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How 14,000-crore budget cuts will affect India's armed forces

sudhir007

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How 14,000-crore budget cuts will affect India's armed forces | NDTV.com

The slow growth of the Indian economy in recent years has had a cascading effect on the country's military. According to government estimates, the defence budget for the current year, 2011-2012, has been cut by a whopping Rs. 14,000 crore and acquisitions of new weapon systems have been either put on hold or delayed. Defence ministry officials have told NDTV that the budget cut is the biggest in several years.

Talking to reporters at the recently concluded Aero India show in Bengaluru, Union Defence Minister AK Antony said, "India is not an island. The world economy is going through a tough time, we will have to cut down."

Mr Antony said that the government is drastically cutting down on expenditure across the board and "budget cuts fall on our department too." He said that there will be no cuts in "priority areas" and the "operational preparedness" of the military will not be affected.

Senior officials have told NDTV that out of the overall estimated cut, Rs. 10,000 crore comes from the capital budget, which means the defence ministry would have much less to spend on buying new systems to upgrade old and aging weapons. The rest, Rs. 4,000 crore, is expected to be slashed from the revenue budget, which is used for paying salaries and meeting other running costs of the armed forces.

The armed forces had sought an outlay of Rs. 2,39,123 crore this fiscal, which amounts to 2.35 per cent of the projected GDP for 2012-13. It was, however, given a little over Rs.1,93,000 crore. Out of this, about Rs. 67,000 crore is the capital expenditure budget; revenue budget is pegged at a little over Rs. 1,13,000 crore.

As a result of the cuts, almost all critical purchases of new weapons systems have been affected. India's single biggest defence deal ever, a contract with France for around 200 new-generation fighter jets - pegged at between $15-17 billion - has been deferred to the next financial year. Although negotiations with France are complete, India wants to stagger the acquisition because of the lack of funds.

Similarly, the purchase of Ultra-Light Howitzers from the US for deployment in the mountainous border areas to counter China has been delayed.

Sources have told NDTV that the Indian Navy's plans to rapidly replace its aging fleet of conventional submarines with six new submarines have been affected. Each new submarine is estimated to cost anything between Rs. 7000-8000 crore.

The proposal to equip every infantry battalion of the Indian Army deployed in the plains with Anti-Tank Guided Missiles (ATGMS) has also taken a hit. The Navy's proposal to acquire multi-role helicopters to replace the old Sea King helicopter fleet has been put in cold storage.

Last week, Union Finance Minister P Chidambaram, when asked about the cuts in the defence budget, said, "You must have the money to provide the money." He also said that this year's cut could be made good next year only if India recorded faster growth translating into more tax collections.

Modernisation of the Indian military was put on hold during the 1990s and the 2000s as India grappled with its new economic realities, and needs, post liberalisation. Most of the equipment that the armed forces currently use was developed either in the 1970s or 1980s. It was only in the latter part of the last decade that the focus shifted back on rapidly modernising the military so that it is capable of addressing the altered strategic realities in India's neighbourhood.
 
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Once FM is somehow able to bring down that GDP deficit to 5.3% of GDP mark, these things will return back to normal. It is present governments last full budget and they are counting to their last penny to to provide for another upcoming populist scheme Food Security Bill. Anyhow I don't think any long delivery schedule items should get affected. As they Say, THIS (Time) TOO SHALL PASS
 
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Interesting... the same thing happened with the Pakistan military too. About 2 years ago we were heading towards an arms race. Good thing that seems to have been averted.
 
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I think we need to cut down the numbers of foot soldiers and concentrate on making them agile and effective with modern equipments.
 
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First thing, India has to learn to balance its budget we have way too many tax loopholes, red tape, and stupid politicians with no knowledge of how to run the economy properly. Every year it is the same drama of going over the budget, we have to cut cost on the subsidy that we hand out, and try to increase our revenue. This whole vote bank politics of increasing subsidy to please the people then in future cutting funding from other sources is just plain out wrong. Who every is the next PM and I am hoping not congress because I don't like the same party/person in office more than one/two terms, should focus on expanding the government's revenue source so that we don't have to cut out military budget which is very essential since we just started our modernization program. And secondly gradually cut down on the ballooning subsidies on gas and other resources and invest that money on state run firms so they can work more efficiently.
 
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I think we need to cut down the numbers of foot soldiers and concentrate on making them agile and effective with modern equipments.

That will cost a heck of a lot more to maintain. There is a reason why poorer countries (non European, non American) all have a large number of foot soldiers and fewer mechanized/armored/heliborne units as compared to richer countries.

India, Pakistan, china all have a large number of infantry units, and fewer highly mobile and armored units. This may lead to less combat power per unit, but also cheaper costs to raise and maintain. The acquisition and operational costs of a tank or helicopter is a lot more than the cost required to train and pay several foot soldiers. That is why countries in Asia have one of the lowest expenditure to size ratio of armed forces.

We can't cut down on the number of foot soldiers unless we drastically mechanize our forces - and that will cost a lot more than what we will save by cutting down the number of foot soldiers. If anything, we are planning to INCREASE the number of foot soldiers, for the proposed new strike corps. Having such a large country and such a long border to defend, it is inevitable that we maintain a large number of foot soldiers.
 
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Global economic slowdown, indecisive government policies and a huge fiscal deficit arent going to help to lure investments, thats why we need to cut expenditures in all departments. Thats the right decision.

But 14,000 crore are about 2.6 billion USD, which is not really a big deal.
Only 1.9 Billion USD of the capital acquisition budget will be cut


Furthermore priority areas like the MMRCA deal wont be affected:

"He said that there will be no cuts in "priority areas" and the "operational preparedness" of the military will not be affected."
 
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Interesting... the same thing happened with the Pakistan military too. About 2 years ago we were heading towards an arms race. Good thing that seems to have been averted.

There is a difference. Pakistan has to keep spending its check because its economy does not have strong fundamentals. Tax evasion is still not checked.

Indian economy however has slowed down because GoI has spent too much on welfare schemes and subsidies. It has been a massive spend on welfare which has led to a high fiscal deficit, and high inflation. The FinMin has now outlined strict measures to curb deficit at 5.8% this year, 5.3% next year.

So arms spending should be back on track - ie increased outlay for arms from 20014 onwards.
 
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There is a difference. Pakistan has to keep spending its check because its economy does not have strong fundamentals. Tax evasion is still not checked.

Indian economy however has slowed down because GoI has spent too much on welfare schemes and subsidies. It has been a massive spend on welfare which has led to a high fiscal deficit, and high inflation. The FinMin has now outlined strict measures to curb deficit at 5.8% this year, 5.3% next year.

So arms spending should be back on track - ie increased outlay for arms from 20014 onwards.

Thats a quite optimistic look into the future ^^

Anyways, the global slowdown and the governments incapability to introduce economic reforms are the main problems for the slower GDP growth.

Lets be optimistic and hope that the global economy quickly recovers and that we get a government with a good majority in the parliament in 2014.
 
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With a stagnated global economy arms purchases will decrease naturally as countries will lack the finances and will to arm/rearm because of the high focus on improving the financial situation. "They got money for the war, but can't feed the poor" seems to reflect every militarization of every militarized country.
 
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It's not a big cut, considering that military spending increases by double-digits every year.

Total budget will increase regardless.
 
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The funniest part of all this is that on average this is about the amount the Indian armed forces return to the FinMin every year in unspent funds! Although they have gotten better at spending the Military still manages to not utilise its entire budget every year. As such this cut will have negligible effects. Like I've said again and again- a few weeks MAX for 1-2 projects.


This reports is factually incorrect when it claims the delay in signing the MMRCA contract it down to a lack of funds- talks are still on, contrary to what this article states. The MoD in in no position to be singing the MMRCA right now and won't be for atleast a few more weeks.


Pure BS:

Although negotiations with France are complete, India wants to stagger the acquisition because of the lack of funds.

Source: http://www.defence.pk/forums/indian...affect-indias-armed-forces.html#ixzz2Kb3VhrBT
 
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Well our economic condition is not responsible at all.There are few mfkers like sonia and other congis who wants to launch few schemes like direct money transfer and aadhar etc which will supply food or money directly to poors.
Condition of congress have drown them and they are thinking to get rescued by these bribes like direct money transfer.

Sonia have asked all of them to get money for it either by hook or crook...

since last 5-6 years,corruption of more than 120 billion is done and now when economic downfall is going on? and by whom policies? congress policies .

they have started to slash budget otherwise sonia alone have more than 18 billion in accts and even her parents have 3 billion pounds as property.
 
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