How PTI can win a majority in Sindh

[prop558]

Do you mean they are importing people from interior to karachi

They do... All police officers, commissioners and etc do come from interior Sindh....

 

[prop558]

How to deal with the issue of Sindh and how to release Karachi from the grip of the Zardari PPP waderas is one of the most important problems that Pakistan faces today. With Karachi being the most populous city in Pakistan and its industrial and financial center, the city is critical for Pakistan's economic growth.

The country will never be able to realize its economic potential without Karachi being released from the control of the Zardari PPP waderas.

The Pakistani establishment has tried to make life easy for themselves by handing over Karachi to Zardari permanently. No matter who the people of Karachi vote for the city is always controlled by PPP through their provincial assembly seats in rural Sindh. They have no sympathy with the people of Karachi and basically loot the city non-stop, turning it into a dump.

The 18th Amendment to the constitution of Pakistan have handed most administrative powers to the provinces, turning them into semi-autonomous countries, independent of the federal government. The constitution provides for local governments, but this has not been implemented in defiance of the law.

The federal government, therefore, has little power in Karachi, and the local government is toothless. Everything is controlled by the provincial government and that is controlled by the Zardari mafia.

There are many ways of liberating Karachi from PPP.

1. Full Reforms. New constitution in Pakistan that creates 32+ provinces. This way Karachi becomes a separate province.
2. Limited Reforms. Only a few new provinces are created, like South Punjab and Karachi.
3. Karachi is declared a federal territory.
4. PTI wins a majority in the Sindh assembly.

My preferred option is number 1, because the whole country needs fixing, not just Karachi. But assuming that PTI is not bold enough to implement revolutionary changes in Pakistan, there is a way to gain control of the Sindh assembly.

The main way that PPP keeps control over Sindh is by conducting fraudulent censuses.

In the 2017 census Karachi's population was counted as 15 million, when in reality it is closer to 25-30 million.

Population Distribution in Sindh According to Census 2017 (Population of Karachi: Reality vs Expectation) (Downloadable PDF)

If you include Hyderabad then Sindh's urban population is probably 65-70% urban. The seat distribution for the provincial assembly should reflect this if a free and fair census is conducted.

If/when PTI wins the elections and comes back to power one of the first things it should do is to hold a census in Sindh and then force an elections for the Sindh assembly.

PTI is likely to win a majority in the Sindh assembly, and will be able to carry out development activity in both rural Sindh and Karachi.

They should also get rid of the 18th Amendment and create local bodies based on international norms, so that local governments can work properly. For example, in other countries the police is always in the control of local governments, not the provincial government, like in Sindh.

The warlords of Sindh, like Zardari and the PPP waderas will threaten a Sindhudesh movement if they see their power slipping, but that is a separate issue and will need to be dealt with by the army.

PTI Can Win - Adjustment with GDA :

NA 207 - Sukkur II - PTI Mubeen Jatoi lost with 60,089 against PPP 69,379 - Difference 9,290.

NA 220 - Umerkot - PTI Shah Mehmood Qureshi lost with 104,267 against PPP 162,979 - Difference 58,613.

NA 221 - Tharparkar I - PTI Shah Mehmood Qureshi lost with 72,127 against PPP 79,098 - Difference - 6,971.

NA 234 - Dadu - PTI Liaqat Jatoi (Ex CM Sindh) lost with 82,730 against PPP 98,038 - Difference 15,308.

GDA Can Win - Adjustment with PTI :

NA 208 Ghotki - GDA Ghaus Ali Shah lost with 57,477 against PPP 107,847 - Difference 50,370.

NA 210 Khairpur III - GDA Kazim Ali Shah lost with 78,525 against PPP 90,718 - Difference 12,193

NA 212 Noshero Feroze - GDA Murtaza Jatoi (s/o Mustafa Jatoi) lost with 84,361 against PPP 90,266 - Difference 5,905

NA 215 Sanghar I - GDA Khuda Bux Rajar lost with 77,227 against PPP 77,812 - Difference 585

NA 216 Sanghar II - GDA Kishan Chand lost with 70,436 against PPP 80,752 - Difference 10,316

NA 229 Badin I - GDA Hassam Mirza (s/o Zulfiqar Mirza) lost with 81,225 against PPP 96,977 - Difference 15,752.

PTI can Win - by giving tickets to the following INDEPENDENTS :

NA 198 Shikarpur - IND Ibrahim Ali Jatoi lost with 49,961 against PPP 64,187

NA 204 Ghotki I - IND Abdul Haq Mitha lost with 91,739 against PPP 99,878

NA 218 Mirpurkhas - IND Ali Nawaz Shah won with 75,795 against PPP 67,552

 

[pak-marine]

I think PTI should merge with labaik TLP call itself PTL

 

[prop558]

These are the possible seats of NATIONAL ASSEMBLY from Sindh ("other than Karachi) which PTI can win by having the seat adjustment with GDA.


PTI Can Win - Adjustment with GDA :

NA 207 - Sukkur II - PTI Mubeen Jatoi lost with 60,089 against PPP 69,379 - Difference 9,290.

NA 220 - Umerkot - PTI Shah Mehmood Qureshi lost with 104,267 against PPP 162,979 - Difference 58,613.

NA 221 - Tharparkar I - PTI Shah Mehmood Qureshi lost with 72,127 against PPP 79,098 - Difference - 6,971.

NA 234 - Dadu - PTI Liaqat Jatoi (Ex CM Sindh) lost with 82,730 against PPP 98,038 - Difference 15,308.

GDA Can Win - Adjustment with PTI :

NA 208 Ghotki - GDA Ghaus Ali Shah lost with 57,477 against PPP 107,847 - Difference 50,370.

NA 210 Khairpur III - GDA Kazim Ali Shah lost with 78,525 against PPP 90,718 - Difference 12,193

NA 212 Noshero Feroze - GDA Murtaza Jatoi (s/o Mustafa Jatoi) lost with 84,361 against PPP 90,266 - Difference 5,905

NA 215 Sanghar I - GDA Khuda Bux Rajar lost with 77,227 against PPP 77,812 - Difference 585

NA 216 Sanghar II - GDA Kishan Chand lost with 70,436 against PPP 80,752 - Difference 10,316

NA 229 Badin I - GDA Hassam Mirza (s/o Zulfiqar Mirza) lost with 81,225 against PPP 96,977 - Difference 15,752.

PTI can Win - by giving tickets to the following INDEPENDENTS :

NA 198 Shikarpur - IND Ibrahim Ali Jatoi lost with 49,961 against PPP 64,187

NA 204 Ghotki I - IND Abdul Haq Mitha lost with 91,739 against PPP 99,878

NA 218 Mirpurkhas - IND Ali Nawaz Shah won with 75,795 against PPP 67,552

Exactly, supporting ethnic-nationalist parties is a receipe for disaster, and I’ll leave it there as not to spell out the dangers anymore then have been said. It’s also what foreign adversaries of Pakistan would like; dividing the nation up along ethnic lines and not differences of politics based on ideas.

Further, the best way is an open and fair census, and reallocation of seats based on the population. Any other proposal leaves open the possibility of the entrenched parties finding “legal” means to reverse the changes.

But this has to also be a policy platform of PTI nationwide, requiring redistribution of resources to areas of large population which have been relatively underserved in the past, such as South Punjab, as far as I understand (I’m open to being corrected if I’m wrong).

This is not to say, the shift in the budgets should be done in a dramatic way, as not to disrupt services people depend on, which would spark a backlash, but a 2-3 year gradual phase out and redistribution to correct for the ways of the past.