IDN TAKE: India’s Defence Preparedness in the Western Front in Present Geopolitical Context

[Zarvan]

by Dibyendu Sekhar Kumar

Present Environment and Points to Ponder:

The border talks between Indian and Pakistan armed forces have been in right spirits because both sides confined the discussions to technicalities of containing the tensions in border. The Pakistani officers were led by Rangers Director General Umar Farooq Burki and the Indian side was led by BSF Director DK Pathak. The Director Generals of the BSF and Pakistan Rangers held discussions till Saturday (12.09.15) and as it appears the situation which was close to boiling point two weeks prior to this had some what settled down as we have not heard large scale cross border firing in last couple of months. The talks as wanted by India had been confined to (1) restraint at LOC and (2) control of infiltration of terrorists.

The situation was in sharp contrast to fanfare with which the rhetoric ridden Pak withdrawal from NSA levels talks occurred two weeks prior to this on the grounds of India’s denial of approval to their meeting the Hurriyat members and incorporating Kashmir on the agenda. If we look into our self interest only India has still nothing to gain in any meeting at levels higher than the DGs as long as the border tension is kept at a low key.

For that reason no undue interest or hurry need to be shown on NSA level meets or meeting between PMs as these meetings for India can produce precious little. Expatriating Dawood and other miscreants can never be possible unless it is done through International pressure and consequent back channel diplomacy as the nexus of Army-ISI-terrorists in Pakistan will never be amenable to Pak PM. This nexus is the protector of Dawood and his compatriots as they protected Laden in Abbotabad fortress. USA and NATO could outplay this nexus for their strategic gains, but for us within our limited means it will remain a far cry.

In strategic international fora China plays its hidden cards to support Pakistan with obvious economic as well as strategic interests. Hence our China policy needs to be seriously revisited. A Chinese incursion in the northern front is quite remote now as it can be noted that China is having border disputes with all its southern neighbours and even with Russia in the north west. They are hard put to maintain a non aggressive image to assume a leading international peace keeping role at least in Asia and the far east from which Pak will gain a distinct advantage over India if we do not play our cards well.

Need of the Coming Decade:

In order to divert attention from domestic problem of terror and smoldering civil unrest, Pak along with its perpetual attempt to set ablaze Kashmir which India is hard put to quell, may also attempt a misadventure with covert help of China on India’s border to advance the LOC of Azad Kashmir as far as possible which inturn will make further ground for harbouring ISIS like terrorist camps of Azad Kashmir. Therefore before a combined combat force consisting of Iran, Afghanistan , India and Russia needs to be formed to confront the advances of ISIS beyond Syria and Iraq. This combined front which should be nuclear capable in short range is essential to be made to resist once and for all the spread of ISIS which can not be subdued by remote control of the West and indirect fueling and funding by Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and UAE which will inevitably eclipse this subcontinent if not thwarted on time and persistently on their constant advances over the years.

Hence India’s defense preparedness needs to be on the top order for meeting (a) some such sudden advances from Pakistan in 2 to 3 years and beyond that (b) to confront ISIS in its advances to infiltrate into the subcontinent. In this context it is of absolute importance that Iran and Afganistan are taken in full confidence by India against ISIS siting the instability that the rogue terrorist group has created in Iraq and thus prevent the route of ISIS through Iran which has borders with Iraq and Afganistan as well. It is needless to say that India is already a declared destination in the ISIS agenda.

They would strategically prefer sea route to land for infiltrating into India avoiding the perilous journey through Pakistan. So long India has done very litttle to protect its huge western coastline except deploying a few Pak- specific aircraft carriers. There is much to do in this regard to have a paradigm shift in our naval capability on the west i.e. on the Arabian sea. ISIS invasion will definitely not come by a large armada but may arrive in thousands by means of apparently innocuous fishing boats over several months and years landing stealthily on India’s vast western coastline and releasing terrorists in hundreds with their arsenal. Our naval preparedness should preempt ISIS advances. It will also need a huge paramilitary waiting to crush them on landing. Nabbing them and bringing them to trial would be ineffective as slight delay will enable them to mingle with the Indian population and form an inextricable and unassailable part of the coastal inhabitants on whom we can not wage a war.

Dibyendu Sekhar Kumar is an avid Defence enthusiast and a great Fan of IDN. This analytical piece was written by him exclusively for IDN.
Admin - IDN

Indian Defence News: IDN TAKE: India’s Defence Preparedness in the Western Front in Present Geopolitical Context
@nair @GURU DUTT @MilSpec @AUSTERLITZ @SarthakGanguly

 

[MilSpec]

We have dealt with assymetric threat for decades despite what new label they come with, doesn't matter if it is JKLF, Albadr, HuM, Hizbul Muj, Jem, Let, HuJi, Fancy dress Mujhahideen party, AQ, Taliban or ISIS, what ever the label is, it will be the same equation for us, their heads, our boots.

by Dibyendu Sekhar Kumar

Present Environment and Points to Ponder:

The border talks between Indian and Pakistan armed forces have been in right spirits because both sides confined the discussions to technicalities of containing the tensions in border. The Pakistani officers were led by Rangers Director General Umar Farooq Burki and the Indian side was led by BSF Director DK Pathak. The Director Generals of the BSF and Pakistan Rangers held discussions till Saturday (12.09.15) and as it appears the situation which was close to boiling point two weeks prior to this had some what settled down as we have not heard large scale cross border firing in last couple of months. The talks as wanted by India had been confined to (1) restraint at LOC and (2) control of infiltration of terrorists.

The situation was in sharp contrast to fanfare with which the rhetoric ridden Pak withdrawal from NSA levels talks occurred two weeks prior to this on the grounds of India’s denial of approval to their meeting the Hurriyat members and incorporating Kashmir on the agenda. If we look into our self interest only India has still nothing to gain in any meeting at levels higher than the DGs as long as the border tension is kept at a low key.

For that reason no undue interest or hurry need to be shown on NSA level meets or meeting between PMs as these meetings for India can produce precious little. Expatriating Dawood and other miscreants can never be possible unless it is done through International pressure and consequent back channel diplomacy as the nexus of Army-ISI-terrorists in Pakistan will never be amenable to Pak PM. This nexus is the protector of Dawood and his compatriots as they protected Laden in Abbotabad fortress. USA and NATO could outplay this nexus for their strategic gains, but for us within our limited means it will remain a far cry.

In strategic international fora China plays its hidden cards to support Pakistan with obvious economic as well as strategic interests. Hence our China policy needs to be seriously revisited. A Chinese incursion in the northern front is quite remote now as it can be noted that China is having border disputes with all its southern neighbours and even with Russia in the north west. They are hard put to maintain a non aggressive image to assume a leading international peace keeping role at least in Asia and the far east from which Pak will gain a distinct advantage over India if we do not play our cards well.

Need of the Coming Decade:

In order to divert attention from domestic problem of terror and smoldering civil unrest, Pak along with its perpetual attempt to set ablaze Kashmir which India is hard put to quell, may also attempt a misadventure with covert help of China on India’s border to advance the LOC of *** as far as possible which inturn will make further ground for harbouring ISIS like terrorist camps of ***. Therefore before a combined combat force consisting of Iran, Afghanistan , India and Russia needs to be formed to confront the advances of ISIS beyond Syria and Iraq. This combined front which should be nuclear capable in short range is essential to be made to resist once and for all the spread of ISIS which can not be subdued by remote control of the West and indirect fueling and funding by Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and UAE which will inevitably eclipse this subcontinent if not thwarted on time and persistently on their constant advances over the years.

Hence India’s defense preparedness needs to be on the top order for meeting (a) some such sudden advances from Pakistan in 2 to 3 years and beyond that (b) to confront ISIS in its advances to infiltrate into the subcontinent. In this context it is of absolute importance that Iran and Afganistan are taken in full confidence by India against ISIS siting the instability that the rogue terrorist group has created in Iraq and thus prevent the route of ISIS through Iran which has borders with Iraq and Afganistan as well. It is needless to say that India is already a declared destination in the ISIS agenda.

They would strategically prefer sea route to land for infiltrating into India avoiding the perilous journey through Pakistan. So long India has done very litttle to protect its huge western coastline except deploying a few Pak- specific aircraft carriers. There is much to do in this regard to have a paradigm shift in our naval capability on the west i.e. on the Arabian sea. ISIS invasion will definitely not come by a large armada but may arrive in thousands by means of apparently innocuous fishing boats over several months and years landing stealthily on India’s vast western coastline and releasing terrorists in hundreds with their arsenal. Our naval preparedness should preempt ISIS advances. It will also need a huge paramilitary waiting to crush them on landing. Nabbing them and bringing them to trial would be ineffective as slight delay will enable them to mingle with the Indian population and form an inextricable and unassailable part of the coastal inhabitants on whom we can not wage a war.

Dibyendu Sekhar Kumar is an avid Defence enthusiast and a great Fan of IDN. This analytical piece was written by him exclusively for IDN.
Admin - IDN

Indian Defence News: IDN TAKE: India’s Defence Preparedness in the Western Front in Present Geopolitical Context
@nair @GURU DUTT @MilSpec @AUSTERLITZ @SarthakGanguly

 

[Spectre]

We have dealt with assymetric threat for decades despite what new label they come with, doesn't matter if it is JKLF, Albadr, HuM, Hizbul Muj, Jem, Let, HuJi, Fancy dress Mujhahideen party, AQ, Taliban or ISIS, what ever the label is, it will be the same equation for us, their heads, our boots.

The Problem has never been external but internal. India is vulnerable because the integration has still not happened to the extent desirable. There is steady pool of recruits which can be mobalised to wreak havoc but pre-emption is difficult because of political ramifications. Paris was a prime example and it would be even easier in India as the physically it impossible to screen undesirable elements unlike in west were the skin color is the dead give away.

 

[Zarvan]

The Problem has never been external but internal. India is vulnerable because the integration has still not happened to the extent desirable. There is steady pool of recruits which can be mobalised to wreak havoc but pre-emption is difficult because of political ramifications. Paris was a prime example and it would be even easier in India as the physically it impossible to screen undesirable elements unlike in west were the skin color is the dead give away.

I agree with you to some extent but Pakistan and China both are threat and their power is growing. As for internal threat your present Government and its buddy RSS are biggest threats to internal security

 

[Talwar e Pakistan]

The Problem has never been external but internal. India is vulnerable because the integration has still not happened to the extent desirable. There is steady pool of recruits which can be mobalised to wreak havoc but pre-emption is difficult because of political ramifications. Paris was a prime example and it would be even easier in India as the physically it impossible to screen undesirable elements unlike in west were the skin color is the dead give away.

Paris took a couple hours to take care of; Mumbai took 4 days. Paris police did not flee. 2 platoons of Mumbai police fled because of two attackers; imagine the rest.

 

[MilSpec]

The Problem has never been external but internal. India is vulnerable because the integration has still not happened to the extent desirable. There is steady pool of recruits which can be mobalised to wreak havoc but pre-emption is difficult because of political ramifications. Paris was a prime example and it would be even easier in India as the physically it impossible to screen undesirable elements unlike in west were the skin color is the dead give away.

The pool you are referring to are empowered during riots and in Mob setting.
India as a state doesn't have issues which makes religious minorities take up arms and go against the state. It does that to geographical groups where religion is not really an issue due to weak state governments and mismanaged bureaucracy i.e. Maoists.

 

[Rajaraja Chola]

Paris took a couple hours to take care of; Mumbai took 4 days. Paris police did not flee. 2 platoons of Mumbai police fled because of two attackers; imagine the rest.

Where do u have same the source idiot? Mumbai Anti terror chief died. Police constable Omkar died nabbing Kasab and protecting his Police brothers .
STFU

 

[raj76]

Paris took a couple hours to take care of; Mumbai took 4 days. Paris police did not flee. 2 platoons of Mumbai police fled because of two attackers; imagine the rest.

lol Terrorists were pakistani thats the difference made from original mould these syrians iraqis are just u r copycats they can never be as good as pakistani trained ones (1 NUMBER )

 

[HariPrasad]

Are @Zarvan bhai aaj kal aap to badhiya badhiya article psot karte ho. Mer hath mai hota to mai aap ko positive rating deta.

 

[vayuputhra]

[QUOTE="Spectre, post: 7914333, member: 169484integrlem has never been external but internal. India is vulnerable because the integration has still not happened to the extent desirable. There is steady pool of recruits which can be mobalised to wreak havoc but pre-emption is difficult because of political ramifications. Paris was a prime example and it would be even easier in India as the physically it impossible to screen undesirable elements unlike in west were the skin color is the dead give away.[/QUOTE]
In your dream, we indians know Pakistan is not integrated, balochistan, FATA, you are so much integrated that you have to carpet bomb marriage parties and call it zarb-e-gazabnow the gilgit baltistanis are starting to revolt.

 

[GR!FF!N]

Paris took a couple hours to take care of; Mumbai took 4 days. Paris police did not flee. 2 platoons of Mumbai police fled because of two attackers; imagine the rest.

Just returned from "Coffee with Hafiz Saeed",are we??

 

[Spectre]

The pool you are referring to are empowered during riots and in Mob setting.
India as a state doesn't have issues which makes religious minorities take up arms and go against the state. It does that to geographical groups where religion is not really an issue due to weak state governments and mismanaged bureaucracy i.e. Maoists.

Yeah, the pool wasn't exclusive to Muslims but referred to dissatisfied and disenfranchised groupings. These people are not above taking external support from either State or Non state actors to foment trouble.

 

[Talwar e Pakistan]

lol Terrorists were pakistani thats the difference made from original mould these syrians iraqis are just u r copycats they can never be as good as pakistani trained ones (1 NUMBER )

If 10 young men besieged India's largest city, then imagine an Army of 600,000 grown Pakistani men.

 

[SarthakGanguly]

As for internal threat your present Government and its buddy RSS are biggest threats to internal security

Just like the intensely secular France was a threat to France.

 

[Zarvan]

Just like the intensely secular France was a threat to France.

France when was other side it was even than a threat to himself and not because of being secular or religious but because of its policies of attacking Muslims and killing 10 million Muslims when they ruled Algeria and Tunisia. Yes Paris attacks are bad and should be condemned those who did should be punished but France also needs to stop attacking Muslim lands.