, Philippine, Guam as far as Singapore and Australia/New Zealand. I mean just because Taiwan declare independence does not mean the aforementioned country would stop US Navy using their base, those are already existed infrastructure. So when you attack outside China, you are extending your supply line while the US will use existing supply line from the aforementioned country.Wait... only possible China and US in break out war if Taiwan try to claim independent. U.S sent their fleet to help Taiwan during China unify Taiwan by force. China has very right to unify Taiwan for every reason even U.S agree one China policy. So the aggressor is U.S not China. China will not attack U.S fleet and U.S base first but if U.S sent the carrier fleet to intervene Chinese civil war, then China has no choice. You can brock sea lane all you want because you also block your products from China to U.S. China can produce any thing our own. So let see who going to die first.
And no. if China ATTACK Taiwan, the aggressor will ALWAYS be China, US agrees on status quo, with one China, US does not agree Taiwan as part of China.
And finally China is not a resource rich country, you will need to depend on raw material for production, China currently importing Iron Ore, Refined Copper, Aluminium and Electronic Parts and a lot of them are from the West (Australia for Iron Ore, Copper and Bauxite, Japan for IC Chips) you can expect these country to stop exporting China their raw materials, while some can be sourced with an alternative, but that would mean a longer supply chain or even a naval blockade which would hamper Chinese manufacturing effort, some like Aluminium, are not replaceable.